Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After a blockbuster 2022 driven by lithium supercycle highs, Tianqi Lithium saw earnings swing into deep losses in 2024 amid price crashes.</li>
<li>Looking ahead, it plans to scale lithium chemical capacity to over 140,000 tons/year, deepen integration in China and Southeast Asia, and selectively invest in technologies like DLE.</li>
<li>While near-term profitability remains uncertain, current EV/EBITDA valuations below 5x suggest the downside may be priced in.</li>
</ul>


After a blockbuster 2022 driven by lithium supercycle highs, Tianqi Lithium saw earnings swing into deep losses in 2024 amid price crashes.
Looking ahead, it plans to scale lithium chemical capacity to over 140,000 tons/year, deepen integration in China and Southeast Asia, and selectively invest in technologies like DLE.
While near-term profitability remains uncertain, current EV/EBITDA valuations below 5x suggest the downside may be priced in.


Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ / 9696.HK): Rebuilding Via Expansion, Valuations Appear Reasonable

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.9% as of Jul 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, real estate, energy and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian Minsheng Securities, CHALIECO, Tigermed, Guotai Haitong Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.9% as of Jul 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, real estate, energy and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian Minsheng Securities, CHALIECO, Tigermed, Guotai Haitong Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$18.18 to raise HK$4,768 million (US$607 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lens-technology-h-share-listing-6613-hk-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:191858" rel="noopener">Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the decent price momentum.</li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (6613 HK) priced its H Share at HK$18.18 to raise HK$4,768 million (US$607 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case. 
Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the decent price momentum.


Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu, Zhongjin Gold, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan), Longi Green, Tcl Zhonghuan, Cambricon Technologies.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu, Zhongjin Gold, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan), Longi Green, Tcl Zhonghuan, Cambricon Technologies.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

China

Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. develops, manufactures and sells lithium products.  The Company's products include industrial lithium carbonate, battery lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, and lithium hydroxide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ / 9696.HK): Rebuilding Via Expansion, Valuations Appear Reasonable

Tianqi rallied ~15% as lithium futures rebounded ~17% from ¥60,000 to ¥70,500/ton after Zangge Mining halted production due to low prices. The...

Rahul Jain

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Industrial Bank (601166 CH), Satellite Chemical (002648 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ / 9696.HK): Rebuilding Via Expansion, Valuations Appear Reasonable

Tianqi rallied ~15% as lithium futures rebounded ~17% from ¥60,000 to ¥70,500/ton after Zangge Mining halted production due to low prices. The...

Rahul Jain

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): Trading Debut

Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the...

Arun George

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Industrial Bank (601166 CH), Satellite Chemical (002648 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM