Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Meta, Tesla and Microsoft all post big capex guidance beats which sets strong tone for JP SPE.</li>
<li>Lam Research numbers beat, while Advantest AH yesterday knocked it out of the park.</li>
<li>Seagate +19% will add fuel to the fire for HDD components and memory names.</li>
</ul>


Meta, Tesla and Microsoft all post big capex guidance beats which sets strong tone for JP SPE.
Lam Research numbers beat, while Advantest AH yesterday knocked it out of the park.
Seagate +19% will add fuel to the fire for HDD components and memory names.


Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

<ul>
<li>NVDA investing further in Coreweave may raise circular investment argument again.</li>
<li>Samsung beats out Micron on news that it is set to supply HBM4 to Nvidia.</li>
<li>Fanuc guidance missed, but orders and enquiries for its 'physical AI' cobot surges.</li>
</ul>


NVDA investing further in Coreweave may raise circular investment argument again.
Samsung beats out Micron on news that it is set to supply HBM4 to Nvidia.
Fanuc guidance missed, but orders and enquiries for its 'physical AI' cobot surges.


Japan Morning Connection: Intel Continues to Fall Despite Apple Looking to Use Its 14A Process

<ul>
<li>Massive capex numbers from TSMC set to propel JP SPE to new highs today.</li>
<li>Softbank is likely to continue to lag as ARM fails to catch a bid despite being -42% from recent highs.</li>
<li>The hottest momo names in JP last year have cooled, but there should be more upside yet.</li>
</ul>


Massive capex numbers from TSMC set to propel JP SPE to new highs today.
Softbank is likely to continue to lag as ARM fails to catch a bid despite being -42% from recent highs.
The hottest momo names in JP last year have cooled, but there should be more upside yet.


Japan Morning Connection: SOX Closes at New Highs After TSMC Numbers and Capex Beat Ests

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

ASE Technology Holding   / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX (up from 6480-6520) and $141.50 on ACWI-US (up from $134-135.70) continue to hold.</li>
<li>Signs of impending upside are evident with the ACWI-US and all the other MSCI global indexes (MSCI EAFE, ACWI ex-US, EM) breaking out (more on that below).</li>
<li>Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. Actionable themes include Technology and Industrials, focused in EM, Europe, and Japan.</li>
</ul>


We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX (up from 6480-6520) and $141.50 on ACWI-US (up from $134-135.70) continue to hold.
Signs of impending upside are evident with the ACWI-US and all the other MSCI global indexes (MSCI EAFE, ACWI ex-US, EM) breaking out (more on that below).
Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. Actionable themes include Technology and Industrials, focused in EM, Europe, and Japan.


Breakouts Galore in All MSCI Global Indexes; Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>SMCI (bad)and AMD (good) numbers failing to lift the mood AH with CEO’s of GS, MS, Capital Group calling for a correction.</li>
<li>Lasertec, Advantest, TEL and Kokusai likely to wobble at the open, but it may be too early for dip-buying yet.</li>
<li>Nintendo posts impressive numbers and guidance looks obviously conservative with the NSW2 set to be their best selling console ever.</li>
</ul>


SMCI (bad)and AMD (good) numbers failing to lift the mood AH with CEO’s of GS, MS, Capital Group calling for a correction.
Lasertec, Advantest, TEL and Kokusai likely to wobble at the open, but it may be too early for dip-buying yet.
Nintendo posts impressive numbers and guidance looks obviously conservative with the NSW2 set to be their best selling console ever.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated

Japan

SCREEN Holdings Co Ltd.  manufactures and sell semiconductors, FPD devices, commercial printing and printed circuit boards(PCB). The company also provides additional services for its products.

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SCREEN Holdings (7735 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Huge Earnings After Hours All Point to Increased AI Capex Spending

Meta is surging +11% after reporting 1Q sales guidance. Tesla plans to invest $2bn in Musk’s xAI. Expect whole SPE ecosystem in Japan to be sharply...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Intel Continues to Fall Despite Apple Looking to Use Its 14A Process

Intel taking its 2-day drop to -22.75% after its earnings missed last week despite a report overnight that Apple will start using Intel’s 14A...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SOX Closes at New Highs After TSMC Numbers and Capex Beat Ests

Likely for Kioxia to hit new highs today with memory names trading well. Strong tone for JP SPE after US tarrifs on Taiwan were lowered.

Andrew Jackson

Breakouts Galore in All MSCI Global Indexes; Bullish Outlook Intact

Breakouts Galore in All MSCI Global Indexes (MSCI $ACWI $ACWX $EFA and $EEM) and tons of countries; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: AI Takes a Hit Overnight on Renewed Calls that the AI Market Is Overheated

Nintendo guidance looks conservative, with CEO comments that the NSW2 could surpass the Nintendo DS as the best selling console ever. SMCI -10% in...

Andrew Jackson

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