Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> delivered sustained healthy earnings in 3Q22, with reported profit rose 32.7% and recurring one up 13.2%. They are resilient given the adverse market environment.</li>
<li>Gross margin expansion and higher gross profit showed that lower freight rate has not had significant impact on profitability. DHL-Sinotrans' contribution also recovered sequentially.</li>
<li>It cancelled the 0.62% of shares that it bought back, providing enhancement to forward EPS. The 9M22 result equals 91% of full-year consensus, suggesting room for earnings upgrade.</li>
</ul>



Sinotrans (598 HK) delivered sustained healthy earnings in 3Q22, with reported profit rose 32.7% and recurring one up 13.2%. They are resilient given the adverse market environment.
Gross margin expansion and higher gross profit showed that lower freight rate has not had significant impact on profitability. DHL-Sinotrans' contribution also recovered sequentially.
It cancelled the 0.62% of shares that it bought back, providing enhancement to forward EPS. The 9M22 result equals 91% of full-year consensus, suggesting room for earnings upgrade.


Sinotrans (598 HK): Showing Its Sustained Resilience

<ul>
<li>Recurring profit for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> increased 16.4% in 1H22 and improved to 16.6% in 2Q22. The declaration of an interim dividend also highlights management's confidence.</li>
<li>We expect a pick-up in 2H22 as negative impact of the lockdowns faded. Also, contribution from DHL-Sinotrans should return to growth as international express regain momentum.</li>
<li>Strong financial position should allow for higher dividend payout, and currently it is already yielding 10.4%. Its 3.6x PER and 0.4x P/B are cheap, especially relative to ROE of 11.3%.</li>
</ul>


Recurring profit for Sinotrans (598 HK) increased 16.4% in 1H22 and improved to 16.6% in 2Q22. The declaration of an interim dividend also highlights management's confidence.
We expect a pick-up in 2H22 as negative impact of the lockdowns faded. Also, contribution from DHL-Sinotrans should return to growth as international express regain momentum.
Strong financial position should allow for higher dividend payout, and currently it is already yielding 10.4%. Its 3.6x PER and 0.4x P/B are cheap, especially relative to ROE of 11.3%.


Sinotrans (598 HK): Still a Very Decent Performance

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Pop Mart (9992 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Pop Mart (9992 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: AIA, Pop Mart, Great Wall Motor

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> has confirmed its plan to issue infrastructure REIT using six warehouse logistics assets as underlying assets, and they represents 7.6% of its total warehouse area.</li>
<li>The proposed issuance may boost its value by HK$0.16/share, or 7.3% of share price. Should all 4m sq.m. of warehouse assets are securitised, this may nearly double the stock's price.</li>
<li>Since Jun, Sinotrans has repurchased 14m H-shares, suggesting positive view on outlook. There will be more to come, and as the shares will be cancelled, EPS will be enhanced. </li>
</ul>



Sinotrans (598 HK) has confirmed its plan to issue infrastructure REIT using six warehouse logistics assets as underlying assets, and they represents 7.6% of its total warehouse area.
The proposed issuance may boost its value by HK$0.16/share, or 7.3% of share price. Should all 4m sq.m. of warehouse assets are securitised, this may nearly double the stock's price.
Since Jun, Sinotrans has repurchased 14m H-shares, suggesting positive view on outlook. There will be more to come, and as the shares will be cancelled, EPS will be enhanced. 


Sinotrans (598 HK): How Much Value Can Be Unlocked from Its First REIT?

China

Sinotrans Limited provides integrated logistics services with core service of sea, air, rail and road freight forwarding, express services and shipping agency services.  The Company also provides support services of storage and terminal services, trucking and marine transportation services.

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Sinotrans (598 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sinotrans (598 HK): Showing Its Sustained Resilience

Sinotrans' healthy 3Q22 suggested profitability remains solid and it is recovering well from the challenges in 2Q22. Consensus is too low, net cash...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sinotrans (598 HK): Still a Very Decent Performance

We are positive towards Sinotrans' full-year performance. Its 16.4% growth in 1H22 recurring profit is a good achievement amid the pandemic....

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks: AIA, Pop Mart, Great Wall Motor

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from HK market in the past 7 days were Aia (1299 HK), Pop Mart (9992 HK), Great...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sinotrans (598 HK): How Much Value Can Be Unlocked from Its First REIT?

Value equals to HK$0.16 per share, or 7.3% of its share price, can be realised from the proposed REIT issuance by Sinotrans. Its recent H-share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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