Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Stay away from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a>. It has wrapped itself in a cloak of nationalistic righteous indignation. Do not buy the dip. Or even a larger one. </li>
<li>The timing of a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bendigo-adelaide-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:682:1" rel="noopener">Bendigo And Adelaide Bank (BEN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-queensland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16606:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Queensland (BOQ AU)</a> merger makes a lot of sense right now.</li>
<li>This <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renault-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21536:1" rel="noopener">Renault SA (RNO FP)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan Motor (7201 JP)</a>'s press release and "agreement", as-is, is a Nothingburger. </li>
</ul>


Stay away from Adani Enterprises (ADE IN). It has wrapped itself in a cloak of nationalistic righteous indignation. Do not buy the dip. Or even a larger one. 
The timing of a Bendigo And Adelaide Bank (BEN AU) and Bank Of Queensland (BOQ AU) merger makes a lot of sense right now.
This Renault SA (RNO FP) / Nissan Motor (7201 JP)'s press release and "agreement", as-is, is a Nothingburger. 


Last Week in SPACE: Adani Group, Bendigo/Bank of Queensland, Renault/Nissan, Keisei/Oriental Land

<ul>
<li>There are 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: tender offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanematsu-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15767:1" rel="noopener">Kanematsu Electronics (8096 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanematsu-sustech-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18499:1" rel="noopener">Kanematsu Sustech (7961 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18567:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Electric (6641 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techno-associe-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3893:1" rel="noopener">Techno Associe (8249 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: tender offers for Kanematsu Electronics (8096 JP), Kanematsu Sustech (7961 JP), Nissin Electric (6641 JP), and Techno Associe (8249 JP).
Key updates took place for: Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), and O2Micro International (OIIM US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kanematsu Elect/Sustech, Toshiba, Pushpay, Sembcorp, O2Micro

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Last Friday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> announced it had Approval-In-Principle for its Proposed Combination with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>, contingent on the Circular being despatched by 31 January 2023.  </li>
<li>At 6:50pm local time on 31 January, Sembcorp Marine released its 679-page <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Circular.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=745337" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Circular</a> (and <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/EGM%20Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=745338" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EGM Announcement</a> (16 Feb EGM)). Phew! </li>
<li>Now we have a deal in sight, we have to think about next steps. SMM NEWCO needs a story vs flow. Orderbook is nice but may not cut it near-term.</li>
</ul>


Last Friday, Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) announced it had Approval-In-Principle for its Proposed Combination with Keppel Corp (KEP SP), contingent on the Circular being despatched by 31 January 2023.  
At 6:50pm local time on 31 January, Sembcorp Marine released its 679-page Circular (and EGM Announcement (16 Feb EGM)). Phew! 
Now we have a deal in sight, we have to think about next steps. SMM NEWCO needs a story vs flow. Orderbook is nice but may not cut it near-term.


Sembcorp Marine-Keppel O&M Merger Circular Squeaks In Under The Wire - Next Steps

<ul>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> vs MOL and NYK. The shares are cheap on a forward basis. KLine is reducing the Real World Float, causing further potential squeeze.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911:1" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a>'s Partial Offer at 0.88x book is not overwhelming, but it is also not a control stake. It is probably priced near-right.</li>
<li>IF <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/osstem-implant-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1450:1" rel="noopener">Osstem (048260 KS)</a>'s price were to go higher, it is conceivable there could be a bump, but don't bet on it as long as the stock trades &lt;KRW 190,000. </li>
</ul>


Be long Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) vs MOL and NYK. The shares are cheap on a forward basis. KLine is reducing the Real World Float, causing further potential squeeze.

Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)'s Partial Offer at 0.88x book is not overwhelming, but it is also not a control stake. It is probably priced near-right.
IF Osstem (048260 KS)'s price were to go higher, it is conceivable there could be a bump, but don't bet on it as long as the stock trades &lt;KRW 190,000. 


Last Week in SPACE: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Osstem, Fujitsu General, Adani Enterprises

<ul>
<li>For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals (OZL AU)</a>,  look elsewhere unless you are VERY bullish copper. But if you are VERY bullish copper, buy copper options rather than the embedded option in OZL. </li>
<li>Game on as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/warrego-energy-ltd-082ab214-f4bb-4224-b321-8977486cd661" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7808:1" rel="noopener">Warrego Energy (WGO AU)</a> shareholders weigh the pros and cons of Hancock's all-cash Offer against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>'s "superior" scrip proposal. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> succumbed to greenmail and tried to boost the price to explain the exit they were going to give Murakami-san. It didn't work. </li>
</ul>


For OZ Minerals (OZL AU),  look elsewhere unless you are VERY bullish copper. But if you are VERY bullish copper, buy copper options rather than the embedded option in OZL. 
Game on as Warrego Energy (WGO AU) shareholders weigh the pros and cons of Hancock's all-cash Offer against Strike Energy (STX AU)'s "superior" scrip proposal. 

Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) succumbed to greenmail and tried to boost the price to explain the exit they were going to give Murakami-san. It didn't work. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Oz Minerals, Warrego, JAFCO, Swire Pac's A&Bs, Korean Mandatory Offers

Singapore

Seatrium is a Singapore-headquartered engineering firm providing innovative solutions to the global offshore, marine, and energy industries. It specializes in oil & gas newbuilds and conversions, offshore renewables, specialized shipbuilding, and repairs & upgrades. The company was formed in 2023 through the merger of Sembcorp Marine and Keppel Offshore & Marine.

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Seatrium (STM SP)

Last Week in SPACE: Adani Group, Bendigo/Bank of Queensland, Renault/Nissan, Keisei/Oriental Land

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kanematsu Elect/Sustech, Toshiba, Pushpay, Sembcorp, O2Micro

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Sembcorp Marine-Keppel O&M Merger Circular Squeaks In Under The Wire - Next Steps

Sembcorp Marine delivered its Circular for the Combination/Acquisition with/of Keppel subsidiary Keppel O&M. EGM on 16 Feb. Deal done by end of...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in SPACE: Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Osstem, Fujitsu General, Adani Enterprises

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Oz Minerals, Warrego, JAFCO, Swire Pac's A&Bs, Korean Mandatory Offers

The silly season is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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