Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>It’s been an ongoing struggle to be on the receiving end of rates for a couple of years and we generally find the rule of thumb to be the following: Don’t ever tactically buy bonds / receive rates until the last hike is in.</li>
<li>Conclusions up front: Inflation momentum is softening the most in Europe (also given today’s data)</li>
<li>GBP rates looks like the best receiver case among majors</li>
</ul>


It’s been an ongoing struggle to be on the receiving end of rates for a couple of years and we generally find the rule of thumb to be the following: Don’t ever tactically buy bonds / receive rates until the last hike is in.
Conclusions up front: Inflation momentum is softening the most in Europe (also given today’s data)
GBP rates looks like the best receiver case among majors


Rates Watch: Anything Weak Enough to Receive?

External broker reports, Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Macroeconomics

<ul><li>In September, issuance and QT in SGBs ramps up to more than 9 bn/month from nothing during the holidays.</li><li>Reduced ECB buying and a rate hike pause while long-term inflation expectations rise suggest "risk-premium".</li><li>Tighter covered spreads=True</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In September, issuance and QT in SGBs ramps up to more than 9 bn/month from nothing during the holidays.Reduced ECB buying and a rate hike pause while long-term inflation expectations rise suggest "risk-premium".Tighter covered spreads=TrueContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SEK rates weekly: Bond issuance about to level up

<ul>
<li>Welcome back to our Wednesday series where we take you through the world of global macro and what to look out for going forward.</li>
<li>With US CPI being released tomorrow – where we as always will cover the most important take-aways post-release – there is room for market movements as the disinflation narrative continues amidst the possibility of a positive surprise in headline CPI due to base effects.</li>
<li>We’ll as always be short and concise and let you into our thinking regarding asset allocation and positioning ahead of the data/events mentioned.</li>
</ul>


Welcome back to our Wednesday series where we take you through the world of global macro and what to look out for going forward.
With US CPI being released tomorrow – where we as always will cover the most important take-aways post-release – there is room for market movements as the disinflation narrative continues amidst the possibility of a positive surprise in headline CPI due to base effects.
We’ll as always be short and concise and let you into our thinking regarding asset allocation and positioning ahead of the data/events mentioned.


5 Things We Watch – Fed Overtightening, Curve Steepening, US CPI, BoJ & China

<ul><li>Home prices have stabilized and even rose somewhat in June m/m on a seasonality adjusted basis.</li><li>Home transactions are still low and supply of exisiting homes continues to build.</li><li>Lending growth for housing purpose continues to be at complete standstill.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Home prices have stabilized and even rose somewhat in June m/m on a seasonality adjusted basis.Home transactions are still low and supply of exisiting homes continues to build.Lending growth for housing purpose continues to be at complete standstill.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Welcome to this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’, where we take you through 5 things that we have found particularly interesting in the past week.</li><li>Yesterday we launched the first of a couple of articles focusing on the current business cycle, giving our best guess on where in the cycle we are, what markets are pricing in and most importantly – what will happen next.</li><li>The full articles regarding the business cycle and how different asset classes are positioned for it will be released throughout the week for premium subscribers.</li></ul>

Welcome to this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’, where we take you through 5 things that we have found particularly interesting in the past week.Yesterday we launched the first of a couple of articles focusing on the current business cycle, giving our best guess on where in the cycle we are, what markets are pricing in and most importantly – what will happen next.The full articles regarding the business cycle and how different asset classes are positioned for it will be released throughout the week for premium subscribers.

5 Things We Watch – PMIs, FX, Japan, Brazil, Inflation

Sweden

The Swedish krona is the official currency of Sweden

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SEK (USDSEK CURNCY)

Rates Watch: Anything Weak Enough to Receive?

It’s been an ongoing struggle to be on the receiving end of rates for a couple of years and we generally find the rule of thumb to be the...

Steno Research

SEK rates weekly: Bond issuance about to level up

In September, issuance and QT in SGBs ramps up to more than 9 bn/month from nothing during the holidays. Reduced ECB buying and a rate hike pause...

Nordea

5 Things We Watch – Fed Overtightening, Curve Steepening, US CPI, BoJ & China

Welcome back to our Wednesday series where we take you through the world of global macro and what to look out for going forward. With US CPI being...

Steno Research

SEK covereds: Supply update July

Home prices have stabilized and even rose somewhat in June m/m on a seasonality adjusted basis. Home transactions are still low and supply of...

Nordea

5 Things We Watch – PMIs, FX, Japan, Brazil, Inflation

Welcome to this week’s edition of ‘5 Things We Watch’, where we take you through 5 things that we have found particularly interesting in the past...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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