Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last night, the Board of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>  <a href="https://hub.optiwise.io/en/documents/126006/6443705A1ADCC43E2A43725E1ADAC538670F012A12A8B03D653207281ED9C34E6042702B6BDFC4311044072F6BADC53E144B6C1E4E8DCF396043755C1AD9C13A6741765E1EDBC33964366C1E4E8D_160720242124040612E.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an amalgamation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and Tender Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> (at THB 216.30) </li>
<li>And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a> (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It's complicated.</li>
<li>But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it...</li>
</ul>


Last night, the Board of Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)  announced an amalgamation with Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Tender Offers for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) (at THB 216.30) 
And Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB) (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It's complicated.
But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it...


Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vodafone-idea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15678:1" rel="noopener">Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)</a> plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.</li>
<li>The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.
The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

David Blennerhassett

Singapore Telecommunications / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly (AFR), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> is in advanced talks to sell Optus, Australia’s second-largest telco, to Brookfield for A$16bn-A$18bn. </li>
<li>SingTel quickly <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SGX%20Announcement%2020240313.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=791796" target="_blank" rel="noopener">countered</a> there is no impending deal; and "Optus remains an integral and strategic part of the Singtel Group and we are committed to Australia for the long term."</li>
<li>Optus' EBITDA in 3Q24 and 9M24 fell 1.8% and 8.3% in S$ terms. Extrapolating out for FY24E suggests pricing under this (very) indicative Offer of around 7.6-8.6 turns of EBITDA.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly (AFR), Singtel (ST SP) is in advanced talks to sell Optus, Australia’s second-largest telco, to Brookfield for A$16bn-A$18bn. 
SingTel quickly countered there is no impending deal; and "Optus remains an integral and strategic part of the Singtel Group and we are committed to Australia for the long term."
Optus' EBITDA in 3Q24 and 9M24 fell 1.8% and 8.3% in S$ terms. Extrapolating out for FY24E suggests pricing under this (very) indicative Offer of around 7.6-8.6 turns of EBITDA.


Optus Sale Would Be A BIG Payday For SingTel

Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

Singapore Telecommunications / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Singtel is an underappreciated global telco, with EPS growth above GDP, and DY consistently above market average. This is the steady blue-chip you can bet your house. </li>
<li>Three pillars to our investment thesis: (1) earnings growth - 7-8% p.a.; (2) dividend yield of ~4.2% at 55% payout; and (3) share buyback of S$2bn buyback over 3-years.</li>
<li>Our fair value of S$4.91 -derived from SOTP &amp; 10% hold-co discount implies a 11% UPSIDE potential from current market price plus a 4.2% dividend yield. </li>
</ul>


Singtel is an underappreciated global telco, with EPS growth above GDP, and DY consistently above market average. This is the steady blue-chip you can bet your house. 
Three pillars to our investment thesis: (1) earnings growth - 7-8% p.a.; (2) dividend yield of ~4.2% at 55% payout; and (3) share buyback of S$2bn buyback over 3-years.
Our fair value of S$4.91 -derived from SOTP &amp; 10% hold-co discount implies a 11% UPSIDE potential from current market price plus a 4.2% dividend yield. 


Singtel (ST SP): Upcoming Tariff Hikes, Buyback Engine, and a Holdco That Is Finally Closing

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>CGS International starts coverage of All-Link Air &amp; Sea with a 92-cent target.</li><li>DBS lowers target price for UltraGreen.ai to 65 US cents.</li><li>SAC Capital lowers ISOTeam target price to 7.1 cents after FY2026 miss.</li></ul>

CGS International starts coverage of All-Link Air &amp; Sea with a 92-cent target.DBS lowers target price for UltraGreen.ai to 65 US cents.SAC Capital lowers ISOTeam target price to 7.1 cents after FY2026 miss.

Singapore Market Roundup (15-Sep-2026): CGS International sets All-Link Air & Sea target at 92

Singapore

Singapore Telecommunications is Asia's leading communications technology group, providing next-generation communication, 5G, technology services, and infotainment to consumers and businesses. It offers mobile, broadband, TV, fixed-line telephony, IT and network services, data centers, managed cloud, IoT, and cybersecurity solutions. The company is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 1879.

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Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP)

Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

This is a complicated multi-conditional deal - great for GULF bad for INTUCH - which appears to be "done" except for an inter-conditional aspect...

Travis Lundy

Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

Optus Sale Would Be A BIG Payday For SingTel

SingTel is a deep value play, and an inexpensive entry into Bharti; yet the market pushes the implied stub further into negative territory. A sale...

David Blennerhassett

Singtel (ST SP): Upcoming Tariff Hikes, Buyback Engine, and a Holdco That Is Finally Closing

Singtel is a solid investment choice with strong EPS growth, high dividend yield, and potential upside of 11% from current market price.

Mo Aziz

Singapore Market Roundup (15-Sep-2026): CGS International sets All-Link Air & Sea target at 92

CGS International sets All-Link Air & Sea target at 92 cents; DBS lowers UltraGreen.ai to 65 cents; SAC Capital cuts ISOTeam to 7.1 cents after...

Singapore Market Roundup

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Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

This is a complicated multi-conditional deal - great for GULF bad for INTUCH - which appears to be "done" except for an inter-conditional aspect...

Travis Lundy

Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

Optus Sale Would Be A BIG Payday For SingTel

SingTel is a deep value play, and an inexpensive entry into Bharti; yet the market pushes the implied stub further into negative territory. A sale...

David Blennerhassett

Singtel (ST SP): Upcoming Tariff Hikes, Buyback Engine, and a Holdco That Is Finally Closing

​Singtel is a solid investment choice with strong EPS growth, high dividend yield, and potential upside of 11% from current market price.

Mo Aziz

Singapore Market Roundup (15-Sep-2026): CGS International sets All-Link Air & Sea target at 92

CGS International sets All-Link Air & Sea target at 92 cents; DBS lowers UltraGreen.ai to 65 cents; SAC Capital cuts ISOTeam to 7.1 cents after...

Singapore Market Roundup

Singtel is a solid investment choice with strong EPS growth, high dividend yield, and potential upside of 11% from current market price.