HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Valuation based on Cancellation Price hasn’t fully reflected the potential of Weijing Medical Robot business, nor does it reflect the future growth driven by import substitution due to centralized procurement.</li>
<li>The medical device sector is expected to have a strong trend of performance reversal/valuation repair. Kangji's fundamentals/prospects are moving in a positive direction. Reasonable valuation is HK$12-15 billion at least.</li>
<li>The current Cancellation Price of HK$9.25 is too low to normally reflect the Company's true fundamentals and prospects. Therefore, we're worried that there would be some investors opposing this privatization.</li>
</ul>


Valuation based on Cancellation Price hasn’t fully reflected the potential of Weijing Medical Robot business, nor does it reflect the future growth driven by import substitution due to centralized procurement.
The medical device sector is expected to have a strong trend of performance reversal/valuation repair. Kangji's fundamentals/prospects are moving in a positive direction. Reasonable valuation is HK$12-15 billion at least.
The current Cancellation Price of HK$9.25 is too low to normally reflect the Company's true fundamentals and prospects. Therefore, we're worried that there would be some investors opposing this privatization.


Kangji Medical (9997 HK) Privatization - The Cancellation Price Is Not Attractive

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US</li>
<li>Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.</li>
<li>We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.</li>
</ul>


In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US
Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.
We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.


MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>To date, 52 companies listed in Hong Kong have sought the conversion of their PRC domestic (and unlisted foreign shares) into H-shares.</li>
<li>This mechanism, ostensibly, enables founders or major shareholders holding unlisted domestic shares to float (and sell) shares, improving a company's corporate governance and stock liquidity, ultimately increasing a company's valuation.</li>
<li>Or in the case of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-huarong-asset-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:968:1" rel="noopener">China Huarong Asset Management (2799 HK)</a>, the conversion restored its minimum public float.</li>
</ul>


To date, 52 companies listed in Hong Kong have sought the conversion of their PRC domestic (and unlisted foreign shares) into H-shares.
This mechanism, ostensibly, enables founders or major shareholders holding unlisted domestic shares to float (and sell) shares, improving a company's corporate governance and stock liquidity, ultimately increasing a company's valuation.
Or in the case of China Huarong Asset Management (2799 HK), the conversion restored its minimum public float.


Full Circulation 2022 Update: China Huarong, YiChang HEC ChangJiang

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>A new round of rebalancing may still take some time.</li>
<li>Last week, the results of centralized procurement of artificial joints was released.</li>
<li>The added value of consumer genetic testing is that it could be a reference rather than an essential treatment or evidence.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs and cooperation agreement of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a>.Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 2.63%, while CSI 300 decreased 3.14% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
A new round of rebalancing may still take some time.
Last week, the results of centralized procurement of artificial joints was released.
The added value of consumer genetic testing is that it could be a reference rather than an essential treatment or evidence.
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs and cooperation agreement of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK) and Everest Medicines (1952 HK).Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 2.63%, while CSI 300 decreased 3.14% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep17) - A New Round of Rebalancing, Artificial Joints VBP, Genetic Testing

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Last week, the results of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) were released.</li>
<li>A new announcement on the centralized procurement of artificial joints was released, and the selection rules were relatively mild.</li>
<li>Recently, China National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) released the "2020 Annual Drug Evaluation Report". 
</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, Fosun Kite and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchmed-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:133:1" rel="noopener">Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK)</a>. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.19%, while CSI 300 increased 2.69% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Last week, the results of the 5th national volume-based purchase (VBP) were released.
A new announcement on the centralized procurement of artificial joints was released, and the selection rules were relatively mild.
Recently, China National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) released the "2020 Annual Drug Evaluation Report". 

Company news:News about the updated progress on drugs of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), Fosun Kite and Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK). Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 3.19%, while CSI 300 increased 2.69% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co. Ltd. is primarily engaged in the research and development, production, and sale of medical devices, focusing on single-use medical device products. Their extensive product portfolio includes consumables such as infusion sets, syringes, and blood bags, alongside orthopedic, interventional, pharma packaging, and blood management products. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Weihai, China.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (1066 HK)

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Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (1066 HK)

Kangji Medical (9997 HK) Privatization - The Cancellation Price Is Not Attractive

The Cancellation Price is too low to normally reflect Kangji's true fundamentals/outlook. The whole industry is moving in positive direction. We’re...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

$93 on $ACWI has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and it now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun....

Vermilion Research

Full Circulation 2022 Update: China Huarong, YiChang HEC ChangJiang

Full circulation, ostensibly, enables key shareholders holding unlisted domestic shares to float shares, improving corporate governance and stock...

David Blennerhassett

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep17) - A New Round of Rebalancing, Artificial Joints VBP, Genetic Testing

The article mainly analyzed the logic of volume-based purchase (VBP) and healthcare sector rebalancing, the results of centralized procurement of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.25)

This article analyzed the results of 5th national volume-based purchase, the new announcement on the centralized procurement of artificial joints,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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