IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> is a Japanese financial institution. At the IPO price, it will raise JPY322 billion (US$2.1 billion). The shares will be listed on 17 December.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211514" rel="noopener"> </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-price-range-is-attractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:212880" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) is a Japanese financial institution. At the IPO price, it will raise JPY322 billion (US$2.1 billion). The shares will be listed on 17 December.
I previously discussed the IPO in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case and SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive.
The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, has set an IPO price range of JPY1,440 to JPY1,450 per share compared to the reference price of JPY1,440.</li>
<li>I discussed the relisting in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211514" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, has set an IPO price range of JPY1,440 to JPY1,450 per share compared to the reference price of JPY1,440.
I discussed the relisting in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case and SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%.</li>
<li>I discussed the investment thesis in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share. </li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%.
I discussed the investment thesis in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share. 


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%. </li>
<li>In December 2021, Shinsei Bank was privatised by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> through a contentious tender offer at JPY2,800 per share. </li>
<li>The investment case rests on growth in accounts/deposits, robust loan book growth, accelerating revenue growth, rising margins and improving asset quality.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. The primary/secondary split is 40%/60%. 
In December 2021, Shinsei Bank was privatised by SBI Holdings (8473 JP) through a contentious tender offer at JPY2,800 per share. 
The investment case rests on growth in accounts/deposits, robust loan book growth, accelerating revenue growth, rising margins and improving asset quality.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe that the Japanese-US trade deal helps to decrease uncertainty on monetary policy, with a potential rate rise in the near term improving the outlook for Japanese banks</li>
<li>We remove our short on Rakuten Bank, as it is one of the beneficiaries of a near term potential rise in benchmark rates going forward</li>
<li>In terms of PBV ratio, Seven Bank still trades at a 70%+ discount to Rakuten Bank’s PBV but the latter is impacted by the near-term interest rate outlook change</li>
</ul>


We believe that the Japanese-US trade deal helps to decrease uncertainty on monetary policy, with a potential rate rise in the near term improving the outlook for Japanese banks
We remove our short on Rakuten Bank, as it is one of the beneficiaries of a near term potential rise in benchmark rates going forward
In terms of PBV ratio, Seven Bank still trades at a 70%+ discount to Rakuten Bank’s PBV but the latter is impacted by the near-term interest rate outlook change


Upgrading Rakuten Bank (TSE: 5838) To a Hold

Japan

Seven Bank, Ltd. provides banking services mainly through Automated Teller Machine (ATM) across Japan. The bank cooperates with affiliated financial institutions to establish the nationwide ATM network and provide remote banking services, including deposits and loans.

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Seven Bank Ltd (8410 JP)

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive

The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

SBI Shinsei is seeking to raise about US$2 billion. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case

SBI Shinsei Bank, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

Upgrading Rakuten Bank (TSE: 5838) To a Hold

Japanese-US trade deal, decreasing economic uncertainty, could drive BoJ to raise rates in the near term; this would benefit Rakuten Bank and...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive

The relisting has attracted solid interest from several investors. The peers have modestly re-rated, and the IPO price range is attractive.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

SBI Shinsei is seeking to raise about US$2 billion. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is fairly valued at the IPO price of JPY1,440 per share.

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case

SBI Shinsei Bank, a Japanese financial institution, is looking to relist by raising about US$2 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George

Upgrading Rakuten Bank (TSE: 5838) To a Hold

​Japanese-US trade deal, decreasing economic uncertainty, could drive BoJ to raise rates in the near term; this would benefit Rakuten Bank and...

Victor Galliano

Japanese-US trade deal, decreasing economic uncertainty, could drive BoJ to raise rates in the near term; this would benefit Rakuten Bank and...