Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For June 2025, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$29bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~39%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For June 2025, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$29bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~39%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2025 Wrap: Santos, Fuji Corp, Brickworks, Great Eastern, VIOL, Adriatic

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a> is a pretty straightforward short term trade. Basically the second largest shareholder, Prakitchaiwattana, got margin called, and shares fell limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>South Korean private equity firm VIG Partners tables an Offer for beauty device company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>, whose major shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dms-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2132:1" rel="noopener">DMS (068790 KS)</a>, faces allegations of unfair internal transactions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco (200 HK)</a>'s 11.9% gain on the 26th June - on serious volume - was predicated on a short squeeze, just eight days after the fully-paid rights shares commenced trading.</li>
</ul>



Krungthai Card (KTC TB) is a pretty straightforward short term trade. Basically the second largest shareholder, Prakitchaiwattana, got margin called, and shares fell limit down. Twice.
South Korean private equity firm VIG Partners tables an Offer for beauty device company VIOL (335890 KS), whose major shareholder, DMS (068790 KS), faces allegations of unfair internal transactions.

Melco (200 HK)'s 11.9% gain on the 26th June - on serious volume - was predicated on a short squeeze, just eight days after the fully-paid rights shares commenced trading.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Krungthai Card, VIOL, Melco, Singapore Post

<ul>
<li>I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">Humm Group (HUM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos (STO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9712:1" rel="noopener">New World Resources (NWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45153:1" rel="noopener">SmartPay (SMP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dickson-concepts-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5052:1" rel="noopener">Dickson Concepts (113 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Humm Group (HUM AU) and VIOL (335890 KS).
Key updates/news took place onSantos (STO AU), PointsBet (PBH AU), New World Resources (NWC AU), SmartPay (SMP AU), Dickson Concepts (113 HK), and SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, PointsBet, New World Resources, SmartPay, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Humm

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a> at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), a 19.4% premium to the last close price of NZ$1.005.</li>
<li>The scheme is subject to shareholder and OIO approval. In the absence of a competing proposal, the offer is the best and final offer.   </li>
<li>Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Shift4 Payments (FOUR US) at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), a 19.4% premium to the last close price of NZ$1.005.
The scheme is subject to shareholder and OIO approval. In the absence of a competing proposal, the offer is the best and final offer.   
Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

<ul>
<li>Eftpos terminal provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ/SMP AU)</a> has now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250623/pdf/06kzlbzw8mvj8b.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a Scheme Implementation Deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a>.</li>
<li>Shift4 is offering NZ$1.20, the same price as that under the NBIO announced early last month. It's a 46.05% premium to the 90-day VWAP, and 14.2x normalised FY25 EBITDA. </li>
<li>The Offer has the unanimous backing of both boards, and also has the backing from Microequities holding 13.3% of shares out. Implementation expected in 4Q25. </li>
</ul>


Eftpos terminal provider Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ/SMP AU) has now entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Shift4 Payments (FOUR US).
Shift4 is offering NZ$1.20, the same price as that under the NBIO announced early last month. It's a 46.05% premium to the 90-day VWAP, and 14.2x normalised FY25 EBITDA. 
The Offer has the unanimous backing of both boards, and also has the backing from Microequities holding 13.3% of shares out. Implementation expected in 4Q25. 


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU) Enters Into Scheme With Shift4

United States

Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides payment processing solutions. The Company offers software for transaction and money transfer activities. Shift4 Payments serves customers in the United States.

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Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2025 Wrap: Santos, Fuji Corp, Brickworks, Great Eastern, VIOL, Adriatic

For the month of June, 11 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$29bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Krungthai Card, VIOL, Melco, Singapore Post

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, PointsBet, New World Resources, SmartPay, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Humm

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.

Arun George

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU) Enters Into Scheme With Shift4

This looks like a clean deal. If small illiquid arbs are your thing, I'd pay up to NZ$1.13/share assuming mid-Nov payment.

David Blennerhassett

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