Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sipai Health Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The reason why there are many doubts about Sipai is that its Specialty Pharmacy Business accounts for dominant proportion of total revenue but is almost difficult to make a profit.</li>
<li>Sipai's SMO business revenue will be difficult to grow at scale due to industry characteristics and the Health Insurance Services business is too small to bring substantial changes to performance.</li>
<li>Sipai’s revenue structure/business model is difficult to improve in the short term. So it's not surprising if Sipai suffers long-term losses. Its valuation should be lower than that of ClouDr.</li>
</ul>


The reason why there are many doubts about Sipai is that its Specialty Pharmacy Business accounts for dominant proportion of total revenue but is almost difficult to make a profit.
Sipai's SMO business revenue will be difficult to grow at scale due to industry characteristics and the Health Insurance Services business is too small to bring substantial changes to performance.
Sipai’s revenue structure/business model is difficult to improve in the short term. So it's not surprising if Sipai suffers long-term losses. Its valuation should be lower than that of ClouDr.


Sipai Health Technology (314.HK) - Valuation Has Collapsed, but a Reversal Is Not yet in Sight

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sipai-health-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36662:1" rel="noopener">Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)</a></strong>, a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a></strong> continues to eke out new highs. </li>
<li>Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.</li>
<li>The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. </li>
</ul>



Sipai Health Technology (314 HK), a Chinese digital healthcare platform backed by Tencent (700 HK) continues to eke out new highs. 
Sipai closed up 34% on its debut two days before Xmas last year, and is currently up 74% on its IPO price of HK$18.60.
The company is loss-making. However, FY22 financials showed those losses continue to fall. 


Sipai Health Technology: Hidden Benefits, Not-So-Hidden Risks

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Sipai Health Tech’s shares have been up more than 35% since its HKEx IPO in December 2022. Shares were priced at HK$18.6 a piece and are trading close to HK$33.55.</li>
<li>The company’s largest business segment commands very lower margins while high-margin insurance business is facing stiff competition with negligible contribution to consolidated earnings.</li>
<li>Closest peer Beijing Yuanxin Tech has applied for an IPO and Yuanxin’s deteriorating performance could have partly driven the current rally in Sipai’s share price since its IPO.</li>
</ul>


Sipai Health Tech’s shares have been up more than 35% since its HKEx IPO in December 2022. Shares were priced at HK$18.6 a piece and are trading close to HK$33.55.
The company’s largest business segment commands very lower margins while high-margin insurance business is facing stiff competition with negligible contribution to consolidated earnings.
Closest peer Beijing Yuanxin Tech has applied for an IPO and Yuanxin’s deteriorating performance could have partly driven the current rally in Sipai’s share price since its IPO.


Sipai Health Tech: Market Overreacts to a Mediocre Business

<ul>
<li>The sustainability/stability of Sipai’s performance and growth potential are worrying. Sipai doesn’t have a business with core competitiveness as its foundation, thus leading to potential problems in its business model.</li>
<li>It is useless to have fast revenue growth because Sipai’s profitability is very weak, which is actually closely related to its business characteristics. Sipai is far from being breakeven.</li>
<li>Sipai is overvalued. Such high valuation is not reasonable based on our analysis. We are conservative about Sipai's outlook and we think there are much better investment opportunities.</li>
</ul>


The sustainability/stability of Sipai’s performance and growth potential are worrying. Sipai doesn’t have a business with core competitiveness as its foundation, thus leading to potential problems in its business model.
It is useless to have fast revenue growth because Sipai’s profitability is very weak, which is actually closely related to its business characteristics. Sipai is far from being breakeven.
Sipai is overvalued. Such high valuation is not reasonable based on our analysis. We are conservative about Sipai's outlook and we think there are much better investment opportunities.


Sipai Health Technology (314.HK) - Unjustified Valuation and Problematic Business Model

China

Sipai Health Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a medical technology and health management company. The Company provides nationwide offline and online specialty pharmacy, physician research assistance, and health insurance services. Sipai Health Technology conducts businesses in China.

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Sipai Health Technology (314 HK)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM