Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.</li>
<li>We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a> .</li>
<li>$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US</li>
</ul>


Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.
We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US) .
$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US


Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 23 June, SK Innovation (096770 KS) announced that the company will conduct a rights offering worth 1.2 trillion won. </li>
<li>We have a positive view on SK Innovation's rights offering of 1.2 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 143,800 won which is 21% discount to current price. </li>
<li>Although we have a positive view of SK Innovation over the next 12 months, its share price could face some weakness in the near term due to this capital increase. </li>
</ul>


After the market close on 23 June, SK Innovation (096770 KS) announced that the company will conduct a rights offering worth 1.2 trillion won. 
We have a positive view on SK Innovation's rights offering of 1.2 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 143,800 won which is 21% discount to current price. 
Although we have a positive view of SK Innovation over the next 12 months, its share price could face some weakness in the near term due to this capital increase. 


SK Innovation: Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won at a 21% Discount to Current Price

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A previously published <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-kospi-200-index-weekly-time-to-go-long" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight</a> correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>'s current multi-month Bull run.</li>
<li>The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of<strong> +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385</strong>.</li>
<li>Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). <strong>A pullback is highly probable from 360.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


A previously published insight correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the KOSPI 200's current multi-month Bull run.
The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.
Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.



EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

<ul>
<li>SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) announced on 29 April that it plans to change into an intermediate holding company.</li>
<li>We believe that the formation of an intermediate holding company structure could have a negative impact on SKC's share price. </li>
<li>This is because some investors may be concerned that SKC may try to complete IPOs of some of its valuable subsidiaries including SKCFT Holdings without adequate protection for SKC shareholders.</li>
</ul>


SKC Co Ltd (011790 KS) announced on 29 April that it plans to change into an intermediate holding company.
We believe that the formation of an intermediate holding company structure could have a negative impact on SKC's share price. 
This is because some investors may be concerned that SKC may try to complete IPOs of some of its valuable subsidiaries including SKCFT Holdings without adequate protection for SKC shareholders.


SKC Co: Formation of an Intermediate Holding Company

<ul>
<li>It has been reported that SK On received 1.2 trillion won investment from a consortium led by MBK Partners and SNB Capital, valuing SK On at about 25 trillion won.</li>
<li>Our SoTP valuation of SK Innovation suggests a target price of 274,738 won per share, which represents a 38% higher levels than current price.</li>
<li>SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.</li>
</ul>


It has been reported that SK On received 1.2 trillion won investment from a consortium led by MBK Partners and SNB Capital, valuing SK On at about 25 trillion won.
Our SoTP valuation of SK Innovation suggests a target price of 274,738 won per share, which represents a 38% higher levels than current price.
SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.


Higher Private Market Valuation of SK On: Positive Impact on SK Innovation

South Korea

SK IE Technology Co., Ltd operates as a material solution provider. The Company provides information material solutions, electronic materials solutions, and other products. SK IE Technology conducts businesses across worldwide.

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SK IE Technology (361610 KS)

Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Normal Pullback, or Something More for global equities?; Watch Resistance on $DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys in Consumer Discretionary...

Vermilion Research

SK Innovation: Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won at a 21% Discount to Current Price

On 2 August, SK Innovation announced that its rights offering amount will be raised to 1.3 trillion won (higher than the original expected amount...

Douglas Kim

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the KOSPI 200's WEEKLY current uptrend: price levels where the trend can stop and probability of...

Nico Rosti

SKC Co: Formation of an Intermediate Holding Company

This insight provides additional details of SKC which has announced highly aggressive investment plans to expand its rechargeable batteries and...

Douglas Kim

Higher Private Market Valuation of SK On: Positive Impact on SK Innovation

SK Innovation's 96.5% stake in SK On (24.1 trillion won in value) is 130% higher than SK Innovation's current market cap.

Douglas Kim

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