Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A methodology change for the Hang Seng Biotech Index (HSHKBIO Index) will result in 20 deletions at the close of trading on 5 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$1.3bn (US$162m). Passive trackers need to sell between 0.05-1x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>The forecast deletes have underperformed the other index constituents since the start of the year but there has been little movement since the announcement of the methodology change.</li>
</ul>


A methodology change for the Hang Seng Biotech Index (HSHKBIO Index) will result in 20 deletions at the close of trading on 5 September.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$1.3bn (US$162m). Passive trackers need to sell between 0.05-1x ADV in the deletes.
The forecast deletes have underperformed the other index constituents since the start of the year but there has been little movement since the announcement of the methodology change.


Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to 20 Deletions

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Everest Medicines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.</li>
<li>In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.
This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.
In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Xuanzhu Biopharm, the biotech arm of HK-listed Sihuan Pharma, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The sole sponsor is CICC.</li>
<li>In previous insight, we looked at the company’s core products and key products, including XBP-3571, XZP-3287, and XZP-3621, and its management team and investor backing.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s latest filing and its previous attempt to list in the A-share market.</li>
</ul>


Xuanzhu Biopharm, the biotech arm of HK-listed Sihuan Pharma, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The sole sponsor is CICC.
In previous insight, we looked at the company’s core products and key products, including XBP-3571, XZP-3287, and XZP-3621, and its management team and investor backing.
In this note, we look at the company’s latest filing and its previous attempt to list in the A-share market.


Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Alarming Signs upon Further Checks

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 20th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), AIA (1299 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 20th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 20th): Tencent, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, AIA

<ul>
<li>Xuanzhu Biopharm, the biotech arm of HK-listed Sihuan Pharma, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The sole sponsor is CICC.</li>
<li>In this insight, we look at the company’s core products and key products, including XBP-3571, XZP-3287 and XZP-3621.</li>
<li>While there are some interesting reads from its clinical data, we are of the view that its near-commercial products are still lacking the differentiating factors in respective competitive therapeutic areas.</li>
</ul>


Xuanzhu Biopharm, the biotech arm of HK-listed Sihuan Pharma, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The sole sponsor is CICC.
In this insight, we look at the company’s core products and key products, including XBP-3571, XZP-3287 and XZP-3621.
While there are some interesting reads from its clinical data, we are of the view that its near-commercial products are still lacking the differentiating factors in respective competitive therapeutic areas.


Xuanzhu Biopharm (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Reality Checks Against Claims

China

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Holdings Group Ltd. researches and develops cardiocerebral vascular drugs in China. The Company drugs address needs in the areas of anti-infective, metabolism, cardiovascular system, oncology and nervous system.

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Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)

Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to 20 Deletions

A methodology change could lead to 20 deletions in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we run the deal through our framework and talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Xuanzhu Biopharm (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Alarming Signs upon Further Checks

Xuanzhu Biopharm, biotech arm of Sihuan Pharma, aims to raise $100m in HK listing with CICC as sole sponsor. We looked at latest filing and its A...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 20th): Tencent, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xuanzhu Biopharm (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Reality Checks Against Claims

Xuanzhu Biopharm aims to raise $100m in Hong Kong IPO with CICC as sole sponsor, but faces challenges with near-commercial products lacking...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to 20 Deletions

A methodology change could lead to 20 deletions in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we run the deal through our framework and talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Xuanzhu Biopharm (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Alarming Signs upon Further Checks

​Xuanzhu Biopharm, biotech arm of Sihuan Pharma, aims to raise $100m in HK listing with CICC as sole sponsor. We looked at latest filing and its A...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 20th): Tencent, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xuanzhu Biopharm (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Reality Checks Against Claims

​Xuanzhu Biopharm aims to raise $100m in Hong Kong IPO with CICC as sole sponsor, but faces challenges with near-commercial products lacking...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xuanzhu Biopharm, biotech arm of Sihuan Pharma, aims to raise $100m in HK listing with CICC as sole sponsor. We looked at latest filing and its A...

Xuanzhu Biopharm aims to raise $100m in Hong Kong IPO with CICC as sole sponsor, but faces challenges with near-commercial products lacking...