Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Headline Asia-ex-Japan EPS estimates have declined over the past 3 and 6 months, dragged down by China, India and Thailand and supported by Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Philippines.</li>
<li>Looking at earnings estimate trajectories of 100 Asian market-sector combinations, we identify 16 market-sectors with upward revisions over past 3 and 6 months. A month ago, we could spot eight.</li>
<li>Korean and Taiwanese Technology and industrials, Hong Kong Technology Services and ASEAN Financials figure prominently among the sectors with robust and sustainable EPS estimate recovery.</li>
</ul>


Headline Asia-ex-Japan EPS estimates have declined over the past 3 and 6 months, dragged down by China, India and Thailand and supported by Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Philippines.
Looking at earnings estimate trajectories of 100 Asian market-sector combinations, we identify 16 market-sectors with upward revisions over past 3 and 6 months. A month ago, we could spot eight.
Korean and Taiwanese Technology and industrials, Hong Kong Technology Services and ASEAN Financials figure prominently among the sectors with robust and sustainable EPS estimate recovery.


Asian Equities: Below the Headline Numbers, the Earnings Environment Is Improving

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Now that Lee Jae-Myung has become new South Korean President, the uncertainty revolving who will lead South Korea in the next five years is now over.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the market for the remainder of 2025.</li>
<li>The four investment themes include Korean Holdcos/Quasi Holdcos, Korean Cultural Contents, Securities, and SK Group Companies.</li>
</ul>


Now that Lee Jae-Myung has become new South Korean President, the uncertainty revolving who will lead South Korea in the next five years is now over.
In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the market for the remainder of 2025.
The four investment themes include Korean Holdcos/Quasi Holdcos, Korean Cultural Contents, Securities, and SK Group Companies.


Lee Jae-Myung Becomes the New South Korean President - Four Investment Themes That Could Outperform

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.</li>
<li>High Positioning, Negative Momentum: AIA Group Limited, Shenzhen Inovance Technology </li>
<li>Low Positioning, Positive Momentum: New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group, Shinhan Financial Group</li>
</ul>


We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.
High Positioning, Negative Momentum: AIA Group Limited, Shenzhen Inovance Technology 
Low Positioning, Positive Momentum: New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group, Shinhan Financial Group


Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>Despite a negative share price reaction, following its 2Q2024 earnings report, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> remains firmly amid an earnings upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>With SK Hynix entering oversold territory, near-term momentum indicators are displaying bullish signals.</li>
<li>SK Hynix trades at nearly one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average EV/EBITDA ratio and a discount to global peers.</li>
</ul>


Despite a negative share price reaction, following its 2Q2024 earnings report, SK Hynix (000660 KS) remains firmly amid an earnings upgrade cycle.
With SK Hynix entering oversold territory, near-term momentum indicators are displaying bullish signals.
SK Hynix trades at nearly one standard deviation below its 5-year historic average EV/EBITDA ratio and a discount to global peers.


SK Hynix (000660-KR): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>April 2025, the US Gvt extended restrictions on Nvidia’s China-specific H20 chip. Restriction also apply to H20’s memory bandwidth. This means SK Hynix HBM and TSMC CoWoS.   </li>
<li>Nvidia new China-specific chip derive from this: a downgraded chip, half a Blackwell, without HBM-CoWoS packaging. Time to design, manufacture, could lead to ~15% downside risk to FY26 Consensus?   </li>
<li>FY26 revenues could land at US$175bn or  -12% below Consensus at 199bn. $175bn implies 35% growth YoY, Consensus expects 52%. The stock trades at “low” 30x FY26 and 24x FY27.</li>
</ul>


April 2025, the US Gvt extended restrictions on Nvidia’s China-specific H20 chip. Restriction also apply to H20’s memory bandwidth. This means SK Hynix HBM and TSMC CoWoS.   
Nvidia new China-specific chip derive from this: a downgraded chip, half a Blackwell, without HBM-CoWoS packaging. Time to design, manufacture, could lead to ~15% downside risk to FY26 Consensus?   
FY26 revenues could land at US$175bn or  -12% below Consensus at 199bn. $175bn implies 35% growth YoY, Consensus expects 52%. The stock trades at “low” 30x FY26 and 24x FY27.


Nvidia’s Jensen Complaining About Export Restrictions to China: How Much Is at Stake? Quite a Lot.

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Asian Equities: Below the Headline Numbers, the Earnings Environment Is Improving

A month ago 8 Asian sectors exhibited reviving EPS est; now 16 do. CN, India, Thailand declining, KR, TW, SGP, Phils rising. KR & TW Tech &...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Lee Jae-Myung Becomes the New South Korean President - Four Investment Themes That Could Outperform

In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the...

Douglas Kim

Asia Ex-Japan: Extreme Stocks

We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges. We combine current and historical data with recent manager...

Steven Holden

SK Hynix (000660-KR): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

In this insight, we perform a technical analysis of SK Hynix by looking at earnings forecast revision trends, momentum indicators, and current...

Wium Malan, CFA

Nvidia’s Jensen Complaining About Export Restrictions to China: How Much Is at Stake? Quite a Lot.

Nvidia new China-specific chip GPU will take time, leading to potential downside risk for FY26 revenues. But the stock is trading at low multiples

Nicolas Baratte

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Asian Equities: Below the Headline Numbers, the Earnings Environment Is Improving

A month ago 8 Asian sectors exhibited reviving EPS est; now 16 do. CN, India, Thailand declining, KR, TW, SGP, Phils rising. KR & TW Tech &...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Lee Jae-Myung Becomes the New South Korean President - Four Investment Themes That Could Outperform

In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the...

Douglas Kim

Asia Ex-Japan: Extreme Stocks

We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges. We combine current and historical data with recent manager...

Steven Holden

SK Hynix (000660-KR): Positive Technical Analysis Signals

In this insight, we perform a technical analysis of SK Hynix by looking at earnings forecast revision trends, momentum indicators, and current...

Wium Malan, CFA

Nvidia’s Jensen Complaining About Export Restrictions to China: How Much Is at Stake? Quite a Lot.

​Nvidia new China-specific chip GPU will take time, leading to potential downside risk for FY26 revenues. But the stock is trading at low multiples

Nicolas Baratte

Nvidia new China-specific chip GPU will take time, leading to potential downside risk for FY26 revenues. But the stock is trading at low multiples