External broker reports, Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>November has been a good month for the NOK, which has strengthened 2,5 percent against EUR and 2 percent against SEK.</li><li>However, we now believe that the NOK appreciation is over in the short term, and we see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month.So why has NOK been so strong through November?</li><li>It is probably a combination of several factors.1) The cumulative total return of a buy-and-hold carry trade position has increased through October and November, due to the increasing interest rate differential between high and low interest rate countries.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

November has been a good month for the NOK, which has strengthened 2,5 percent against EUR and 2 percent against SEK.However, we now believe that the NOK appreciation is over in the short term, and we see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month.So why has NOK been so strong through November?It is probably a combination of several factors.1) The cumulative total return of a buy-and-hold carry trade position has increased through October and November, due to the increasing interest rate differential between high and low interest rate countries.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: We see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>High beta currencies have done well over the past week.</li><li>A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.</li><li>Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

High beta currencies have done well over the past week.A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>Welcome to this US rates nugget with three charts on why November data from the US economy could refuel the hawkish bias within the Federal Reserve.</li><li>First, our ISM Services model hints at a large rebound in the ISM number released on December 5.</li><li>ISM Services jumps to &gt;60 in our models when you adjust for the spreadsheet wizardry of the Institute of Supply Management (remember the abysmal prints in Nov/Dec of 2022) as the seasonal adjustment factors are much more helpful than a year ago.</li></ul>

Welcome to this US rates nugget with three charts on why November data from the US economy could refuel the hawkish bias within the Federal Reserve.First, our ISM Services model hints at a large rebound in the ISM number released on December 5.ISM Services jumps to &gt;60 in our models when you adjust for the spreadsheet wizardry of the Institute of Supply Management (remember the abysmal prints in Nov/Dec of 2022) as the seasonal adjustment factors are much more helpful than a year ago.

US Rates Nugget: 4 Charts on Why November Data Will Reignite the Hawks

<ul><li>More resilient economy and financial markets open for continued Riksbank hikes.</li><li>Troublesome inflation outcomes and weak SEK adds to pressure.</li><li>We see potential for higher SEK rates relative Euro and for some covered spread tightening.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

More resilient economy and financial markets open for continued Riksbank hikes.Troublesome inflation outcomes and weak SEK adds to pressure.We see potential for higher SEK rates relative Euro and for some covered spread tightening.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SEK rates weekly: Risk appetite extends hiking cycle

<ul><li>Welcome to the second research piece in our “Business Cycle Week”.</li><li>In this edition of the series on the business cycle, we will focus on whether FX markets sniff out the cycle ahead of other asset markets.</li><li>Is the USD a bellwether of global trends or is it just a saying?</li></ul>

Welcome to the second research piece in our “Business Cycle Week”.In this edition of the series on the business cycle, we will focus on whether FX markets sniff out the cycle ahead of other asset markets.Is the USD a bellwether of global trends or is it just a saying?

FX Watch: Have FX Markets Sniffed out an Upcoming Rebound?

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The Swedish krona is the official currency of Sweden

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NOK Update: We see a risk of a somewhat weaker NOK in the coming month

November has been a good month for the NOK, which has strengthened 2,5 percent against EUR and 2 percent against SEK. However, we now believe that...

Nordea

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

High beta currencies have done well over the past week. A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted...

Scotiabank

US Rates Nugget: 4 Charts on Why November Data Will Reignite the Hawks

ISM Services jumps to >60 in our models when you adjust for the spreadsheet wizardry of the Institute of Supply Management as the seasonal...

Steno Research

SEK rates weekly: Risk appetite extends hiking cycle

More resilient economy and financial markets open for continued Riksbank hikes. Troublesome inflation outcomes and weak SEK adds to pressure.

Nordea

FX Watch: Have FX Markets Sniffed out an Upcoming Rebound?

In this edition, we will focus on whether FX markets sniff out the cycle ahead of other asset markets. Is the USD a bellwether of global trends or...

Steno Research

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