IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that Sinopharm is reviving its interest in privatising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>/CTCM. Sinopharm has contacted banks about financing and is considering partnering with other investors.</li>
<li>Sinopharm’s best bet is to partner with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-c2975d60-47cd-4246-a7a6-25297586242b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)</a> and privatise through a scheme. In this scenario, no disinterested shareholder would hold a blocking stake.</li>
<li>Due to Sinopharm's previous privatisation attempts, shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that Sinopharm is reviving its interest in privatising China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)/CTCM. Sinopharm has contacted banks about financing and is considering partnering with other investors.
Sinopharm’s best bet is to partner with Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) and privatise through a scheme. In this scenario, no disinterested shareholder would hold a blocking stake.
Due to Sinopharm's previous privatisation attempts, shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.


China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time's the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

The United Laboratories International Holdings Limited

<ul>
<li>Last year, United Lab mainly relied on antibiotics to make money. However, after the pandemic is under control, antibiotic sales may decline. United Lab’s performance could be under pressure.</li>
<li>As a late comer, sales of United Lab’s weight management products could be lower than expected in the future under increasing competition. The veterinary drugs business requires time to cultivate.</li>
<li>RMB12 billion market value of United Lab has priced in all positive factors.There could be a pullback in valuation. RMB6 billion market value is a safe place to go long.</li>
</ul>


Last year, United Lab mainly relied on antibiotics to make money. However, after the pandemic is under control, antibiotic sales may decline. United Lab’s performance could be under pressure.
As a late comer, sales of United Lab’s weight management products could be lower than expected in the future under increasing competition. The veterinary drugs business requires time to cultivate.
RMB12 billion market value of United Lab has priced in all positive factors.There could be a pullback in valuation. RMB6 billion market value is a safe place to go long.


United Laboratories International Holdings Placement (3933.HK) - Valuation Pullback Seems Inevitable

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Through continuous M&amp;A/resource integration, Haohai has gradually established its four business segments, but such development strategy hasn’t brought ideal performance, which is disappointing if compared with Bloomage and Imeik.</li>
<li>The future performance driver of Haohai still lies in the medical aesthetics business, but increasing competition and declining gross margin cast doubts on the outlook and growth potential.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-haohai-biological-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29220:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology-A (688366 CH) </a>is overvalued. Due to lack of growth point with high certainty, we are not optimistic about the upside potential of Haohai's valuation.</li>
</ul>


Through continuous M&amp;A/resource integration, Haohai has gradually established its four business segments, but such development strategy hasn’t brought ideal performance, which is disappointing if compared with Bloomage and Imeik.
The future performance driver of Haohai still lies in the medical aesthetics business, but increasing competition and declining gross margin cast doubts on the outlook and growth potential.

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology-A (688366 CH) is overvalued. Due to lack of growth point with high certainty, we are not optimistic about the upside potential of Haohai's valuation.


Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366.CH/6826.HK)- Disappointing Earnings and Gloomy Outlook

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sihuan is pursuing strategic adjustments actively, aiming to further improve the overall operating efficiency and financial performance of the Company. We summarized some business updates. </li>
<li>Based on our analysis, Sihuan's business transformation to innovative drugs and medical aesthetics may not end up well, despite that they are “a good story” for the time being.</li>
<li>Without persuasive long-term logic, share price of Sihuan could underperform. Therefore, considering the characteristics of Sihuan, we advise investors to do short-term trading – buy low and sell high.</li>
</ul>


Sihuan is pursuing strategic adjustments actively, aiming to further improve the overall operating efficiency and financial performance of the Company. We summarized some business updates. 
Based on our analysis, Sihuan's business transformation to innovative drugs and medical aesthetics may not end up well, despite that they are “a good story” for the time being.
Without persuasive long-term logic, share price of Sihuan could underperform. Therefore, considering the characteristics of Sihuan, we advise investors to do short-term trading – buy low and sell high.


Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - About the Recent Business Adjustments and the Outlook

Bloomage Biotechnology  Lt / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Many interpretations of Bloomage are just looking at the surface of the Company. It is actually a biotechnology and biomaterial company, with business layout covering the whole industrial chain.</li>
<li>The biggest advantage is the innovation of raw materials.Based on synthetic biology, Bloomage is more comfortable in the richness of raw materials (hyaluronic acid/collagen etc.) and flexibility of product matrix expansion.</li>
<li>The synergy/complementarity of multiple businesses improve the resilience to market/policy changes. If investors cannot have a deep understanding of Bloomage's positioning/real strategic intentions, they won't seize the alpha in the future.</li>
</ul>


Many interpretations of Bloomage are just looking at the surface of the Company. It is actually a biotechnology and biomaterial company, with business layout covering the whole industrial chain.
The biggest advantage is the innovation of raw materials.Based on synthetic biology, Bloomage is more comfortable in the richness of raw materials (hyaluronic acid/collagen etc.) and flexibility of product matrix expansion.
The synergy/complementarity of multiple businesses improve the resilience to market/policy changes. If investors cannot have a deep understanding of Bloomage's positioning/real strategic intentions, they won't seize the alpha in the future.


Bloomage Biotechnology (688363.CH) - Positioning and Strategic Layout Imply Strong Upside Potential

China

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Holdings Group Ltd. researches and develops cardiocerebral vascular drugs in China. The Company drugs address needs in the areas of anti-infective, metabolism, cardiovascular system, oncology and nervous system.

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Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)

China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time's the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?

Due to Sinopharm's previous privatisation attempts, shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding...

Arun George

United Laboratories International Holdings Placement (3933.HK) - Valuation Pullback Seems Inevitable

United Lab is facing a performance decline when the dividend period of the pandemic has subsided. Weight management/veterinary drug businesses have...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (688366.CH/6826.HK)- Disappointing Earnings and Gloomy Outlook

Continuous M&A fails to bring ideal performance to Haohai. Medical aesthetics is the main growth driver, but Haohai is lack of competitiveness....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - About the Recent Business Adjustments and the Outlook

Sihuan's pursuing strategic adjustments actively, but its business transformation may not end up well without persuasive long logic. We recommend...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Bloomage Biotechnology (688363.CH) - Positioning and Strategic Layout Imply Strong Upside Potential

Synthetic biology/industrial chain integration help Bloomage build high moat.Synergy of multiple business improve the resilience to market...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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