Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable / Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869 HK)

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in February will be announced pre-market open tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 27 February.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangtze-optical-fibre-and-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:83:1" rel="noopener">Yangtze Optical Fibre And H (6869 HK)</a> is up 90% over the last 3 weeks and the AH premium versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangtze-optical-fibre-cable" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29980:1" rel="noopener">Yangtze Optical Fibre &amp; Cable (601869 CH)</a> has dropped significantly.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in February will be announced pre-market open tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 27 February.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.

Yangtze Optical Fibre And H (6869 HK) is up 90% over the last 3 weeks and the AH premium versus Yangtze Optical Fibre &amp; Cable (601869 CH) has dropped significantly.


Global Index: Potential Changes in February for Asia Pac

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Core Concept Technologies Inc / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>Our long-term pre-event candidate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-concept-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34323:1" rel="noopener">Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP)</a> is getting close to a TOPIX Inclusion announcement.</li>
<li>However, their fate will be decided by share price movements.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
Our long-term pre-event candidate Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP) is getting close to a TOPIX Inclusion announcement.
However, their fate will be decided by share price movements.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2026)

Chugoku Electric Power Co / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at potential ADDs and DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2026 based on trading data as of end-November 2025.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.
Below is a look at potential ADDs and DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2026 based on trading data as of end-November 2025.


Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2026: End-Nov 2025 Ranks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For June 2025, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$29bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~39%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For June 2025, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$29bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in June was ~39%, with a year-to-date average of 47%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2025 Wrap: Santos, Fuji Corp, Brickworks, Great Eastern, VIOL, Adriatic

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a> is a pretty straightforward short term trade. Basically the second largest shareholder, Prakitchaiwattana, got margin called, and shares fell limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>South Korean private equity firm VIG Partners tables an Offer for beauty device company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>, whose major shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dms-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2132:1" rel="noopener">DMS (068790 KS)</a>, faces allegations of unfair internal transactions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco (200 HK)</a>'s 11.9% gain on the 26th June - on serious volume - was predicated on a short squeeze, just eight days after the fully-paid rights shares commenced trading.</li>
</ul>



Krungthai Card (KTC TB) is a pretty straightforward short term trade. Basically the second largest shareholder, Prakitchaiwattana, got margin called, and shares fell limit down. Twice.
South Korean private equity firm VIG Partners tables an Offer for beauty device company VIOL (335890 KS), whose major shareholder, DMS (068790 KS), faces allegations of unfair internal transactions.

Melco (200 HK)'s 11.9% gain on the 26th June - on serious volume - was predicated on a short squeeze, just eight days after the fully-paid rights shares commenced trading.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Krungthai Card, VIOL, Melco, Singapore Post

Japan

Shimizu Corporation is a general contractor operating nationwide and overseas. The Company builds residential, commercial, and institutional buildings. Shimizu also performs civil engineering works for roads and operates real estate businesses. The Company, through its subsidiaries, sells and leases construction materials and machinery.

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Shimizu Corp (1803 JP)

Global Index: Potential Changes in February for Asia Pac

A global index announces tomorrow and rebalances at the close on 27 Feb. There will be a lot of changes with China leading the way. Stocks have...

Brian Freitas

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2026)

There are currently 162 names that satisfy all 5 key Segment Transfer requirements based on current data. Another 150 names can satisfy 4 out of 5...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2026: End-Nov 2025 Ranks

In total, there are 48 Potential ADDs and 47 Potential DELs (unique names) presented in the current Quiddity Leaderboard.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

(Mostly) Asia M&A, June 2025 Wrap: Santos, Fuji Corp, Brickworks, Great Eastern, VIOL, Adriatic

For the month of June, 11 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$29bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Krungthai Card, VIOL, Melco, Singapore Post

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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