Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

SBI Cards & Payment Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SBI Cards’ (SBICARD) earnings missed estimates yet again due to higher provisioning (9.4%) and muted fee income</li><li>The share of interest earning loans (revolve + instalment loans) remained steady QoQ at 60%, resulting in steady NIMs (10.6%)</li><li>SBICARD’s delinquencies continue to inch up (write-offs at 9.8% vs 8.2% in Q2FY25) with no near-term moderation in sight</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SBI Cards’ (SBICARD) earnings missed estimates yet again due to higher provisioning (9.4%) and muted fee incomeThe share of interest earning loans (revolve + instalment loans) remained steady QoQ at 60%, resulting in steady NIMs (10.6%)SBICARD’s delinquencies continue to inch up (write-offs at 9.8% vs 8.2% in Q2FY25) with no near-term moderation in sightContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SBI Cards and Payment Services (3QFY25): No Recovery in Sight, Downgrade to REDUCE

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

SBI (State Bank of India) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/state-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:160:1" rel="noopener">State Bank Of India (SBIN IN)</a> is the best-performing PSU bank in India and shows clear convergence with private peers across fundamental metrics beyond what its valuations might suggest</li>
<li>Medium-Term ROE Forecast of 16% to 18% and loan growth forecast of 14% to 16%; ROA ~1.2% consistently; Strong fee income; successful cross-selling through subsidiaries; Strong asset quality.
</li>
<li>
 P/BV is cheap at 1.3x FY25e, compared private peers’ valuations of 2.5x to 3.0x. SBIN can potentially re-rate to P/BV of ~1.6x FY25e in the near term (~35% upside).</li>
</ul>



State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) is the best-performing PSU bank in India and shows clear convergence with private peers across fundamental metrics beyond what its valuations might suggest
Medium-Term ROE Forecast of 16% to 18% and loan growth forecast of 14% to 16%; ROA ~1.2% consistently; Strong fee income; successful cross-selling through subsidiaries; Strong asset quality.


 P/BV is cheap at 1.3x FY25e, compared private peers’ valuations of 2.5x to 3.0x. SBIN can potentially re-rate to P/BV of ~1.6x FY25e in the near term (~35% upside).


State Bank Of India (SBIN IN): Initiation -  Convergence with Private Peers, Poised for Re-Rating

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Capital Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited</a> raised around US$1.7bn in its India IPO, which will begin to trade today.</li>
<li>Tata Capital Limited (TCL) is the flagship financial services company of the Tata group and a subsidiary of Tata Sons Private Limited.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited raised around US$1.7bn in its India IPO, which will begin to trade today.
Tata Capital Limited (TCL) is the flagship financial services company of the Tata group and a subsidiary of Tata Sons Private Limited.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Tata Capital IPO Trading - No Tata Premium This Time

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1.7bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Tata Capital Limited (TCL) is the flagship financial services company of the Tata group and a subsidiary of Tata Sons Private Limited.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is looking to raise up to US$1.7bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Tata Capital Limited (TCL) is the flagship financial services company of the Tata group and a subsidiary of Tata Sons Private Limited.
We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Tata Capital IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

India

SBI Cards and Payment Services Private Limited provides credit card services. The Company offers payment products and services in the form of corporate and credit cards with incentive and rewards programs. SBI Cards and Payment Services serves customers in India.

SBI Cards & Payment Services (SBICARD IN)

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SBI Cards & Payment Services (SBICARD IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

SBI Cards and Payment Services (3QFY25): No Recovery in Sight, Downgrade to REDUCE

The share of interest earning loans (revolve + instalment loans) remained steady QoQ at 60%, resulting in steady NIMs (10.6%)

HDFC Securities

State Bank Of India (SBIN IN): Initiation - Convergence with Private Peers, Poised for Re-Rating

State Bank of India (SBIN IN) is by far the best-performing PSU bank in India and has the potential to re-rate substantially in the near-term.

Raj S, CA, CFA

Tata Capital IPO Trading - No Tata Premium This Time

Tata Capital Limited raised around US$1.7bn in its India IPO, which will begin to trade today. In this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Tata Capital IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is looking to raise up to US$1.7bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)