Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 8th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for thre stocks, Meituan, China Mobile, and CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 8th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for thre stocks, Meituan, China Mobile, and CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 8th): Meituan, China Mobile, CNOOC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Kelun-Biotech, a trailblazer in biotech innovation, boasts a diverse ADC pipeline with strategic backing from MSD.</li><li>Leveraging a robust integrated ADC platform, the company has developed several differentiated clinical-stage ADCs - including SKB264 (TROP2 ADC), A166 (HER2 ADC), SKB315 (CLDN18.2 ADC), and SKB410 (Nectin-4 ADC) - and numerous preclinical candidates.</li><li>This pipeline's potential is underscored by a strategic partnership with MSD, which includes the out-licensing of select ex-China rights for seven ADC assets in deals potentially worth up to US$11.8bn.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kelun-Biotech, a trailblazer in biotech innovation, boasts a diverse ADC pipeline with strategic backing from MSD.Leveraging a robust integrated ADC platform, the company has developed several differentiated clinical-stage ADCs - including SKB264 (TROP2 ADC), A166 (HER2 ADC), SKB315 (CLDN18.2 ADC), and SKB410 (Nectin-4 ADC) - and numerous preclinical candidates.This pipeline's potential is underscored by a strategic partnership with MSD, which includes the out-licensing of select ex-China rights for seven ADC assets in deals potentially worth up to US$11.8bn.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - A Trailblazer in ADC Arena

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Thanks to the continuous support of policies, the TCM industry has ushered in a harvest period. So, TCM remains to be a relatively certain field for investment in China healthcare. </li>
<li>Biotech companies must meet several conditions in order to have good long-term development, such as sufficient financial support, at least one blockbuster product and high moral standard of the management.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) </a>is about RMB15 billion. So, we think it is now overvalued. Meanwhile, restricted shares will be lifted 12 months after the IPO.</li>
</ul>


Thanks to the continuous support of policies, the TCM industry has ushered in a harvest period. So, TCM remains to be a relatively certain field for investment in China healthcare. 
Biotech companies must meet several conditions in order to have good long-term development, such as sufficient financial support, at least one blockbuster product and high moral standard of the management.
Reasonable valuation of Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) is about RMB15 billion. So, we think it is now overvalued. Meanwhile, restricted shares will be lifted 12 months after the IPO.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.23)- TCM Ushers in a Harvest Period, Biotech Bottom-Line, Kelun-Biotech

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 25 adds and 29 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 514.</li>
<li>We expect 21 of the 25 HSCI inclusions to be added to Stock Connect while we expect 27 of the 29 HSCI deletions to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Since the start of the year, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 22 of the 29 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the weeks ahead.</li>
</ul>


There are 25 adds and 29 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 514.
We expect 21 of the 25 HSCI inclusions to be added to Stock Connect while we expect 27 of the 29 HSCI deletions to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Since the start of the year, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 22 of the 29 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the weeks ahead.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 25 Adds, 29 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We expected a blandiloquent but bletcherous bump for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>.  We got bletcherous.</li>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, time to dust off some old school perspective with Benjamin Graham's Net Nets.</li>
<li>JIC CEO Yokoo reckons the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. If that means to start by then, that's still 30% annualised.</li>
</ul>


We expected a blandiloquent but bletcherous bump for T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP).  We got bletcherous.
With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, time to dust off some old school perspective with Benjamin Graham's Net Nets.
JIC CEO Yokoo reckons the JSR Corp (4185 JP) deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. If that means to start by then, that's still 30% annualised.


Last Week in Event SPACE: T&K TOKA, Liquidated HK Stocks, JSR, Orecorp, Brilliance Auto, Hollysys

China

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops and provides biological drugs, chemical raw materials, antibody conjugating drugs, innovative drugs, and other products. Kelun Biotech also operates import and export businesses.

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Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 8th): Meituan, China Mobile, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week. We estimate the inflows to be USD1.4bn and highlight flows for Meituan, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - A Trailblazer in ADC Arena

Leveraging a robust integrated ADC platform, the company has developed several differentiated clinical-stage ADCs - including SKB264 (TROP2 ADC),...

CMB International

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.23)- TCM Ushers in a Harvest Period, Biotech Bottom-Line, Kelun-Biotech

TCM remains attractive for investment in China healthcare. Biotech must meet some conditions to have good future development.Kelun-Bio is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCI Index Rebalance: 25 Adds, 29 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

There are 25 adds and 29 deletes for the HSCI in March. 21 stocks will be added to Stock Connect while 27 will be deleted. Positions via the...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: T&K TOKA, Liquidated HK Stocks, JSR, Orecorp, Brilliance Auto, Hollysys

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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