HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Different from peers whose pharmaceutical assets are scattered in different listed companies, all assets/resources of SH Pharma are integrated within the Company. The intrinsic value of this model is greater.</li>
<li>SH Pharma is in a traditional industry, facing weak profitability and negative policy impacts, Thus, the Company lacks attractiveness and imagination space for investors, leading to long-term undervaluation. </li>
<li>Considering the transformation to more high-margin businesses, SH Pharma’s performance/profitability would improve. Since China hopes to establish a valuation system with Chinese characteristics, there’s valuation repair opportunity for SH Pharma.</li>
</ul>


Different from peers whose pharmaceutical assets are scattered in different listed companies, all assets/resources of SH Pharma are integrated within the Company. The intrinsic value of this model is greater.
SH Pharma is in a traditional industry, facing weak profitability and negative policy impacts, Thus, the Company lacks attractiveness and imagination space for investors, leading to long-term undervaluation. 
Considering the transformation to more high-margin businesses, SH Pharma’s performance/profitability would improve. Since China hopes to establish a valuation system with Chinese characteristics, there’s valuation repair opportunity for SH Pharma.


Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (601607.CH/2607.HK) - The Situation of Undervaluation Would Change

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-pharmaceuticals-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (2607 HK)</a> reported 16% YoY revenue growth to RMB66B in 1Q23, driven by 17% YoY growth in pharmaceutical service segment, which contributed 88% of revenue.</li>
<li>During the quarter, the company recorded net profit of RMB1.5B, up 21% YoY. Net margin expanded 9bps to 2.29%, driven by margin expansion in pharmaceutical manufacturing segment.</li>
<li>Consolidating position in pharma distribution business, surging pharmaceutical manufacturing business, late-stage innovative drug pipeline, and accelerating internationalization strategy enhance conviction on SPH’s ability to maintain double-digit growth through 2025.</li>
</ul>



Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (2607 HK) reported 16% YoY revenue growth to RMB66B in 1Q23, driven by 17% YoY growth in pharmaceutical service segment, which contributed 88% of revenue.
During the quarter, the company recorded net profit of RMB1.5B, up 21% YoY. Net margin expanded 9bps to 2.29%, driven by margin expansion in pharmaceutical manufacturing segment.
Consolidating position in pharma distribution business, surging pharmaceutical manufacturing business, late-stage innovative drug pipeline, and accelerating internationalization strategy enhance conviction on SPH’s ability to maintain double-digit growth through 2025.


Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK/601607 CH): Strong Start of 2023; Outlook Continues to Be Positive

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's retail pharmacy market has entered a new era of integration as the industry growth is slowing down. After JD Health/Alibaba Health enter this industry, the game rule changes. </li>
<li>In the short term, the offline chain pharmacies, JD Health, Alibaba Health, etc. would still have the opportunity to carve up market share under the trend of prescription outflow.</li>
<li>In the long term, it depends on who're the first to establish new omni-channel retail scenarios, because the "new retail" model would comprehensively surpass traditional model from cost to experience.</li>
</ul>


China's retail pharmacy market has entered a new era of integration as the industry growth is slowing down. After JD Health/Alibaba Health enter this industry, the game rule changes. 
In the short term, the offline chain pharmacies, JD Health, Alibaba Health, etc. would still have the opportunity to carve up market share under the trend of prescription outflow.
In the long term, it depends on who're the first to establish new omni-channel retail scenarios, because the "new retail" model would comprehensively surpass traditional model from cost to experience.


China Retail Pharmacy Industry - New Game Rule, New Challenges, New Outlook

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The margins of pharmaceutical circulation B2B business is low. If there’s not enough incremental space of terminal customers, the simple B2B trading model is difficult to form a leapfrog growth.</li>
<li>Based on YSB’s business model, if terminal customers choose to use other platforms like JD Health/Alibaba Health, etc., YSB would face the risk of losing upstream and downstream users.</li>
<li>So far, we haven’t seen that YSB has established core competitiveness or moat to secure the terminal customers pool, casting doubts on its business model, investment logic and outlook.</li>
</ul>


The margins of pharmaceutical circulation B2B business is low. If there’s not enough incremental space of terminal customers, the simple B2B trading model is difficult to form a leapfrog growth.
Based on YSB’s business model, if terminal customers choose to use other platforms like JD Health/Alibaba Health, etc., YSB would face the risk of losing upstream and downstream users.
So far, we haven’t seen that YSB has established core competitiveness or moat to secure the terminal customers pool, casting doubts on its business model, investment logic and outlook.


Pre-IPO YSB Inc (YSB.HK) - The Business Model Is Facing Challenges

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Pharmaceutical distribution business is about competing for scale/capital costs. Sinopharm mainly relies on economies of scale to establish competitiveness.But this business wouldn’t generate high profit margin due to industry characteristics.</li>
<li>The opportunity lies in the logic of import substitution and the products out of VBP scope. Stable or declining financial cost ratio is also a key driving force for profitability.</li>
<li>We think Sinopharm’s revenue and net profit could achieve double-digit growth in 2023. The valuation is already not cheap. It may be wiser to take profits in time.</li>
</ul>


Pharmaceutical distribution business is about competing for scale/capital costs. Sinopharm mainly relies on economies of scale to establish competitiveness.But this business wouldn’t generate high profit margin due to industry characteristics.
The opportunity lies in the logic of import substitution and the products out of VBP scope. Stable or declining financial cost ratio is also a key driving force for profitability.
We think Sinopharm’s revenue and net profit could achieve double-digit growth in 2023. The valuation is already not cheap. It may be wiser to take profits in time.


Sinopharm Group Co (1099.HK) - Double-Digit Growth Is Expected in 2023; Margins Have Room to Improve

China

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd is a pharmacy distribution company. The Company also owns several pharmacy enterprise groups in different industries such as logistics, retail stores, pharmaceutical manufacturing, and chemical testing.

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Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (601607.CH/2607.HK) - The Situation of Undervaluation Would Change

SH Pharma is not attractive due to low profitability/negative policies, but its business transformation will pay off. Since China hopes to drive up...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK/601607 CH): Strong Start of 2023; Outlook Continues to Be Positive

SPH recorded 16% and 21% revenue and net profit growth in 1Q23. Going ahead, macro tailwind, China re-opening, and strong pharmaceutical...

Tina Banerjee

China Retail Pharmacy Industry - New Game Rule, New Challenges, New Outlook

China's retail pharmacy market has entered a new era with new game rule.As industry growth is slowing down, which companies are the first to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO YSB Inc (YSB.HK) - The Business Model Is Facing Challenges

Terminal customers are key resources for YSB’s all businesses, but YSB hasn't built core competitiveness/moat to secure terminal customer pool....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sinopharm Group Co (1099.HK) - Double-Digit Growth Is Expected in 2023; Margins Have Room to Improve

Sinopharm relies on economies of scale to establish competitiveness, but it faces low profit margin problem, which still has room to improve....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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