Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical / Index Rebalance

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical (688506 CH)

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.</li>
<li>The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$4.5bn and US$3.8bn in one-way flows respectively.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.
There will be 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$4.5bn and US$3.8bn in one-way flows respectively.


Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine. </li>
<li>Financial, information technology and industrials led the inflow in Jan.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine. 
Financial, information technology and industrials led the inflow in Jan.
We highlight inflows into CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $21bn Inflows in January

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). 
We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE:  Swire, Hitachi Metal, Jardine, Softbank, Bingo, Japan Asia, Mainstream

China

Shenzhen Shenxin Taifeng Group Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and sells communication products, as well as produces feedstuffs and breeds poultry.  The Company's products include feedstuffs, communication products and agricultural products as well as is involved in property development and management.

Shenzhen Shenxin Taifeng Group Co,Ltd. (000034 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shenzhen Shenxin Taifeng Group Co,Ltd. (000034 CH)

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

The LONGs have outperformed the Index by 2.2% since 5th November. The trade has to be now adjusted for the surprises in the latest index change...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows Monthly: $21bn Inflows in January

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for January and highlight flows for CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Swire, Hitachi Metal, Jardine, Softbank, Bingo, Japan Asia, Mainstream

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

The LONGs have outperformed the Index by 2.2% since 5th November. The trade has to be now adjusted for the surprises in the latest index change...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows Monthly: $21bn Inflows in January

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for January and highlight flows for CATL, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Swire, Hitachi Metal, Jardine, Softbank, Bingo, Japan Asia, Mainstream

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade