Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>2020-21 was the second year in a row to see a net fall in the number of SCs in Japan. Sales levels also fell to an unprecedented degree.</li>
<li>The good news is that 2021 has been better, with even city centre malls reducing sales falls by 20 points. But the crisis has exacerbated underlying pressures. </li>
<li>A significant clear out of the SC sector is now occurring as more uneconomic properties close.</li>
</ul>


2020-21 was the second year in a row to see a net fall in the number of SCs in Japan. Sales levels also fell to an unprecedented degree.
The good news is that 2021 has been better, with even city centre malls reducing sales falls by 20 points. But the crisis has exacerbated underlying pressures. 
A significant clear out of the SC sector is now occurring as more uneconomic properties close.


Japan Shopping Centres 2020-21 Review: A Shocking Year

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">Baycurrent (6532 JP)</a> is very short-term, and it is not highly-convicted, but it is a warning of a short-term dip potential.</li>
<li>A curious development as EQT (barely) bumps indicative terms for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a> in what appears to be a self destructing offer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a> is dirt cheap. Old Peak thinks so too and has taken a nearly 5% stake.</li>
</ul>



Baycurrent (6532 JP) is very short-term, and it is not highly-convicted, but it is a warning of a short-term dip potential.
A curious development as EQT (barely) bumps indicative terms for Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) in what appears to be a self destructing offer.

Digital Garage (4819 JP) is dirt cheap. Old Peak thinks so too and has taken a nearly 5% stake.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Baycurrent, Perpetual, Digital Garage, Genesis/Vault, Seven & I, SoftBank

<ul>
<li>Half-Year results are coming in for the largest retailers showing that fundamentals are more important than ever. Aeon demonstrated improvements after a tough 2020.</li>
<li>Seven &amp; I reported a jump in revenues, thanks to its recent acquisition in the USA. The group may consider finally selling less successful parts of its business at home.</li>
<li>Life, the largest supermarket, recorded flat revenues but is planning a big investment in stores and systems in preparation for anticipated changes to shopping behaviour.</li>
</ul>


Half-Year results are coming in for the largest retailers showing that fundamentals are more important than ever. Aeon demonstrated improvements after a tough 2020.
Seven &amp; I reported a jump in revenues, thanks to its recent acquisition in the USA. The group may consider finally selling less successful parts of its business at home.
Life, the largest supermarket, recorded flat revenues but is planning a big investment in stores and systems in preparation for anticipated changes to shopping behaviour.


Ups and Downs in Japanese Big Retail a Year After Covid Hit

Convenience store (CVS) retailing remains the most dynamic and innovative physical store sector. It is now 50 years since the first Seven Eleven opened and the sector wide drop in sales in 2020 was the first in its history.Whereas department stores also took a battering last year and are likely to struggle to recover, convenience stores should bounce back quickly, including implementing lessons learned in last year’s crisis.That does not mean the format faces no problems, with labour shortages, overly strict operating procedures and an ageing population of store owners (many are now reaching retirement age with no succession in place) all issues that need solutions, but its willingness and ability to adopt new technologies and adapt to the market will continue to keep CVS strong.The following is an annual in-depth review of the entire CVS sector providing context for investors in any of the big CVS retailers (and their competing formats) as well as reviews of each major firm's KPIs.

Convenience store (CVS) retailing remains the most dynamic and innovative physical store sector. It is now 50 years since the first Seven Eleven opened and the sector wide drop in sales in 2020 was the first in its history.Whereas department stores also took a battering last year and are likely to struggle to recover, convenience stores should bounce back quickly, including implementing lessons learned in last year’s crisis.That does not mean the format faces no problems, with labour shortages, overly strict operating procedures and an ageing population of store owners (many are now reaching retirement age with no succession in place) all issues that need solutions, but its willingness and ability to adopt new technologies and adapt to the market will continue to keep CVS strong.The following is an annual in-depth review of the entire CVS sector providing context for investors in any of the big CVS retailers (and their competing formats) as well as reviews of each major firm's KPIs.

Convenience Stores: First Decline in 50 Years

FY2020 was clearly a year when department store executives would have been better to live in an induced coma. Big city stores suffered especially because inbound tourists, their main growth driver of the past few years, disappeared and local shoppers stayed away, although some stores did manage to harness support from Japan’s expanding wealth market to offset the rout a little bit. The good news is that executives pushing for change in the last five years in the face of perennial intransigence are increasingly taking charge and the result should be a leaner, smaller and more clearly defined format that is more overtly upscale.

FY2020 was clearly a year when department store executives would have been better to live in an induced coma. Big city stores suffered especially because inbound tourists, their main growth driver of the past few years, disappeared and local shoppers stayed away, although some stores did manage to harness support from Japan’s expanding wealth market to offset the rout a little bit. The good news is that executives pushing for change in the last five years in the face of perennial intransigence are increasingly taking charge and the result should be a leaner, smaller and more clearly defined format that is more overtly upscale.

Japan's Department Stores: Radical Contraction Still to Come if Sector Is to Survive

Japan

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

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Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP)

Japan Shopping Centres 2020-21 Review: A Shocking Year

A good window into Japanese retail performance is the performance of shopping malls. This is an in-depth review, including rankings of the best...

Michael Causton

Last Week In Event SPACE: Baycurrent, Perpetual, Digital Garage, Genesis/Vault, Seven & I, SoftBank

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Ups and Downs in Japanese Big Retail a Year After Covid Hit

Big retail in Japan showed improving results in 1H2021 as both Aeon and Seven & I boosted revenues although for very different reasons. Both remain...

Michael Causton

Convenience Stores: First Decline in 50 Years

For any investor in Japan's consumer staples sector, the convenience store sector is a key component. The following is an in-depth analysis of the...

Michael Causton

Japan's Department Stores: Radical Contraction Still to Come if Sector Is to Survive

Japan's department stores are in trouble and were well before the pandemic but their outlook is much worse now. Major changes are required, not...

Michael Causton

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