HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Since 2025, four H-share IPOs of the A-shares have been trading below their listing price.  They are either of slow growth or a light HA discount.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44279:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian (3288 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kin-yat-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13688:1" rel="noopener">Fibocom Wireless (638 HK)</a> are burdened by slow earnings, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45945:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (9927 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:942:1" rel="noopener">Joyson Electronics (699 HK)</a> are weighted down by light discount. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-longcheer-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36881:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener"> )</a>'s H-share IPO appears attractive, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45241:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods (MUYUAN HK)</a> may need a steeper discount given its weaker earnings.</li>
</ul>


Since 2025, four H-share IPOs of the A-shares have been trading below their listing price.  They are either of slow growth or a light HA discount.

Foshan Haitian (3288 HK) and Fibocom Wireless (638 HK) are burdened by slow earnings, while Seres Group (9927 HK) and Joyson Electronics (699 HK) are weighted down by light discount. 

Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH )'s H-share IPO appears attractive, while Muyuan Foods (MUYUAN HK) may need a steeper discount given its weaker earnings.


HK Strategy: What to Avoid in the H-Share IPO of A-Shares?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The "growth and risk are intrinsically linked" structure poses fundamental challenge to the valuation logic. If US tariff issue cannot be resolved, the sustainability of growth engine will be threatened.</li>
<li>Based on CSRC’s inquiries, is Taotao's performance only driven by the time difference between fully enjoying the dividends of specific overseas segments and tariff transfer policies during specific window period?</li>
<li>Due to tariff risks, the A/H discount is expected to be between that of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry </a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-longcheer-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36881:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Longcheer Technology</a>, within reasonable range of 25% to 35% A/H discount.</li>
</ul>


The "growth and risk are intrinsically linked" structure poses fundamental challenge to the valuation logic. If US tariff issue cannot be resolved, the sustainability of growth engine will be threatened.
Based on CSRC’s inquiries, is Taotao's performance only driven by the time difference between fully enjoying the dividends of specific overseas segments and tariff transfer policies during specific window period?
Due to tariff risks, the A/H discount is expected to be between that of Luxshare Precision Industry  and Shanghai Longcheer Technology, within reasonable range of 25% to 35% A/H discount.


Pre-IPO Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>XREAL, an AR eyewear maker, has filed its prospectus with the HKEX. CICC and Citi are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: AR eyewear and accessories.</li>
<li>We put XREAL on Watch. Market leadership and named partners are positives, but cash burn, breakeven risk and product cycles matter.</li>
</ul>


XREAL, an AR eyewear maker, has filed its prospectus with the HKEX. CICC and Citi are the joint sponsors.
We look at the company's core segments: AR eyewear and accessories.
We put XREAL on Watch. Market leadership and named partners are positives, but cash burn, breakeven risk and product cycles matter.


Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We consider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. </li>
<li>Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. </li>
<li>The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.</li>
</ul>


We consider Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. 
Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. 
The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

<ul>
<li>With an aim to raise HK$8.2bn of net proceeds, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lingyi-itech-guangdong-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50139:1" rel="noopener">Lingyi iTech (1688 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO is a sizeable one and should attract interest. </li>
<li>Earnings record for this high-precision intelligent manufacturing platform is volatile, but should improve in FY27-28. 1Q26 profit drop is distorted by huge exchange losses.  </li>
<li>Priced at 44.6% discount to its A-share and 27.7x PER, the IPO is inexpensive. Assuming a discount of 26.9%, the fair price (HK$13.43) implies a 32% upside.</li>
</ul>


With an aim to raise HK$8.2bn of net proceeds, Lingyi iTech (1688 HK)'s H-share IPO is a sizeable one and should attract interest. 
Earnings record for this high-precision intelligent manufacturing platform is volatile, but should improve in FY27-28. 1Q26 profit drop is distorted by huge exchange losses.  
Priced at 44.6% discount to its A-share and 27.7x PER, the IPO is inexpensive. Assuming a discount of 26.9%, the fair price (HK$13.43) implies a 32% upside.


Lingyi ITech (1688 HK) IPO: Deserves a Narrower Discount

China

Shanghai Longcheer Technology Co., Ltd provides complete mobile terminal solutions for smart devices. The Company mainly designs, develops and produces smartphones, tablets, artificial intelligence internet of things products, and others. Shanghai Longcheer Technology markets its products across worldwide.

Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH)

Price Gauge
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Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH)

Pre-IPO Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

The biggest challenge for Taotao remains the US tariff risk. Investors should pay close attention to the progress of anti-dumping and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

XREAL Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

XREAL has filed its prospectus with the HKEX. We look at its business, industry, financials, peer valuation and shareholders, and whether the deal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lingyi ITech (1688 HK) IPO: Deserves a Narrower Discount

Lingyi iTech's H-share IPO aims to raise HK$8.2bn, with potential for faster earnings growth in FY27 and FY28. It deserves a narrower discount to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: What to Avoid in the H-Share IPO of A-Shares?

​Four H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 are trading below the listing price due to slow growth or a light discount. Meanwhile, Shanghai Longcheer...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Pre-IPO Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

The biggest challenge for Taotao remains the US tariff risk. Investors should pay close attention to the progress of anti-dumping and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

XREAL Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

XREAL has filed its prospectus with the HKEX. We look at its business, industry, financials, peer valuation and shareholders, and whether the deal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

​Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lingyi ITech (1688 HK) IPO: Deserves a Narrower Discount

​Lingyi iTech's H-share IPO aims to raise HK$8.2bn, with potential for faster earnings growth in FY27 and FY28. It deserves a narrower discount to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Four H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 are trading below the listing price due to slow growth or a light discount. Meanwhile, Shanghai Longcheer...

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Lingyi iTech's H-share IPO aims to raise HK$8.2bn, with potential for faster earnings growth in FY27 and FY28. It deserves a narrower discount to...