Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> is growing its footprint in India, presenting an interesting opportunity for long term investors. </li>
<li>However, it may come slightly costly in the near term as Indian aviation infrastructure is not that ready just yet. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> does not trade at a significant discount to its peers from PER and PBR. </li>
</ul>



Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) is growing its footprint in India, presenting an interesting opportunity for long term investors. 
However, it may come slightly costly in the near term as Indian aviation infrastructure is not that ready just yet. 

Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) does not trade at a significant discount to its peers from PER and PBR. 


Singapore Airlines (SIA): Saddled with India Growth Story

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> may be losing some of its earnings from the continuing crisis in the Middle East. </li>
<li>Its rather high dividend yield may provide support in the near term</li>
<li>But a higher crude oil price may send its earnings downhill as it counts up to 30% of the total cost. </li>
</ul>



Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) may be losing some of its earnings from the continuing crisis in the Middle East. 
Its rather high dividend yield may provide support in the near term
But a higher crude oil price may send its earnings downhill as it counts up to 30% of the total cost. 


Singapore Airlines (SIA): Losing from Higher Crude Oil Price

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avepoint-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37131:1" rel="noopener">AvePoint (AVPT US)</a> , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.</li>
<li>As of FY24, AP had over 25,000 customers who rely on its Confidence Platform to prepare, secure, and optimize their critical data across environments.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



AvePoint (AVPT US) , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.
As of FY24, AP had over 25,000 customers who rely on its Confidence Platform to prepare, secure, and optimize their critical data across environments.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


AvePoint SGX Secondary Listing - Strong Growth and Large Client Base but Unclear Metrics

Founder & Managing Director, AIR Control Tower, AIR Control Tower

Neil Glynn

Founder & Managing Director, AIR Control Tower

AIR Control Tower

AIR Control Tower is an independent research and analysis platform. Its mission is to provide impactful insight and analysis across the global airline industry at a company and market level via detailed financial models to aid decision making for key stake holders at a time when risks have seldom, if ever, been higher and the global sector grapples with the imperative of funding de-carbonisation. Unique analysis forecasting global carrier-level earnings/cash flows, and restructuring/de-leveraging prospects, is designed to dynamically assess the health of the industry, predict surprises and identify potential requirements for third party support.

Insights on the global airline industry

<ul>
<li>We publish a detailed update on the APAC airline sector, featuring ANA, Cathay Pacific, JAL, Korean Air, Qantas and Singapore Airlines, addressing cargo yield normalisation, and unit cost inflation.</li>
<li>We see 24% upside to consensus EBITDAR for JAL in FY24 to March 2024, and 24% downside risk at Singapore Airlines based on our detailed analysis and quarterly earnings bridges.</li>
<li>We expect earnings at most carriers to decline in calendar 2024 versus 2023 as the combination of cargo yield normalisation, fuel price pressure, and further capacity restoration prompt margin declines.</li>
</ul>


We publish a detailed update on the APAC airline sector, featuring ANA, Cathay Pacific, JAL, Korean Air, Qantas and Singapore Airlines, addressing cargo yield normalisation, and unit cost inflation.
We see 24% upside to consensus EBITDAR for JAL in FY24 to March 2024, and 24% downside risk at Singapore Airlines based on our detailed analysis and quarterly earnings bridges.
We expect earnings at most carriers to decline in calendar 2024 versus 2023 as the combination of cargo yield normalisation, fuel price pressure, and further capacity restoration prompt margin declines.


APAC Airline Sector – Cost Inflation Management Differentials Crucial as Cargo Yields Normalise

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), UOB Kay Hian

UOB Kay Hian

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Backed by the UOB Group, UOB Kay Hian is one of Asia’s largest brokerage firms. Headquartered in Singapore, we are supported by more than 80 branches worldwide including a growing network of offices across Southeast Asia, Greater China, the United Kingdom and North America. Our global footprint and strong international presence have enabled us to feel the pulse of key financial markets and deliver incisive intelligence across industry sectors and asset classes. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Recent outperformance of SIA's share price is likely driven by fund flows.</li><li>While we appreciate SIA’s outstandingness among regional peers and expect upbeat 1QFY24 results, we caution that SIA’s valuation is very lofty, with its FY24F P/B of 1.58x (2.8 standard deviation above historical mean) matching the historical peak just before the global financial crisis (GFC).</li><li>The second leg of uprun started on 1 Jun 23, coinciding with the sharp share price decline of the three major Chinese Airlines triggered by the China Southern Airlines’ (CSA) surprising announcement (on 31 May 23) of raising up to 25.6% of new shares, which has underlined major risks of more EPS-dilutive equity raisings by the three major Chinese airlines.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Recent outperformance of SIA's share price is likely driven by fund flows.While we appreciate SIA’s outstandingness among regional peers and expect upbeat 1QFY24 results, we caution that SIA’s valuation is very lofty, with its FY24F P/B of 1.58x (2.8 standard deviation above historical mean) matching the historical peak just before the global financial crisis (GFC).The second leg of uprun started on 1 Jun 23, coinciding with the sharp share price decline of the three major Chinese Airlines triggered by the China Southern Airlines’ (CSA) surprising announcement (on 31 May 23) of raising up to 25.6% of new shares, which has underlined major risks of more EPS-dilutive equity raisings by the three major Chinese airlines.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Singapore Airlines - Recognised For Outstandingness, But Valuation Very Stretched

Singapore

Singapore Airlines Limited provides air transportation, engineering, pilot training, air charter, and tour wholesaling services. The Company's airline operation covers Asia, Europe, the Americas, South West Pacific, and Africa.

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Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

Singapore Airlines (SIA): Saddled with India Growth Story

Singapore Airlines is expanding in India, offering long term investment potential despite near-term infrastructure challenges and lack of...

Henry Soediarko

Singapore Airlines (SIA): Losing from Higher Crude Oil Price

Singapore Airlines faces potential earnings impact from Middle East crisis, rising crude oil prices could further strain earnings due to...

Henry Soediarko

AvePoint SGX Secondary Listing - Strong Growth and Large Client Base but Unclear Metrics

AvePoint (AVPT US) , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.

Sumeet Singh

APAC Airline Sector – Cost Inflation Management Differentials Crucial as Cargo Yields Normalise

Deep dive on earnings prospects of the top tier ex-China APAC full service carriers illustrates marked differences in inflation management, and...

Neil Glynn

Singapore Airlines - Recognised For Outstandingness, But Valuation Very Stretched

While we appreciate SIA’s outstandingness among regional peers and expect upbeat 1QFY24 results, we caution that SIA’s valuation is very lofty

UOB Kay Hian

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Singapore Airlines (SIA): Saddled with India Growth Story

​Singapore Airlines is expanding in India, offering long term investment potential despite near-term infrastructure challenges and lack of...

Henry Soediarko

Singapore Airlines (SIA): Losing from Higher Crude Oil Price

​Singapore Airlines faces potential earnings impact from Middle East crisis, rising crude oil prices could further strain earnings due to...

Henry Soediarko

AvePoint SGX Secondary Listing - Strong Growth and Large Client Base but Unclear Metrics

AvePoint (AVPT US) , a global provider of data security, governance, and resilience, aims to raise around US$300m in its Singapore secondary listing.

Sumeet Singh

APAC Airline Sector – Cost Inflation Management Differentials Crucial as Cargo Yields Normalise

Deep dive on earnings prospects of the top tier ex-China APAC full service carriers illustrates marked differences in inflation management, and...

Neil Glynn

Singapore Airlines - Recognised For Outstandingness, But Valuation Very Stretched

While we appreciate SIA’s outstandingness among regional peers and expect upbeat 1QFY24 results, we caution that SIA’s valuation is very lofty

UOB Kay Hian

Singapore Airlines is expanding in India, offering long term investment potential despite near-term infrastructure challenges and lack of...

Singapore Airlines faces potential earnings impact from Middle East crisis, rising crude oil prices could further strain earnings due to...