Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a>'s Offer, by way of a Scheme from Centurium Partners, a pre-IPO investor, in tandem with Temasek, has displayed some unique (unusual?) firsts. </li>
<li>There is the 9%+ stake held by CDH - another pre-IPO investor - a shareholder that fails to appear in subsequent annual/interim reports; or even Hong Kong disclosure announcements.</li>
<li>Then late last week, the Offeror opted not to raise the cap on the scrip option alternative, despite shareholders expressing interest. </li>
</ul>



ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)'s Offer, by way of a Scheme from Centurium Partners, a pre-IPO investor, in tandem with Temasek, has displayed some unique (unusual?) firsts. 
There is the 9%+ stake held by CDH - another pre-IPO investor - a shareholder that fails to appear in subsequent annual/interim reports; or even Hong Kong disclosure announcements.
Then late last week, the Offeror opted not to raise the cap on the scrip option alternative, despite shareholders expressing interest. 


ANE Cayman (9956 HK): On S329 Reports And Letters Of Interest

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3sbio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:459:1" rel="noopener">3SBio Inc (1530 HK)</a> announced the placement of 105.2M shares for subscription at HK$29.62 per share.</li>
<li>The company intends to use 80% of the net proceeds for R&amp;D-related expenditures on innovative drug candidates and the rest 20% for working capital and other general corporate purpose.</li>
<li>The placement provides an indirect way of subscribing to Mandi shares. We reiterate our bullish stance on 3SBio with a 25-30% upside scope in the near term.</li>
</ul>



3SBio Inc (1530 HK) announced the placement of 105.2M shares for subscription at HK$29.62 per share.
The company intends to use 80% of the net proceeds for R&amp;D-related expenditures on innovative drug candidates and the rest 20% for working capital and other general corporate purpose.
The placement provides an indirect way of subscribing to Mandi shares. We reiterate our bullish stance on 3SBio with a 25-30% upside scope in the near term.


3SBio (1530 HK) Placement: 3SBio’s Pipeline Strength, An Indirect Stake in Mandi Makes It Attractive

Mandarin Oriental International / Event-Driven

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

<ul>
<li>Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a> is seeking to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP)</a> at US$3.35/share by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>The Offer Price is a 52.3% premium to undisturbed, and a 53.7% premium to NAV. Clean deal. And MAND has consistently traded tight to terms. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Shareholder%20Circular.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=867134" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme Doc is now out</a> for MAND. The Court Meeting is the 8th December. As with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>'s 2021 takeover, there is no independent assessment report. </li>
</ul>


Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to Alibaba, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) is seeking to privatise Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP) at US$3.35/share by way of a Scheme.
The Offer Price is a 52.3% premium to undisturbed, and a 53.7% premium to NAV. Clean deal. And MAND has consistently traded tight to terms. 
The Scheme Doc is now out for MAND. The Court Meeting is the 8th December. As with Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)'s 2021 takeover, there is no independent assessment report. 


Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Equity Bottom-Up

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported 14% YoY growth in net profit in Q2FY26, on 10% YoY growth in revenue. Declining contribution from North America is adversely affecting margin.</li>
<li>With lenalidomide benefit fading away, DRL’s North America business revenue has become stagnant. During Q2FY26, North America recorded revenue of INR32B, down 13% YoY and 5% QoQ.</li>
<li>NRT portfolio and domestic business cannot be strong revenue and margin drivers. DRL is relying on semaglutide and abatacept as major drivers, which will be reflected not before FY28.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 14% YoY growth in net profit in Q2FY26, on 10% YoY growth in revenue. Declining contribution from North America is adversely affecting margin.
With lenalidomide benefit fading away, DRL’s North America business revenue has become stagnant. During Q2FY26, North America recorded revenue of INR32B, down 13% YoY and 5% QoQ.
NRT portfolio and domestic business cannot be strong revenue and margin drivers. DRL is relying on semaglutide and abatacept as major drivers, which will be reflected not before FY28.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) / Equity Capital Markets

Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) (JBP HK)

<ul>
<li>JZB33 is expected to have more growth potential than JZB30. However, the rhFSH market is highly competitive. JZB30/JZB33 not only need to compete with MNCs but also domestic Big Pharma.</li>
<li>The "inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution leads to a high dependence JZB30, JZB33, JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth in the next 3-5 years, thus lacking sustained innovation and growth momentum.</li>
<li>Post-Money valuation was RMB3.09 billion after Series C+ Financing. We think valuation of Jingze should be lower than Henlius, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chengdu-kanghong-pharmaceutical-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24723:1" rel="noopener">Chengdu Kanghong </a>due to the concerns on commercialization outlook/Biosimilar VBP.</li>
</ul>


JZB33 is expected to have more growth potential than JZB30. However, the rhFSH market is highly competitive. JZB30/JZB33 not only need to compete with MNCs but also domestic Big Pharma.
The "inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution leads to a high dependence JZB30, JZB33, JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth in the next 3-5 years, thus lacking sustained innovation and growth momentum.
Post-Money valuation was RMB3.09 billion after Series C+ Financing. We think valuation of Jingze should be lower than Henlius, Chengdu Kanghong due to the concerns on commercialization outlook/Biosimilar VBP.


Pre-IPO Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) - The Concerns and the Outlook

China

Shanghai Henlius Biotech is a global, innovation-driven biopharmaceutical company focused on delivering high-quality, affordable biologic therapies for oncology, autoimmune diseases, and ophthalmic diseases. The company is engaged in biopharmaceutical research and development, manufacturing, and commercialization, offering products such as the biosimilars HANLIKANG (rituximab), HANQUYOU (trastuzumab), HANDAYUAN (adalimumab), and HANBEITAI (bevacizumab), as well as the innovative biologic HANSIZHUANG (serplulimab). Headquartered in Shanghai, China, the company was founded in 2010.

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Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)

ANE Cayman (9956 HK): On S329 Reports And Letters Of Interest

Trading 4.7%/27.1% gross/annualised, if payment before Chinese New Year. That's wide. The bankers should clear up CDH's holding. I'd be getting...

David Blennerhassett

3SBio (1530 HK) Placement: 3SBio’s Pipeline Strength, An Indirect Stake in Mandi Makes It Attractive

3SBio Inc announces placement of 105.2M shares at HK$29.62/share for R&D and working capital. Placement attractive given 3SBio's pipeline...

Tina Banerjee

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Clean, full Offer. MAND is trading around ~2.1%/10.8% gross/annualised, assuming late Jan 2026 payment. Expect more accretion/recycling to come in...

David Blennerhassett

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories sees 14% YoY profit growth in Q2FY26, but faces challenges with declining North America revenue impacting margins. Future...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) - The Concerns and the Outlook

"Inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution lead to high dependence JZB30/JZB33/JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth, thus lacking sustained...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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ANE Cayman (9956 HK): On S329 Reports And Letters Of Interest

Trading 4.7%/27.1% gross/annualised, if payment before Chinese New Year. That's wide. The bankers should clear up CDH's holding. I'd be getting...

David Blennerhassett

3SBio (1530 HK) Placement: 3SBio’s Pipeline Strength, An Indirect Stake in Mandi Makes It Attractive

​3SBio Inc announces placement of 105.2M shares at HK$29.62/share for R&D and working capital. Placement attractive given 3SBio's pipeline...

Tina Banerjee

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Clean, full Offer. MAND is trading around ~2.1%/10.8% gross/annualised, assuming late Jan 2026 payment. Expect more accretion/recycling to come in...

David Blennerhassett

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

​Dr. Reddy's Laboratories sees 14% YoY profit growth in Q2FY26, but faces challenges with declining North America revenue impacting margins. Future...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) - The Concerns and the Outlook

"Inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution lead to high dependence JZB30/JZB33/JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth, thus lacking sustained...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

3SBio Inc announces placement of 105.2M shares at HK$29.62/share for R&D and working capital. Placement attractive given 3SBio's pipeline...

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories sees 14% YoY profit growth in Q2FY26, but faces challenges with declining North America revenue impacting margins. Future...