Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SMCI +32% as it staves off delisting continues to set a positive tone for Nidec</li>
<li>Sony reportedly looking to fully acquire Kadokawa points to more downside for Bandai Namco</li>
<li>Highlights relative cheapness for Japanese game stocks as take-over targets</li>
</ul>


SMCI +32% as it staves off delisting continues to set a positive tone for Nidec
Sony reportedly looking to fully acquire Kadokawa points to more downside for Bandai Namco
Highlights relative cheapness for Japanese game stocks as take-over targets


Japan Morning Connection: Sony Eyeing Elden Ring as a PS Exclusive to Counter CoD on Xbox?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   </li>
<li>Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts</li>
<li>Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist</li>
</ul>


Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   
Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts
Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist


Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS)</a> is Korea's leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shift-up-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:144015" rel="noopener">Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Shift Up (462870 KS) is Korea's leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case. 
We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.


Japan

SEGA SAMMY HOLDINGS INC. is a holding company established through the merger of Sega and Sammy.  The Group mainly develops and manufactures commercial-use video game machine, home-use video game software, and pachinko pinball machine. Sega Sammy Holdings also operates amusement parks.

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Sega Sammy Holdings (6460 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Sony Eyeing Elden Ring as a PS Exclusive to Counter CoD on Xbox?

SMCI's strong performance and efforts to avoid delisting set positive tone for Nidec. Sony's potential acquisition of Kadokawa point to downside...

Andrew Jackson

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

Gaming award nominations and industry scores for FF7 Rebirth could boost sales during the holiday season. CQ4 releases may drive revenues higher...

Neil Campling

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Sony Eyeing Elden Ring as a PS Exclusive to Counter CoD on Xbox?

​SMCI's strong performance and efforts to avoid delisting set positive tone for Nidec. Sony's potential acquisition of Kadokawa point to downside...

Andrew Jackson

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

​Gaming award nominations and industry scores for FF7 Rebirth could boost sales during the holiday season. CQ4 releases may drive revenues higher...

Neil Campling

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would...

Arun George

SMCI's strong performance and efforts to avoid delisting set positive tone for Nidec. Sony's potential acquisition of Kadokawa point to downside...

Gaming award nominations and industry scores for FF7 Rebirth could boost sales during the holiday season. CQ4 releases may drive revenues higher...