Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.</li></ul><ul><li>Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.</li><li>The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.</li></ul>

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-petroleum-chemical-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:369:1" rel="noopener">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK)</a> broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).

PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) and China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK) broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

COSCO SHIPPING Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH spreads are slightly narrower, but performance is concentrated in fewer names and broad spread volatility is up. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> now 5% through. CATL 10% through will help.</li>
<li>It feels like there were some concentrated shorts on H vs A. BYD performance on CATL and Hang Seng upweight/inclusion exacerbate the issue. CATL H less liquid than people think.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


AH spreads are slightly narrower, but performance is concentrated in fewer names and broad spread volatility is up. BYD (1211 HK) now 5% through. CATL 10% through will help.
It feels like there were some concentrated shorts on H vs A. BYD performance on CATL and Hang Seng upweight/inclusion exacerbate the issue. CATL H less liquid than people think.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 23 May 2025):  AH Premia Contract, H Premia Names Perform Best; Batteries!

<ul><li>Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension of those shipments to Europe and the Americas</li></ul><ul><li>Asia's summer surplus is smaller than usual as open arbitrage kept more barrels moving to the Americas and Europe.</li><li>Cargoes that loaded in July and August are now reaching those destinations, partially offsetting tighter US and Middle East supply.</li></ul>

Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension of those shipments to Europe and the AmericasAsia's summer surplus is smaller than usual as open arbitrage kept more barrels moving to the Americas and Europe.Cargoes that loaded in July and August are now reaching those destinations, partially offsetting tighter US and Middle East supply.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 18 Sep '26

<ul><li>A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a likely destination.</li><li>A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan at end-August headed to India, with arrival due this week.</li><li>A large cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan at end-July headed to the US Gulf coast, with arrival due in late-September.</li></ul>

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a likely destination.A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan at end-August headed to India, with arrival due this week.A large cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan at end-July headed to the US Gulf coast, with arrival due in late-September.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 18 September

China

Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co., Ltd. processes crude oil into a broad range of synthetic fibers, resins and plastics, intermediate petrochemical products and petroleum products.

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Sinopec Shanghai Petroche A (600688 CH)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance...

Base Oil News

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

A/H Premium Tracker (To 23 May 2025): AH Premia Contract, H Premia Names Perform Best; Batteries!

AH Premia contract again. Interestingly, the best performing tranche of discount was stocks where Hs trade at a premium to As. BYD squeezed. CATL a...

Travis Lundy

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 18 Sep '26

Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 18 September

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a...

Base Oil News

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