Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. </li>
<li>We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials ($2,588 million worth of outflows), Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows) led the outflows. 
We highlight outflows from Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mindray’s Q3 revenue growth slowed significantly, dragging down the overall revenue growth. This was related to China’s anti-corruption campaign, the impact of which is expected to linger for some time.</li>
<li>Our 2023 forecast is revenue up 15-18% YoY. Anti-corruption campaign would lead to declining demand and growth ceiling of domestic medical equipment market, thus negatively affecting Mindray’s future performance growth.</li>
<li>Investors may need to prepare in advance for Mindray's future revenue growth to fall to 15%.Based on this, PE TTM of around 30 is reasonable valuation for Mindray, not undervalued.</li>
</ul>


Mindray’s Q3 revenue growth slowed significantly, dragging down the overall revenue growth. This was related to China’s anti-corruption campaign, the impact of which is expected to linger for some time.
Our 2023 forecast is revenue up 15-18% YoY. Anti-corruption campaign would lead to declining demand and growth ceiling of domestic medical equipment market, thus negatively affecting Mindray’s future performance growth.
Investors may need to prepare in advance for Mindray's future revenue growth to fall to 15%.Based on this, PE TTM of around 30 is reasonable valuation for Mindray, not undervalued.


Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760.CH) 23Q3- Future Performance Slowdown Is Inevitable

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.</li>
<li>Overall net NORTHBOUND selling this week was small at RMB 445mm. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foxconn-industrial-internet-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27163:1" rel="noopener">Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH)</a> was net bought every day despite the investigation news the previous weekend.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.
Overall net NORTHBOUND selling this week was small at RMB 445mm. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH) was net bought every day despite the investigation news the previous weekend.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 27Oct23): Net Selling Small, Foxconn & Tianqi Bought

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 27th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$50.4 million, led by information technology, financials, and offset by materials, utilities, communication services.</li>
<li>We have highlighted northbound flows for Moutai, CATL and Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 27th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$50.4 million, led by information technology, financials, and offset by materials, utilities, communication services.
We have highlighted northbound flows for Moutai, CATL and Midea.


Northbound Flows (Oct 27th): Moutai, CATL, Midea

China

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical equipment. The Company produces life information supporting, in vitro diagnostic, and medical imaging equipment equipment. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics also produces supporting reagents.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

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Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (October): Three Months of Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Longi, Focus Media, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM