HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Henlius Biotech  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since the privatization of Henlius failed at the beginning of 2025, we have witnessed its stock price constantly hitting new highs.The market has recognized Henlius’ strong fundamentals and promising outlook.</li>
<li>Based on conservative forecast, the peak sales of important products +  other promising candidates/indication expansion/drug combination/new licensing cooperation, etc., total revenue of Henlius is expected to reach RMB10 billion.</li>
<li>RMB30 billion is the valuation bottom line for Henlius. The upper limit of valuation may reach RMB36-45 billion in the future. Exercise Price of the Options granted is HK$50.25/share.</li>
</ul>


Since the privatization of Henlius failed at the beginning of 2025, we have witnessed its stock price constantly hitting new highs.The market has recognized Henlius’ strong fundamentals and promising outlook.
Based on conservative forecast, the peak sales of important products +  other promising candidates/indication expansion/drug combination/new licensing cooperation, etc., total revenue of Henlius is expected to reach RMB10 billion.
RMB30 billion is the valuation bottom line for Henlius. The upper limit of valuation may reach RMB36-45 billion in the future. Exercise Price of the Options granted is HK$50.25/share.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Thoughts on the Valuation Outlook

Equity Capital Markets

Ascletis Pharma Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The 25H1 results of JD Health beat expectations. Due to the strong financial position/positive growth outlook, reasonable valuation of JD Health is P/S of 3 to 4x.</li>
<li>Ascletis announced Share Placing.If ASC30's Phase IIa data remain excellent, potential BD/licensing deal would drive valuation to HK$25bn. However, if clinical data is disappointing, valuation may fall below HK$12 billion.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation of Hansoh is about RMB108-111 billion. So, the Placing Price of HK$36.30 per Placing Share is expensive. We think the valuation of Hansoh should be lower than BeiGene.</li>
</ul>


The 25H1 results of JD Health beat expectations. Due to the strong financial position/positive growth outlook, reasonable valuation of JD Health is P/S of 3 to 4x.
Ascletis announced Share Placing.If ASC30's Phase IIa data remain excellent, potential BD/licensing deal would drive valuation to HK$25bn. However, if clinical data is disappointing, valuation may fall below HK$12 billion.
Reasonable valuation of Hansoh is about RMB108-111 billion. So, the Placing Price of HK$36.30 per Placing Share is expensive. We think the valuation of Hansoh should be lower than BeiGene.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.24)-JD Health 25H1 Results, Hansoh Placement, Ascletis Pharma Placement

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>WuXi Biologics’ Ireland facility has been approved by EMA as a commercial manufacturing site for a global client’s innovative biologic. Ab&amp;B Bio-Tech received approval for RSV vaccine in Chian.</li>
<li>Ascletis Pharma announced encouraging preclinical efficacy results for ASC47, a first-in-class muscle-preserving weight loss drug candidate. Remegen entered outlicensing agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for a proprietary intravitreal injection.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo’s Ifinatamab deruxtecan has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA for small cell lung cancer. CSL intends to lay off 15% workforce and demerge CSL Seqirus.</li>
</ul>


WuXi Biologics’ Ireland facility has been approved by EMA as a commercial manufacturing site for a global client’s innovative biologic. Ab&amp;B Bio-Tech received approval for RSV vaccine in Chian.
Ascletis Pharma announced encouraging preclinical efficacy results for ASC47, a first-in-class muscle-preserving weight loss drug candidate. Remegen entered outlicensing agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for a proprietary intravitreal injection.
Daiichi Sankyo’s Ifinatamab deruxtecan has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA for small cell lung cancer. CSL intends to lay off 15% workforce and demerge CSL Seqirus.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1H25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported 16% YoY increase in revenue to RMB 15.8B primarily attributable to the growth of innovative drugs sales along with increase in licensing revenue.</li>
<li>R&amp;D expenses surged 6% to RMB 3.2B due to ongoing clinical trials. Net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB 4.5B resulting in net margin expanding 310bps to 28.3% in 1H25.</li>
<li>In 1H25, the company obtained marketing approvals for six Class 1 innovative drugs, including trastuzumab rezetecan injection (as second line of treatment for NSCLC with HER2 mutations).</li>
</ul>


In 1H25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported 16% YoY increase in revenue to RMB 15.8B primarily attributable to the growth of innovative drugs sales along with increase in licensing revenue.
R&amp;D expenses surged 6% to RMB 3.2B due to ongoing clinical trials. Net profit increased 30% YoY to RMB 4.5B resulting in net margin expanding 310bps to 28.3% in 1H25.
In 1H25, the company obtained marketing approvals for six Class 1 innovative drugs, including trastuzumab rezetecan injection (as second line of treatment for NSCLC with HER2 mutations).


Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Robust 1H25; Innovative Drugs Key; Out-Licensing Affirm Pipeline Strength

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.</li>
<li>The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Hansoh Pharma Placement - Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

Hong Kong

Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited, through its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, and sells biopharmaceutical products for the medical treatment of ophthalmia, as well as modernized Chinese medicine and chemical medicine for the treatment of hepatitis.

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Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Thoughts on the Valuation Outlook

Despite a failed privatization, Henlius' stock price continues to soar as the market recognizes strong fundamentals/outlook. RMB30B is the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.24)-JD Health 25H1 Results, Hansoh Placement, Ascletis Pharma Placement

JD Health 25H1 strong financial position and positive growth outlook support 3-4x P/S.Ascletis' potential valuation hinges on ASC30's clinical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Wuxi Bio got EMA nod for Ireland manufacturing facility. Daiichi Sankyo got breakthrough therapy designation for its drug candidate in US. CSL...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Robust 1H25; Innovative Drugs Key; Out-Licensing Affirm Pipeline Strength

Jiangsu Hengrui sees16% revenue growth in 1H25. Innovative drug sales were up 15% YoY and contributed 48% of revenue. Aided by 43% jump in...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharma Placement - Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Thoughts on the Valuation Outlook

​Despite a failed privatization, Henlius' stock price continues to soar as the market recognizes strong fundamentals/outlook. RMB30B is the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.24)-JD Health 25H1 Results, Hansoh Placement, Ascletis Pharma Placement

​JD Health 25H1 strong financial position and positive growth outlook support 3-4x P/S.Ascletis' potential valuation hinges on ASC30's clinical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Wuxi Bio got EMA nod for Ireland manufacturing facility. Daiichi Sankyo got breakthrough therapy designation for its drug candidate in US. CSL...

Tina Banerjee

Jiangsu Hengrui (1276 HK): Robust 1H25; Innovative Drugs Key; Out-Licensing Affirm Pipeline Strength

​Jiangsu Hengrui sees16% revenue growth in 1H25. Innovative drug sales were up 15% YoY and contributed 48% of revenue. Aided by 43% jump in...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharma Placement - Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Despite a failed privatization, Henlius' stock price continues to soar as the market recognizes strong fundamentals/outlook. RMB30B is the...

JD Health 25H1 strong financial position and positive growth outlook support 3-4x P/S.Ascletis' potential valuation hinges on ASC30's clinical...

Jiangsu Hengrui sees16% revenue growth in 1H25. Innovative drug sales were up 15% YoY and contributed 48% of revenue. Aided by 43% jump in...