IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>'s voluntary conditional offer from management (chairman, CEO, exec director) has received acceptances of 77.37% of outstanding shares, below the 90% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>The closing date has been extended to 15 November. To hit the 90% minimum acceptance condition, the offeror requires a 55.8% acceptance rate from the remaining holdout minorities.</li>
<li>The IFA previously declared the offer “not fair but reasonable.” The gross spread of 1.4% is not an attractive risk/reward profile. We continue to recommend taking profits.</li>
</ul>



Singapore Medical (SMG SP)'s voluntary conditional offer from management (chairman, CEO, exec director) has received acceptances of 77.37% of outstanding shares, below the 90% minimum acceptance condition.
The closing date has been extended to 15 November. To hit the 90% minimum acceptance condition, the offeror requires a 55.8% acceptance rate from the remaining holdout minorities.
The IFA previously declared the offer “not fair but reasonable.” The gross spread of 1.4% is not an attractive risk/reward profile. We continue to recommend taking profits.


Singapore Medical’s VGO: Acceptances at 77.37%, Closing Date Now 15 Nov

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ptb-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19198:1" rel="noopener">PTB Group Ltd (PTB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), 111 Inc (YI US), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), O2Micro International (OIIM US), Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK).
Lowest spreads - Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Tassal (TGR AU), China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), Singapore Medical (SMG SP), PTB Group Ltd (PTB AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (31 Oct) - Jinke, Fengxiang, Lifestyle, Kingston, Pushpay, Nitro, Elmo, DTAC/True

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a> will launch a US$500 million HKEx IPO this week. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Blibli (1437710D IJ)</a> has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>, DTAC/True.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) will launch a US$500 million HKEx IPO this week. Blibli (1437710D IJ) has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO.
Event-Driven developments  Link Administration (LNK AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK), Singapore Medical (SMG SP), DTAC/True.


Weekly Deals Digest (23 Oct) - Link, Nearmap, Pushpay, Tyro, Singapore Medical, DTAC/True, Blibli

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On the 14 September, healthcare provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a> announced a low-balled voluntary MBO from TLW at S$0.37/share, a 13.8% premium to last close. </li>
<li>The Offer is conditional on 90% of shares out held by the Offeror, and the TLW shareholders plus irrevocables hold 51.67% all-in. This 90% conditionality is firm. </li>
<li>The Circular is now <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Singapore%20Medical%20Group%20Limited%20Circular%20dated%2018%20October%202022.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=734658" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>. The IFA (Zico Capital) says the Offer is "not fair but reasonable". That seems reasonable. The Offer has NOT been declared final.</li>
</ul>


On the 14 September, healthcare provider Singapore Medical (SMG SP) announced a low-balled voluntary MBO from TLW at S$0.37/share, a 13.8% premium to last close. 
The Offer is conditional on 90% of shares out held by the Offeror, and the TLW shareholders plus irrevocables hold 51.67% all-in. This 90% conditionality is firm. 
The Circular is now out. The IFA (Zico Capital) says the Offer is "not fair but reasonable". That seems reasonable. The Offer has NOT been declared final.


Singapore Medical (SMG SP): "Not Fair But Reasonable" Says IFA. TLW Needs To Bump

<ul>
<li>The IFA has declared the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a> VGO (S$0.37 cash or one new share in the offeror) from management (chairman, CEO, exec director) is “not fair but reasonable.” </li>
<li>The offer is light, and hitting the 90% minimum acceptance condition will be challenging. There is a remote chance of a bump as the offer has not been declared final.</li>
<li>Irrevocables remain at 51.67% of outstanding shares. The current gross spread of 1.4% is not an attractive risk/reward profile. Take profits and head for the exit.</li>
</ul>


The IFA has declared the Singapore Medical (SMG SP) VGO (S$0.37 cash or one new share in the offeror) from management (chairman, CEO, exec director) is “not fair but reasonable.” 
The offer is light, and hitting the 90% minimum acceptance condition will be challenging. There is a remote chance of a bump as the offer has not been declared final.
Irrevocables remain at 51.67% of outstanding shares. The current gross spread of 1.4% is not an attractive risk/reward profile. Take profits and head for the exit.


Singapore Medical’s VGO: IFA Says It Is Not Fair but Reasonable

Singapore

Singapore Medical Group operates medical clinics and provides a wide range of general and specialist medical services, including obstetrics and gynecology, oncology, pediatrics, diagnostic imaging, dental, and aesthetic medicine. The company also offers health screening and telemedicine services. It was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Singapore Medical Group (SMG SP)

Singapore Medical’s VGO: Acceptances at 77.37%, Closing Date Now 15 Nov

To hit the 90% minimum acceptance condition, the offeror requires a 55.8% acceptance rate from the remaining holdout minorities. The 1.4% spread is...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (31 Oct) - Jinke, Fengxiang, Lifestyle, Kingston, Pushpay, Nitro, Elmo, DTAC/True

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (84.7%), Alliance Aviation (48.4%), 111 (40.2%), Genex (25.0%), O2Micro (19.3%), Fengxiang (14.6%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (23 Oct) - Link, Nearmap, Pushpay, Tyro, Singapore Medical, DTAC/True, Blibli

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Nearmap, Pushpay, Tyro, China VAST, Fengxiang, Singapore Medical, DTAC/True)...

Arun George

Singapore Medical (SMG SP): "Not Fair But Reasonable" Says IFA. TLW Needs To Bump

Trading one spread below terms. The Offer can still bump if need be. I think they will. Avoid here unless the spread were to widen.

David Blennerhassett

Singapore Medical’s VGO: IFA Says It Is Not Fair but Reasonable

Hitting the 90% minimum acceptance condition will be challenging. The current gross spread of 1.4% is not an attractive risk/reward profile. Take...

Arun George

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