HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 72.5% decline in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a>'s FY23 earnings is disappointing but should already reflected in the share price given the profit warning. Instead, this may be the trough.  </li>
<li>Spot freight rates for key intra-Asia routes have already recovered since 3Q23, with the YTD level higher than the 2H23 average. The 1H24 result may show a sequential rebound.</li>
<li>Even assuming flat YoY earnings in FY24, it still sits on a 9% dividend yield. The projected ROE of over 24% and net cash position mean 1.6-1.7x P/B undemanding.</li>
</ul>


The 72.5% decline in SITC International (1308 HK)'s FY23 earnings is disappointing but should already reflected in the share price given the profit warning. Instead, this may be the trough.  
Spot freight rates for key intra-Asia routes have already recovered since 3Q23, with the YTD level higher than the 2H23 average. The 1H24 result may show a sequential rebound.
Even assuming flat YoY earnings in FY24, it still sits on a 9% dividend yield. The projected ROE of over 24% and net cash position mean 1.6-1.7x P/B undemanding.


SITC International (1308 HK): Bidding Farewell to the Trough

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the Mainland Securities ahead of the HSCEI review result, due on 20 Nov 2026 after market close.</li>
<li>One ADD and one DELETE are screened as high-conviction calls this cycle.</li>
<li>We also include one mid-conviction ADD and one low-conviction DELETE.</li>
</ul>


We screen the Mainland Securities ahead of the HSCEI review result, due on 20 Nov 2026 after market close.
One ADD and one DELETE are screened as high-conviction calls this cycle.
We also include one mid-conviction ADD and one low-conviction DELETE.


CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 332% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 216%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 new join the fray
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 332% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 216%


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a> reported a 18.9% increase in FY25 net profit, the high end of the positive profit alert range. Net cash is healthy at 3.3% of market capitalisation.</li>
<li>The US-Iran conflict will tighten vessel supply and increase freight rates. Meanwhile, through fuel surcharges, SITC can mostly pass through the higher fuel costs. </li>
<li>At 4.3x P/B, against an ROE of 41-45% for FY26-27F, valuations are not overly stretched. The FY26 dividend yield of 7.7% is attractive.</li>
</ul>



SITC International (1308 HK) reported a 18.9% increase in FY25 net profit, the high end of the positive profit alert range. Net cash is healthy at 3.3% of market capitalisation.
The US-Iran conflict will tighten vessel supply and increase freight rates. Meanwhile, through fuel surcharges, SITC can mostly pass through the higher fuel costs. 
At 4.3x P/B, against an ROE of 41-45% for FY26-27F, valuations are not overly stretched. The FY26 dividend yield of 7.7% is attractive.


SITC International (1308 HK): Decently Attractive

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the main benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to formulaically predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of getting added/deleted during the next review in December 2026.</li>
<li>The results are expected to be confirmed publicly on 20th November 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the main benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to formulaically predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of getting added/deleted during the next review in December 2026.
The results are expected to be confirmed publicly on 20th November 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec26: Z.AI, COSCO, 3SBIO Among Our Top Picks

Hong Kong

SITC International Holdings Co., Ltd. is a leading shipping logistics company in the intra-Asia area. It provides integrated transportation and logistics solutions, including container liner shipping, freight forwarding, shipping agency, and warehousing services. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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SITC International (1308 HK)