Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

For the past 17 years the HDD market has suffered erosion from SSDs.  Through consolidation only two important HDD makers survive: Seagate and WDC.  WDC embraced SSDs, while Seagate has ignored them.  The results of these two strategies, and the ultimate end game, is quite clear.

For the past 17 years the HDD market has suffered erosion from SSDs.  Through consolidation only two important HDD makers survive: Seagate and WDC.  WDC embraced SSDs, while Seagate has ignored them.  The results of these two strategies, and the ultimate end game, is quite clear.

President

Thomas Coughlin

Coughlin Associates

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

HDDs for nearline storage showed considerable capacity growth between C4Q 2020 and C1Q 2021 with significant increases in average storage capacity per drive.  Average sales prices also were higher due to the sale of more high-capacity HDDs.  Market share between the three HDD manufacturers was little changed Q2Q.  HDDs remain the major storage media for the world’s digital content.

HDDs for nearline storage showed considerable capacity growth between C4Q 2020 and C1Q 2021 with significant increases in average storage capacity per drive.  Average sales prices also were higher due to the sale of more high-capacity HDDs.  Market share between the three HDD manufacturers was little changed Q2Q.  HDDs remain the major storage media for the world’s digital content.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (IBB, XBI), small- and micro-caps (IWM, IWC), and emerging markets (EEM). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks.

We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (IBB, XBI), small- and micro-caps (IWM, IWC), and emerging markets (EEM). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk-On Rotations Vs. Weaker Seasonality; Russell 2000, Biotech, EM Improving

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

In today's conference call, SK Hynix said an interesting thing about Kioxia.<ul>
<li>Hynix confirmed that Kioxia would give another shot to an IPO in the second half of this year instead of taking the Micron/WD offer.</li>
<li>Hynix said that was what it was told by the Bain Capital Consortium and the Kioxia management lately.</li>
</ul>

In today's conference call, SK Hynix said an interesting thing about Kioxia.
Hynix confirmed that Kioxia would give another shot to an IPO in the second half of this year instead of taking the Micron/WD offer.
Hynix said that was what it was told by the Bain Capital Consortium and the Kioxia management lately.


SK Hynix Conference Call Today: Kioxia IPO in 2H & Plan to Sell 31% After IPO

Market dynamics have deteriorated and are now much more mixed overall. Deteriorating signals include RS improvement for defensive Sectors, RS deterioration for small-caps, and the US dollar breaking above 92. Despite this mild deterioration in market dynamics, there are plenty of indicators that remain positive. This tells us any weakness should be treated as a buying opportunity and our outlook remains constructive for the months ahead.

Market dynamics have deteriorated and are now much more mixed overall. Deteriorating signals include RS improvement for defensive Sectors, RS deterioration for small-caps, and the US dollar breaking above 92. Despite this mild deterioration in market dynamics, there are plenty of indicators that remain positive. This tells us any weakness should be treated as a buying opportunity and our outlook remains constructive for the months ahead.

United States

Seagate Technology Holdings Public Limited Company offers computer hardware products. The Company designs, manufactures, and markets hard disk drives for enterprise applications, client compute applications, client non-compute applications, personal data backup systems, portable external storage systems and digital media systems.

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Seagate (STX US)

Does Seagate Even HAVE a Direction?

Is Seagate a good investment? Given the decline of the HDD market, and the rise of SSDs, the company's position is far weaker than that of its...

Jim Handy

HDD C1Q Total Down but Nearline Up

HDDs for nearline storage showed considerable capacity growth between C4Q 2020 and C1Q 2021 with significant increases in average storage capacity...

Thomas Coughlin

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk-On Rotations Vs. Weaker Seasonality; Russell 2000, Biotech, EM Improving

We are seeing signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Add to biotech, small-...

Vermilion Research

SK Hynix Conference Call Today: Kioxia IPO in 2H & Plan to Sell 31% After IPO

This post briefly summarizes the Hynix conference call today about Kioxia IPO and its plan to sell the Kioxia stake after IPO.

Sanghyun Park

Upgrading U.S. Staples To Market Weight

Despite mild deterioration in market dynamics, there are plenty of indicators that remain positive and our outlook remains constructive for the...

Vermilion Research

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