Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE stocks last week which has an aggregated short interest worth USD 13.3bn. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya Printed, Powerchip, Unimicron, and Evergreen Marine.</li>
<li>Top shorts in the market were UMC, Taiwan Cement, and Yang Ming Marine. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE stocks last week which has an aggregated short interest worth USD 13.3bn. 
We highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya Printed, Powerchip, Unimicron, and Evergreen Marine.
Top shorts in the market were UMC, Taiwan Cement, and Yang Ming Marine. 


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 19th): Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 1Q22 revenue/GM/OPM was US$215mn/55%/36% respectively, with revenue growing 50% YoY and -2.6% QoQ. Silergy considers its own business will grow quarter by quarter in 2022.</li>
<li>Silergy expects to see ~3% revenue contribution for Automotive in 2022, which means it should grow over 3% by the end of 2022.</li>
<li>Silergy’s order visibility is extended from 3 quarters to over 6~8 quarters now. Meanwhile, Silergy aims to split the share to let more retail investors to hold their shares.    </li>
</ul>


The 1Q22 revenue/GM/OPM was US$215mn/55%/36% respectively, with revenue growing 50% YoY and -2.6% QoQ. Silergy considers its own business will grow quarter by quarter in 2022.
Silergy expects to see ~3% revenue contribution for Automotive in 2022, which means it should grow over 3% by the end of 2022.
Silergy’s order visibility is extended from 3 quarters to over 6~8 quarters now. Meanwhile, Silergy aims to split the share to let more retail investors to hold their shares.    


Silergy (6415.TT): 1Q22 Review-Clients Are Asking to Solve Supply Shortage and Even to Add Prices.

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over nearly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor exposure hits record highs among EM aggressive growth managers</li>
<li>Recent fund activity is among the most bullish of any industry group.  Semiconductors are now comfortably the largest industry group holding among Aggressive Growth managers and the largest overweight position.</li>
<li>Activity over the last 4-months saw buying in Silergy Corp and Novatek Microelectronics Corp, thought TSMC remains the consensus high conviction position.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor exposure hits record highs among EM aggressive growth managers
Recent fund activity is among the most bullish of any industry group.  Semiconductors are now comfortably the largest industry group holding among Aggressive Growth managers and the largest overweight position.
Activity over the last 4-months saw buying in Silergy Corp and Novatek Microelectronics Corp, thought TSMC remains the consensus high conviction position.


Semiconductors:  Record Allocations Among High Growth EM Managers

<ul>
<li>Silergy foresees the demand will be larger than capacity in 2022. Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD and others should be showing a strong demand in 2022.</li>
<li>The shipment lead-time is controlled around 5~6 months, which indicated that the demand is strong for 2022~23.</li>
<li>The generation 3rd will be optimized until 2026. Silergy will need some new suppliers for generation 4th in 2023. In 2026, generation 3rd &amp; 4th will dominate Silergy’s revenue. </li>
</ul>


Silergy foresees the demand will be larger than capacity in 2022. Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD and others should be showing a strong demand in 2022.
The shipment lead-time is controlled around 5~6 months, which indicated that the demand is strong for 2022~23.
The generation 3rd will be optimized until 2026. Silergy will need some new suppliers for generation 4th in 2023. In 2026, generation 3rd &amp; 4th will dominate Silergy’s revenue. 


Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

China

Silergy Corp designs and manufactures a broad range of high performance analog integrated circuits.  The Company's products include single output step down regulators, dual output regulators, single output step by step regulators, power management ICs, step up LED backlight regulator, AC-DC LED lighting controller, DC input LED lighting drivers, LDO regulators, and protection switch

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Silergy Corp (6415 TT)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 19th): Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya

We analyzed the TWSE short interest last week and highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya Printed, Powerchip,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Silergy (6415.TT): 1Q22 Review-Clients Are Asking to Solve Supply Shortage and Even to Add Prices.

The 1Q22 revenue/GM/OPM was US$215mn/55%/36% respectively, which revenue grew 50% YoY and -2.6% QoQ. Silergy considers its own business will grow...

Patrick Liao

Screening for GEMs: April 2022

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Semiconductors: Record Allocations Among High Growth EM Managers

Semiconductor exposure hits record highs among EM aggressive growth managers. Remain the largest industry group holding and the largest overweight...

Steven Holden

Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD should be showing a strong demand in 2022. The shipment lead-time is controlled at around 5~6 months,...

Patrick Liao

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