Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Exposure levels and ownership reaches record highs for active GEM funds in GCC countries, yet 30% of funds remain without exposure.</li>
<li>Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates dominate the ownership picture, with both at record high investment levels, driven by the Financials and Real Estate sectors</li>
<li>Al Rajhi Bank is the most widely held stock, with a top tier including Emaar Properties and Aldar Properties surging to record levels of investment in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Exposure levels and ownership reaches record highs for active GEM funds in GCC countries, yet 30% of funds remain without exposure.
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates dominate the ownership picture, with both at record high investment levels, driven by the Financials and Real Estate sectors
Al Rajhi Bank is the most widely held stock, with a top tier including Emaar Properties and Aldar Properties surging to record levels of investment in 2024.


EM Fund Positioning: GCC a Key Focus for EM Investors in 2025

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 10/Jan, US crude inventories fell by 2m barrels, missing expectations of a 3.5m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 258 Bcf for the week ending 10/Jan, slightly missing analyst expectations of a 260 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>BP forecasts tepid Q4 earnings on low refining margins and upstream output, while TotalEnergies expects higher production and gas prices to offset lower oil prices.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 10/Jan, US crude inventories fell by 2m barrels, missing expectations of a 3.5m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 258 Bcf for the week ending 10/Jan, slightly missing analyst expectations of a 260 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.
BP forecasts tepid Q4 earnings on low refining margins and upstream output, while TotalEnergies expects higher production and gas prices to offset lower oil prices.


[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 27/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.2m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.4m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 116 Bcf for the week ending 27/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 127 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>JP Morgan lowered its 12-month PT for Halliburton and Schlumberger but maintained its “Overweight” ratings. Saudi Aramco revised fuel and natural gas prices for cement production starting from 01/Jan.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 27/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1.2m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.4m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 116 Bcf for the week ending 27/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 127 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
JP Morgan lowered its 12-month PT for Halliburton and Schlumberger but maintained its “Overweight” ratings. Saudi Aramco revised fuel and natural gas prices for cement production starting from 01/Jan.


[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 20/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.2m barrels, beating expectations of a 0.7m barrel decrease. Distillate stocks fell more than expected, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 93 Bcf for the week ending 20/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 98 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Chevron signed a 20-year deal with Energy Transfer for 2 million tonnes of LNG annually. Stifel lowered Schlumberger's 12-month price target while maintaining a Buy rating.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 20/Dec, U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.2m barrels, beating expectations of a 0.7m barrel decrease. Distillate stocks fell more than expected, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.
U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 93 Bcf for the week ending 20/Dec, missing analyst expectations of a 98 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.9% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Chevron signed a 20-year deal with Energy Transfer for 2 million tonnes of LNG annually. Stifel lowered Schlumberger's 12-month price target while maintaining a Buy rating.


[ETP 2024/52] WTI Recovers on China’s Stimulus Plans, Henry Hub Falls on Volatile Weather Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 29/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 5.1m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.6m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 30 Bcf for the week ending 29/Nov. Inventories are 7.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
UBS raised its 12-month price target on Chevron. Shell and Equinor plan to merge their UK offshore oil and gas assets to create a new company.


[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

EM Fund Positioning: GCC a Key Focus for EM Investors in 2025

Record high exposure and ownership levels for active GEM funds in GCC countries, led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The region promises to be a key...

Steven Holden

[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Nat-gas inventories fall for ninth week straight. BP...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Natural gas inventories also fell below expectations....

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/52] WTI Recovers on China’s Stimulus Plans, Henry Hub Falls on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories beat expectations, while nat-gas inventories missed analyst expectations. Chevron signed a 20-year LNG deal with Energy...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Fund Positioning: GCC a Key Focus for EM Investors in 2025

​Record high exposure and ownership levels for active GEM funds in GCC countries, led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The region promises to be a key...

Steven Holden

[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Nat-gas inventories fall for ninth week straight. BP...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/01] WTI Rises on Improved Chinese Outlook, Henry Hub Reverses Uptrend

​US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Natural gas inventories also fell below expectations....

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/52] WTI Recovers on China’s Stimulus Plans, Henry Hub Falls on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories beat expectations, while nat-gas inventories missed analyst expectations. Chevron signed a 20-year LNG deal with Energy...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/49] WTI Recovers on OPEC Extending Cuts; Henry Hub Drops on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...

Mint Finance

Record high exposure and ownership levels for active GEM funds in GCC countries, led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The region promises to be a key...

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Nat-gas inventories fall for ninth week straight. BP...

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Natural gas inventories also fell below expectations....

US crude inventories beat expectations, while nat-gas inventories missed analyst expectations. Chevron signed a 20-year LNG deal with Energy...

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories also fell, UBS raised Chevron's...