Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Based on prices and turnover from 16 January, there could be four additions for the index in January. Plus there will be capping and float changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The index is up 108% over the last year and there have been large creations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-uranium-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32107:1" rel="noopener">Global X Uranium ETF (URA US)</a> over the last 9 months.</li>
</ul>


Based on prices and turnover from 16 January, there could be four additions for the index in January. Plus there will be capping and float changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade.
The index is up 108% over the last year and there have been large creations in Global X Uranium ETF (URA US) over the last 9 months.


Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Adds + Capping

Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Investment community is too bearish on Pd, a strategic metal, it has strong growth dynamics looking forward. Future supplies will be physically constrained, whether from Russia and/or South Africa.</li>
<li>Palladium (Pd) demand to grow 26% over the next decade. Production dominated by Russia and South Africa. Russian production sustainability under question</li>
<li>Virtually all global Pd production is via by-product. Significant price rises required to incentivise additional supply  </li>
</ul>


Investment community is too bearish on Pd, a strategic metal, it has strong growth dynamics looking forward. Future supplies will be physically constrained, whether from Russia and/or South Africa.
Palladium (Pd) demand to grow 26% over the next decade. Production dominated by Russia and South Africa. Russian production sustainability under question
Virtually all global Pd production is via by-product. Significant price rises required to incentivise additional supply  


Palladium Price to Double Within a Decade

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Interview with Vuslat, who runs a mining investment company in South Africa</li><li>South Africa is rich in commodities like PGMs, Chrome, Manganese, Coal, and Iron Ore</li><li>South Africa offers rule of law, democracy, and security of tenure, making it an attractive investment destination for mining companies</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Interview with Vuslat, who runs a mining investment company in South AfricaSouth Africa is rich in commodities like PGMs, Chrome, Manganese, Coal, and Iron OreSouth Africa offers rule of law, democracy, and security of tenure, making it an attractive investment destination for mining companiesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

<ul>
<li>Global platinum demand declined ~18% in the past decade, with the consumption nadir will be reached during 2025.</li>
<li>Decline in diesel vehicle sales have plateaued, with Industrial/chemical demand to exceed autocatalyst by 2035.</li>
<li>Platinum prices to remain flat for foreseeable future, but others in the basket may climb (e.g. palladium).</li>
</ul>


Global platinum demand declined ~18% in the past decade, with the consumption nadir will be reached during 2025.
Decline in diesel vehicle sales have plateaued, with Industrial/chemical demand to exceed autocatalyst by 2035.
Platinum prices to remain flat for foreseeable future, but others in the basket may climb (e.g. palladium).


Platinum Demand to Grow from 2025 Onwards

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mondi-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22048:1" rel="noopener">Mondi PLC (MNDI LN)</a> is near the exit threshold of Top 40, resulting in a potential deletion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-african-resources-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23518:1" rel="noopener">Pan African Resources (PAF LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tiger-brands-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24843:1" rel="noopener">Tiger Brands (TBS SJ)</a> are the main candidates to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mondi-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22048:1" rel="noopener">Mondi PLC (MNDI LN)</a> in Top 40.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/impala-platinum-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25124:1" rel="noopener">Impala Platinum Holdings (IMP SJ)</a> is expected to migrate from MidCap to LargeCap following its price surge of 40% over the last 3 months.</li>
</ul>



Mondi PLC (MNDI LN) is near the exit threshold of Top 40, resulting in a potential deletion.

Pan African Resources (PAF LN) and Tiger Brands (TBS SJ) are the main candidates to replace Mondi PLC (MNDI LN) in Top 40.

Impala Platinum Holdings (IMP SJ) is expected to migrate from MidCap to LargeCap following its price surge of 40% over the last 3 months.


South Africa/JSE Index Forecast - Mar26: Maybe 1 Addition, 1 Deletion in Top 40

South Africa

Sibanye Stillwater Limited is a mining and metals processing group. The Company produces platinum, palladium, and rhodium and gold producer, as well as produces other PGMs, such as iridium and ruthenium, along with chrome, copper and nickel as by-products. Sibanye Stillwater serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Sibanye Stillwater (SSW SJ)

Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Adds + Capping

We highlight 4 potential inclusions for the index in January. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There...

Brian Freitas

Palladium Price to Double Within a Decade

Investors underestimate growth potential of palladium due to supply constraints from Russia and South Africa, with demand expected to rise 26% in...

Gaius King

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

In summary, Mina is a private mining investment company in South Africa, benefiting from the country's rich ore deposits and supportive government...

Money of Mine

Platinum Demand to Grow from 2025 Onwards

Global platinum demand has stopped falling, with industrial and chemical demand is expected to surpass autocatalyst in 2035. Though prices may...

Gaius King

South Africa/JSE Index Forecast - Mar26: Maybe 1 Addition, 1 Deletion in Top 40

Mondi plc (MNP SJ) will be deleted from the Top 40 and Pan African Resources (PAN SJ) will be added as the replacement. Forecasted passive fund...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Solactive Global Uranium & Nuclear Components Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Adds + Capping

We highlight 4 potential inclusions for the index in January. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$420m. There...

Brian Freitas

Palladium Price to Double Within a Decade

​Investors underestimate growth potential of palladium due to supply constraints from Russia and South Africa, with demand expected to rise 26% in...

Gaius King

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

In summary, Mina is a private mining investment company in South Africa, benefiting from the country's rich ore deposits and supportive government...

Money of Mine

Platinum Demand to Grow from 2025 Onwards

​Global platinum demand has stopped falling, with industrial and chemical demand is expected to surpass autocatalyst in 2035. Though prices may...

Gaius King

South Africa/JSE Index Forecast - Mar26: Maybe 1 Addition, 1 Deletion in Top 40

Mondi plc (MNP SJ) will be deleted from the Top 40 and Pan African Resources (PAN SJ) will be added as the replacement. Forecasted passive fund...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Investors underestimate growth potential of palladium due to supply constraints from Russia and South Africa, with demand expected to rise 26% in...

Global platinum demand has stopped falling, with industrial and chemical demand is expected to surpass autocatalyst in 2035. Though prices may...