Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth</li>
<li>Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.</li>
<li>Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend</li>
</ul>


We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth
Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.
Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend


Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Longsys Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-longsys-electronics-co-ltd-9ad6ee79-c403-4819-a5df-de95777ae2a7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55525:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Longsys Electronics (9976 HK)</a> is a branded independent memory product company. It is seeking to raise US$800 million.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/longsys-electronics-h-share-listing-9976-hk-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:266146" rel="noopener">Longsys Electronics H Share Listing (9976 HK): The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 45.2% (based on the close on 28 August A Share price) is attractive. However, given my bearish fundamental view, I would avoid the listing. </li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Longsys Electronics (9976 HK) is a branded independent memory product company. It is seeking to raise US$800 million.
I discussed the H Share listing in Longsys Electronics H Share Listing (9976 HK): The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 45.2% (based on the close on 28 August A Share price) is attractive. However, given my bearish fundamental view, I would avoid the listing. 


Longsys Electronics H Share Listing (9976 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-longsys-electronics-co-ltd-9ad6ee79-c403-4819-a5df-de95777ae2a7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55525:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Longsys Electronics (9976 HK)</a> is a branded independent memory product company. It is seeking to raise US$798 million.     </li>
<li>It designs controllers/firmware, back-end manufacturing (packaging/testing/assembly), and sells memory products (embedded storage, SSDs, mobile storage, DIMMs).</li>
<li>The investment case is bearish as Longsys is a fundamentally commoditised, cyclical, cash-burning company, currently riding an exceptional AI-driven up-cycle.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Longsys Electronics (9976 HK) is a branded independent memory product company. It is seeking to raise US$798 million.     
It designs controllers/firmware, back-end manufacturing (packaging/testing/assembly), and sells memory products (embedded storage, SSDs, mobile storage, DIMMs).
The investment case is bearish as Longsys is a fundamentally commoditised, cyclical, cash-burning company, currently riding an exceptional AI-driven up-cycle.


Longsys Electronics H Share Listing (9976 HK): The Investment Case

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting opportunities within India's SENSEX, global energy and materials sectors, and Asian banks.

In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting opportunities within India's SENSEX, global energy and materials sectors, and Asian banks.

Taiwan

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation is a semiconductor company that designs, develops, and markets semiconductor products for the multimedia consumer electronics market. The Company's products include controllers used in mobile storage media and multimedia systems on a chip.

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Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO US)

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

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U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

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EM Strategy: Remain Overweight India

In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting...

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Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF $NVDA $AVGO $TSM $AMD $ASML $AAPL $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

Longsys Electronics H Share Listing (9976 HK): Valuation Insights

Longsys is an independent memory product company. It is seeking to raise US$800 million. While the proposed AH discount is attractive, I would...

Arun George

Longsys Electronics H Share Listing (9976 HK): The Investment Case

Longsys Electronics is a branded independent memory product company. It is seeking to raise US$798 million. In this note, I discuss the investment...

Arun George

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

Vermilion Research

EM Strategy: Remain Overweight India

In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting...

Vermilion Research