IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gogox-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35556:1" rel="noopener">GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK)</a> is a major online intra-city logistics platform in Asia. It has passed the listing hearing for an HKEx IPO to raise US$100-150 million.   </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gogox-ipo-initiation-a-less-than-perfect-delivery" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:64922" rel="noopener">GOGOX IPO Initiation: A Less than Perfect Delivery</a>, we noted that as the losses are expected to persist over the next three years, we would avoid the IPO.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the PHIP for the 2021 results and recent developments. The fundamentals remain unattractive and we would give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK) is a major online intra-city logistics platform in Asia. It has passed the listing hearing for an HKEx IPO to raise US$100-150 million.   
In GOGOX IPO Initiation: A Less than Perfect Delivery, we noted that as the losses are expected to persist over the next three years, we would avoid the IPO.
In this note, we examine the PHIP for the 2021 results and recent developments. The fundamentals remain unattractive and we would give the IPO a pass. 


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Weekly A-H premium change of -0.7ppt was led by the consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and utilities sector.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks including Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping, Cansino, Nanjing Panda, Shenzhen Hepalink, SH Fudan, SH Haohai, China Telecom, and Sinotrans.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week.
Weekly A-H premium change of -0.7ppt was led by the consumer staple, consumer discretionary, and utilities sector.
We highlight stocks including Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping, Cansino, Nanjing Panda, Shenzhen Hepalink, SH Fudan, SH Haohai, China Telecom, and Sinotrans.


A-H Premium Weekly: Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Infrastructure, new energy, consumer discretionary and, to a lesser extent, transportation and logistics are sectors that will benefit from extensive government economic supportive policies over the last few days. </li>
<li>Acceleration of special purpose bonds will drive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a>. We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> benefit from new energy initiatives.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a> will be the near-term winner in the consumer discretionary space and so as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Infrastructure, new energy, consumer discretionary and, to a lesser extent, transportation and logistics are sectors that will benefit from extensive government economic supportive policies over the last few days. 
Acceleration of special purpose bonds will drive China Communications Construction (1800 HK). We see China Longyuan Power (916 HK) and Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) benefit from new energy initiatives.

Li Ning (2331 HK) will be the near-term winner in the consumer discretionary space and so as Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK).


Roundup of Government Economic Supportive Policies: Key Winners

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> posted a 17.7% YoY net profit growth for 1Q22, providing evidences that it can weather the slowing trade momentum. More encouragingly, net profit surged 54.9% QoQ.</li>
<li>Gross margin expanded 1.3pp YoY, signaling better cost performance. DHL-Sinotrans continued to provide very promising contribution, reflecting in a 14.3% growth in investment income. </li>
<li>Operation parameters are solid and gearing stays healthy (7.6%), providing room for higher dividend payout. Even at last year's payout, it trade on 10.9% yield; and it's on 3.3x PER.</li>
</ul>



Sinotrans (598 HK) posted a 17.7% YoY net profit growth for 1Q22, providing evidences that it can weather the slowing trade momentum. More encouragingly, net profit surged 54.9% QoQ.
Gross margin expanded 1.3pp YoY, signaling better cost performance. DHL-Sinotrans continued to provide very promising contribution, reflecting in a 14.3% growth in investment income. 
Operation parameters are solid and gearing stays healthy (7.6%), providing room for higher dividend payout. Even at last year's payout, it trade on 10.9% yield; and it's on 3.3x PER.


Sinotrans (598 HK): Another Very Promising Quarter

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> has a record year in FY21 with recurring earnings increased 44% YoY. Margin for 4Q21 has shown some improvements against 9M21. </li>
<li>Management is generally cautiously optimistic for this year, but also highlighted weaker visibility for the outlook given high base, sporadic COVID-19 outbreak and geopolitical uncertainties. </li>
<li>We expect slower earnings growth in FY22, with e-commerce segment being the best-performing. We see lesser credit and asset impairments, and it is cheap at 3.7x PER and 10% yield. </li>
</ul>



Sinotrans (598 HK) has a record year in FY21 with recurring earnings increased 44% YoY. Margin for 4Q21 has shown some improvements against 9M21. 
Management is generally cautiously optimistic for this year, but also highlighted weaker visibility for the outlook given high base, sporadic COVID-19 outbreak and geopolitical uncertainties. 
We expect slower earnings growth in FY22, with e-commerce segment being the best-performing. We see lesser credit and asset impairments, and it is cheap at 3.7x PER and 10% yield. 


Sinotrans (598 HK): Record FY21, Takeaways from Post-Result Call

China

Sinotrans Limited provides integrated logistics services with core service of sea, air, rail and road freight forwarding, express services and shipping agency services.  The Company also provides support services of storage and terminal services, trucking and marine transportation services.

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Sinotrans (598 HK)

GOGOX IPO: Growth at All Costs

GOGOX has passed the listing hearing for an HKEx IPO to raise US$100-150m. The fundamentals remain unattractive and we would give the IPO a pass.

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly: Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping

We highlight A-H premium changes for stocks including Remegen, CNOOC, COSCO Shipping, Cansino, Nanjing Panda, Shenzhen Hepalink, SH Fudan, SH...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Roundup of Government Economic Supportive Policies: Key Winners

We expect the government economic supportive policies released in the last few days to drive the infrastructure, new energy, consumer discretionary...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sinotrans (598 HK): Another Very Promising Quarter

We consider Sinotrans' 17.7% growth in 1Q22 net profit a demonstration of the underlying strength of its operations. We think it is encouraging to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sinotrans (598 HK): Record FY21, Takeaways from Post-Result Call

Management is cautiously optimistic towards FY22 given a record profit in last year. We see slower earnings growth in this year but still at...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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