IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,260 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$856 million. The shares will start trading on 25 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161041" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161232" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161523" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,260 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$856 million. The shares will start trading on 25 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case, Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights.
The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price remains attractive.


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Trading Debut

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$2.3 billion. The shares will start trading on 23 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160168" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160399" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tokyo-metro-9023-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161071" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price remains attractive, particularly relating to the implied dividend yield.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$2.3 billion. The shares will start trading on 23 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case, Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bear Case and Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights.
The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price remains attractive, particularly relating to the implied dividend yield.


Japan Experts, Extraordinary Performance, Astris Advisory Japan

Astris Advisory Japan

Japan Experts, Extraordinary Performance

Our Corporate Advisory service is designed to give clients access to a wider range of investors. These include Japan specialists as well as global investors. The goal is to help achieve a fair equity valuation.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Q1FY3/25 results indicated a slow start for earnings, despite a robust profile for sales growth at 16.5% YoY and both quarterly orders and backlog at record highs.</li><li>The key takeaways are: 1) although reported OP fell 4.8% YoY, underlying OP growth was 4.6% YoY when restating for one-time expenses for a new office, 2) quality of earnings remains sound despite cases of project cost overruns, and 3) the sustained strong outlook for orders provides high earnings visibility.</li><li>We believe that the direction of travel remains positive for earnings growth, given strong order visibility and as the company’s operations continue to scale.</li></ul>

Q1FY3/25 results indicated a slow start for earnings, despite a robust profile for sales growth at 16.5% YoY and both quarterly orders and backlog at record highs.The key takeaways are: 1) although reported OP fell 4.8% YoY, underlying OP growth was 4.6% YoY when restating for one-time expenses for a new office, 2) quality of earnings remains sound despite cases of project cost overruns, and 3) the sustained strong outlook for orders provides high earnings visibility.We believe that the direction of travel remains positive for earnings growth, given strong order visibility and as the company’s operations continue to scale.

Simplex Holdings (4373 JP) - Long Term Growth Scenario Remains Intact

<ul><li>Positioned for sustained growth – Q1-4 FY3/24 results were in line with guidance, with the company generating consistent and sustainable double-digit growth for sales and earnings demonstrating the company’s characteristics as a compounding business.</li><li>We believe its brand, human capital, and technological innovation are competitive advantages that generate shareholder value, with free cash flow recovering YoY to ¥7.34bn from ¥3.26bn in FY3/23.</li><li>Future capital allocation points to business investment in staff and R&amp;D and scope for M&amp;A to support growth and improve shareholder returns. </li></ul>

Positioned for sustained growth – Q1-4 FY3/24 results were in line with guidance, with the company generating consistent and sustainable double-digit growth for sales and earnings demonstrating the company’s characteristics as a compounding business.We believe its brand, human capital, and technological innovation are competitive advantages that generate shareholder value, with free cash flow recovering YoY to ¥7.34bn from ¥3.26bn in FY3/23.Future capital allocation points to business investment in staff and R&amp;D and scope for M&amp;A to support growth and improve shareholder returns. 

Simplex Holdings (4373) - Compounding Business with a Consulting Growth Engine

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,700 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$256 million. The shares will start trading on 21 March.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trial-holdings-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:130521" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings IPO: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trial-holdings-ipo-valuation-thoughts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:132126" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings IPO: Valuation Thoughts</a>. </li>
<li>The peers have modestly re-rated since the prospectus was released on February 19. The IPO price remains attractive. </li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,700 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$256 million. The shares will start trading on 21 March.
We previously discussed the IPO in Trial Holdings IPO: The Investment Case and Trial Holdings IPO: Valuation Thoughts. 
The peers have modestly re-rated since the prospectus was released on February 19. The IPO price remains attractive. 


Japan

Simplex Holdings, Inc. provides system information technology solutions. The Company offers system consulting, system development, system operation and maintenance, and other services.  Simplex Holdings serves financial institutions across worldwide.

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Simplex Holdings (4373 JP)

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Trading Debut

The shares will start trading on 25 October. The peers have modestly derated since the prospectus was released on 20 September. The IPO price...

Arun George

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

The shares will start trading on 23 October. The IPO price remains attractive, particularly relating to the implied dividend yield.

Arun George