HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Centralized procurement of interprovincial dental implants would open the bid on Jan.11. Korean brands and European brands are all included. There is “no safe haven” for products with consumption attributes.</li>
<li>In 2023, we are optimistic that China healthcare would gain more household expenditure in the “Long COVID” effect, thus generating excess returns under the logic of expanding domestic demand.</li>
<li>2023 should be better than 2022. There’re strong expectations but weak realities in 2023Q1-Q2, during which more trading opportunities occur. However, in Q3-Q4, investors may need to be careful.</li>
</ul>


Centralized procurement of interprovincial dental implants would open the bid on Jan.11. Korean brands and European brands are all included. There is “no safe haven” for products with consumption attributes.
In 2023, we are optimistic that China healthcare would gain more household expenditure in the “Long COVID” effect, thus generating excess returns under the logic of expanding domestic demand.
2023 should be better than 2022. There’re strong expectations but weak realities in 2023Q1-Q2, during which more trading opportunities occur. However, in Q3-Q4, investors may need to be careful.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.6) - Dental Implant VBP, “Long COVID” Effect, 2023 Is Better than 2022

<ul>
<li>This year's NRDL negotiations could be a turnaround. If the final result really shows a moderate price decline, it will be “a landmark event” for the innovative drug industry.</li>
<li>Starting from 23Q2, with the peak of respiratory disease/COVID-19 outbreak past, the demand for related TCM would weaken. Then, the pullback of TCM would really begin.</li>
<li>Even if biotech initially tells the story of becoming a biopharma to obtain financing, it will not be realized in the end.</li>
</ul>


This year's NRDL negotiations could be a turnaround. If the final result really shows a moderate price decline, it will be “a landmark event” for the innovative drug industry.
Starting from 23Q2, with the peak of respiratory disease/COVID-19 outbreak past, the demand for related TCM would weaken. Then, the pullback of TCM would really begin.
Even if biotech initially tells the story of becoming a biopharma to obtain financing, it will not be realized in the end.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.1) - NRDL Negotiation Turnaround, Pullback of TCM, Biotech Sales System

<ul>
<li>The plunge in medical beauty sector last week was due to the industry-wide overhaul and investigation resulting from the increase in business bribery/tax evasion/medical malpractice/customer complaints.</li>
<li>We found an interesting phenomenon – Investors dare not buy biotech, opting instead for Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) companies, scientific research service companies and medical service companies.</li>
<li>If investors still want to trade CXO, here are two suggestions.</li>
</ul>


The plunge in medical beauty sector last week was due to the industry-wide overhaul and investigation resulting from the increase in business bribery/tax evasion/medical malpractice/customer complaints.
We found an interesting phenomenon – Investors dare not buy biotech, opting instead for Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) companies, scientific research service companies and medical service companies.
If investors still want to trade CXO, here are two suggestions.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.25) - CXO Trading Strategy, Plunge in Medical Beauty, Belief in Biotech

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the Hong Kong-listed mainland stocks ahead of the HSCEI August 2026 review.</li>
<li>The screen produces one ADD and one DELETE, and the DELETE fires only if the ADD lands.</li>
<li>We note that the committee skipped the same ADD candidate last review but re-iterate our call.</li>
</ul>


We screen the Hong Kong-listed mainland stocks ahead of the HSCEI August 2026 review.
The screen produces one ADD and one DELETE, and the DELETE fires only if the ADD lands.
We note that the committee skipped the same ADD candidate last review but re-iterate our call.


Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on XINYI SOLAR, CNOOC, PING AN, HSBC, CHINA LIFE, LONGFOR, JD.COM.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on XINYI SOLAR, CNOOC, PING AN, HSBC, CHINA LIFE, LONGFOR, JD.COM.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): XINYI SOLAR, CNOOC, PING AN, HSBC, CHINA LIFE, LONGFOR, JD.COM

Hong Kong

Sino Biopharmaceutical is a leading, innovation-driven pharmaceutical conglomerate in China, focusing on the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of pharmaceutical products. The company specializes in therapeutic areas such as oncology, hepatology, respiratory, and cardiovascular diseases, offering both modernized Chinese and Western medicines. It was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Wanchai, Hong Kong.

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Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.6) - Dental Implant VBP, “Long COVID” Effect, 2023 Is Better than 2022

Dental implant VBP would open the bid on Jan.11. Korean/European brands are included. China healthcare would gain more household expenditure due to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.1) - NRDL Negotiation Turnaround, Pullback of TCM, Biotech Sales System

This year's NRDL negotiation could be “a landmark event” for innovative drug industry.Pullback of TCM may really begin from 23Q2.We analyzed...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.25) - CXO Trading Strategy, Plunge in Medical Beauty, Belief in Biotech

If investor still want to trade CXO,here are two suggestions; The plunge in medical beauty sector last week was due to industry-wide...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCEI Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We pair a WuXi Bio ADD with a Shenzhou DELETE at mid conviction. The committee skipped WuXi Bio last review, but this time we would not rule the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): XINYI SOLAR, CNOOC, PING AN, HSBC, CHINA LIFE, LONGFOR, JD.COM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in XINYI SOLAR, CNOOC, PING AN, HSBC, CHINA LIFE, LONGFOR, JD.COM.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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