Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>We continue to expect no index changes for September 2026. However, we estimate there to be around US$1.3bn in one-way flows triggered by capping.</li>
<li>The official index changes and indicative weights for the September 2026 index rebal event will be announced publicly after the close on Friday 21st August 2026.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
We continue to expect no index changes for September 2026. However, we estimate there to be around US$1.3bn in one-way flows triggered by capping.
The official index changes and indicative weights for the September 2026 index rebal event will be announced publicly after the close on Friday 21st August 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep26: No Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way; Announcement in Two Weeks

Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Policy excluded NVIDIA. Biren is the only Hong Kong-listed beneficiary — fully funded through its next product cycle and priced 25% below what six institutions paid three weeks ago.</li>
<li>
BR20X launches 4Q26 — fully domestic supply chain, H200-class benchmark — into a &gt;60%-growth market where NVIDIA is banned. Two percent unit share underwrites our RMB 5.0bn FY27E revenue.</li>
<li>
BULLISH, FV HK$46.00 (+32%). Basis: 20x FY27E EV/Sales plus ~HK$11bn net cash — a 40% discount to A-share GPU peers, where the wafer queue and CSP gap are priced.</li>
</ul>



Policy excluded NVIDIA. Biren is the only Hong Kong-listed beneficiary — fully funded through its next product cycle and priced 25% below what six institutions paid three weeks ago.

BR20X launches 4Q26 — fully domestic supply chain, H200-class benchmark — into a &gt;60%-growth market where NVIDIA is banned. Two percent unit share underwrites our RMB 5.0bn FY27E revenue.

BULLISH, FV HK$46.00 (+32%). Basis: 20x FY27E EV/Sales plus ~HK$11bn net cash — a 40% discount to A-share GPU peers, where the wafer queue and CSP gap are priced.


Shanghai Biren Technology (6082 HK): China's Only Listed GPU Designer - The NVDIA Alternative!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>On 10 August, Hang Seng Index launched a market consultation on potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> methodology.</li>
<li>If the proposals are approved, there will be 20 stocks added to the index in December creating a lot of flow and impact for the index constituents.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 13.4% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$73.3bn (US$9.3bn), so this could be implemented in a phased manner.</li>
</ul>


On 10 August, Hang Seng Index launched a market consultation on potential changes to the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) methodology.
If the proposals are approved, there will be 20 stocks added to the index in December creating a lot of flow and impact for the index constituents.
One way turnover is estimated at 13.4% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$73.3bn (US$9.3bn), so this could be implemented in a phased manner.


HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

CXMT Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cxmt-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44129:1" rel="noopener">CXMT Corporation (688825 CH)</a> concluded its IPO price at Rmb8.66, and we estimate this equals 5x PER for FY26 and 3.4x for FY27.</li>
<li>It is inexpensive relative to global peers, as they are trading at an average of 8.1x and 6.1x, respectively. Normally, A-shares trade at a higher multiple than global peers. </li>
<li>Applying the Hang Seng AH premium on the IPO, there is a 74.5% upside. Aggressively, if GPU companies are used as references, it may even provide a 3x upside.</li>
</ul>



CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) concluded its IPO price at Rmb8.66, and we estimate this equals 5x PER for FY26 and 3.4x for FY27.
It is inexpensive relative to global peers, as they are trading at an average of 8.1x and 6.1x, respectively. Normally, A-shares trade at a higher multiple than global peers. 
Applying the Hang Seng AH premium on the IPO, there is a 74.5% upside. Aggressively, if GPU companies are used as references, it may even provide a 3x upside.


CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) IPO: Valuation Insight

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Zhongji Innolight   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>With over 48 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.</li>
<li>In this note, we will also talk about the overall performance of the cohort of 48 deals. Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings.</li>
<li>We also have a look at some of the factors that might impact the post deal performance.</li>
</ul>


With over 48 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.
In this note, we will also talk about the overall performance of the cohort of 48 deals. Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings.
We also have a look at some of the factors that might impact the post deal performance.


Aequitas: A/H Premiums and Recent 48 Deals Performance  - Better Performance, a Look at Correlations

China

Biren Technology is a Chinese fabless semiconductor design company that develops general-purpose graphics processing units (GPGPUs) and intelligent computing solutions. Its products, such as the BR100 series, are aimed at artificial intelligence (AI), high-performance computing (HPC), and cloud applications. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Biren Technology (6082 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep26: No Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way; Announcement in Two Weeks

We expect the index review results for HSTECH to be publicly confirmed after market close on 21st August 2026. Please see the discussion point...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Shanghai Biren Technology (6082 HK): China's Only Listed GPU Designer - The NVDIA Alternative!

Policy banned NVIDIA. Biren is the only HK-listed beneficiary — HK$11bn cash, BR20X due 4Q26, priced 25% below the July placement. BULLISH, FV HK$46.

Mo Aziz

HSTECH Index: Market Consultation, 20 Adds in December, Trade of US$9.3bn

Following a market consult, there could be 20 adds for the index in Dec leading to a one-way turnover of 13.4% and a round-trip trade of US$9.3bn....

Brian Freitas

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) IPO: Valuation Insight

CXMT Corporation (688825 CH) has announced it will start trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's STAR Market next Monday (27 Jul 2026).

Osbert Tang, CFA

Aequitas: A/H Premiums and Recent 48 Deals Performance - Better Performance, a Look at Correlations

With over 48 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings, including correlations which might...

Sumeet Singh

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