Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 07/Feb, US crude inventories increased by 4.1m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2.4m barrel build. Gasoline stockpiles surprisingly fell, while distillate stocks unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 100 Bcf for the week ending 07/Feb, beating analyst expectations of a 90 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.8% below the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>BP’s Q4 net profit fell 48.5% QoQ and missed estimates by 2.5% due to weak refining margins. Chevron plans to trim workforce by 20% to cut costs. </li>
</ul>


For the week ending 07/Feb, US crude inventories increased by 4.1m barrels, exceeding expectations of a 2.4m barrel build. Gasoline stockpiles surprisingly fell, while distillate stocks unexpectedly rose.
US natural gas inventories fell by 100 Bcf for the week ending 07/Feb, beating analyst expectations of a 90 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.8% below the 5-year seasonal average.
BP’s Q4 net profit fell 48.5% QoQ and missed estimates by 2.5% due to weak refining margins. Chevron plans to trim workforce by 20% to cut costs. 


[ETP 2025/07] Rising U.S. Crude Inventories Weigh on WTI, Henry Hub Soars on Frosty Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 24/Jan, US crude inventories increased by 3.5m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.2m barrel build. Gasoline stockpiles rose, while distillate stocks fell more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 321 Bcf for the week ending 24/Jan, beating analyst expectations of a 317 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.1% below the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Shell’s Q4 adjusted earnings dropped 38.3% QoQ and 49.9% YoY, missing estimates due to weak margins and oil prices. HSBC raised its PT on Chevron but cut it for Exxon.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 24/Jan, US crude inventories increased by 3.5m barrels, missing expectations of a 2.2m barrel build. Gasoline stockpiles rose, while distillate stocks fell more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 321 Bcf for the week ending 24/Jan, beating analyst expectations of a 317 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.1% below the 5-year seasonal average.
Shell’s Q4 adjusted earnings dropped 38.3% QoQ and 49.9% YoY, missing estimates due to weak margins and oil prices. HSBC raised its PT on Chevron but cut it for Exxon.


[ETP 2025/05] WTI Falls on Trump’s Trade Policies; Henry Hub Drops on Milder Weather Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 10/Jan, US crude inventories fell by 2m barrels, missing expectations of a 3.5m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 258 Bcf for the week ending 10/Jan, slightly missing analyst expectations of a 260 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>BP forecasts tepid Q4 earnings on low refining margins and upstream output, while TotalEnergies expects higher production and gas prices to offset lower oil prices.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 10/Jan, US crude inventories fell by 2m barrels, missing expectations of a 3.5m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 258 Bcf for the week ending 10/Jan, slightly missing analyst expectations of a 260 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.
BP forecasts tepid Q4 earnings on low refining margins and upstream output, while TotalEnergies expects higher production and gas prices to offset lower oil prices.


[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways with the resistance at 1,364/1,370 points and the support at 1,346/1,340 points.</li><li>KTX expects China's 4Q24 GDP to show signs of recovery, with consensus estimating GDP growth of 5.0% YoY and 1.6% QoQ (compared to 4.6% YoY and 0.9% QoQ in 3Q24).</li><li>The Easy e-Receipt 2.0 tax reduction measure (from January 16 to February 28, 2025) is expected to generate cash flow of Bt70bn and boost the economy by approximately 0.38%, benefiting the commerce sector.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways with the resistance at 1,364/1,370 points and the support at 1,346/1,340 points.KTX expects China's 4Q24 GDP to show signs of recovery, with consensus estimating GDP growth of 5.0% YoY and 1.6% QoQ (compared to 4.6% YoY and 0.9% QoQ in 3Q24).The Easy e-Receipt 2.0 tax reduction measure (from January 16 to February 28, 2025) is expected to generate cash flow of Bt70bn and boost the economy by approximately 0.38%, benefiting the commerce sector.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 03/Jan, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1m barrels, missing expectations of a 1.8m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 40 Bcf for the week ending 03/Jan, moderately beating analyst expectations of a 39 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 6.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Analysts lowered 12-month PTs on Exxon, BP, Halliburton, TotalEnergies, and SLB. Morgan Stanley upgraded rating on Shell to Overweight and raised PT to USD 79.8 from USD 66.5.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 03/Jan, U.S. crude inventories fell by 1m barrels, missing expectations of a 1.8m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
U.S. natural gas inventories fell by 40 Bcf for the week ending 03/Jan, moderately beating analyst expectations of a 39 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 6.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Analysts lowered 12-month PTs on Exxon, BP, Halliburton, TotalEnergies, and SLB. Morgan Stanley upgraded rating on Shell to Overweight and raised PT to USD 79.8 from USD 66.5.


[ETP 2025/02] Bearish EIA Inventory Report Drags WTI Prices, Henry Hub Rebounds on Tightening Supply

United States

Schlumberger Limited is an oil services company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides a wide range of services, including technology, project management and information solutions to the international petroleum industry as well as advanced acquisition and data processing surveys.

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Schlumberger Ltd (SLB US)

[ETP 2025/07] Rising U.S. Crude Inventories Weigh on WTI, Henry Hub Soars on Frosty Forecasts

US crude inventories rose more than expected, gasoline stockpiles dropped, and distillate stocks rose unexpectedly. BP's Q4 profit fell and missed...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/05] WTI Falls on Trump’s Trade Policies; Henry Hub Drops on Milder Weather Forecasts

US oil inventories rose more than expected, while natural gas inventories fell more than expected. Shell's earnings declined due to weak margins...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Nat-gas inventories fall for ninth week straight. BP...

Mint Finance

China's Retail Sales and 4Q24 GDP

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways with the resistance at 1,364/1,370 points and the support at 1,346/1,340 points. KTX...

Krungthai XSpring

[ETP 2025/02] Bearish EIA Inventory Report Drags WTI Prices, Henry Hub Rebounds on Tightening Supply

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose; nat-gas withdrawal beat expectations. Analysts...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2025/07] Rising U.S. Crude Inventories Weigh on WTI, Henry Hub Soars on Frosty Forecasts

​US crude inventories rose more than expected, gasoline stockpiles dropped, and distillate stocks rose unexpectedly. BP's Q4 profit fell and missed...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/05] WTI Falls on Trump’s Trade Policies; Henry Hub Drops on Milder Weather Forecasts

​US oil inventories rose more than expected, while natural gas inventories fell more than expected. Shell's earnings declined due to weak margins...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

​US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Nat-gas inventories fall for ninth week straight. BP...

Mint Finance

China's Retail Sales and 4Q24 GDP

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways with the resistance at 1,364/1,370 points and the support at 1,346/1,340 points. KTX...

Krungthai XSpring

[ETP 2025/02] Bearish EIA Inventory Report Drags WTI Prices, Henry Hub Rebounds on Tightening Supply

​US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose; nat-gas withdrawal beat expectations. Analysts...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories rose more than expected, gasoline stockpiles dropped, and distillate stocks rose unexpectedly. BP's Q4 profit fell and missed...

US oil inventories rose more than expected, while natural gas inventories fell more than expected. Shell's earnings declined due to weak margins...

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. Nat-gas inventories fall for ninth week straight. BP...

US crude inventories fell less than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose; nat-gas withdrawal beat expectations. Analysts...