Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SK Square (402340 KS) announced a solid corporate value up plan pushing up its share price by 8.8% to 87,500 won on 22 November.</li>
<li>Major highlights of the corporate value up plan included cancellation of 200 billion won of treasury shares, higher ROE target, and achieve 1x PBR ratio (nearly double the current ratio).</li>
<li>Our NAV analysis of SK Square suggests NAV of 15.2 trillion won or 112,822 won per share, representing 29% higher than current share price.</li>
</ul>


SK Square (402340 KS) announced a solid corporate value up plan pushing up its share price by 8.8% to 87,500 won on 22 November.
Major highlights of the corporate value up plan included cancellation of 200 billion won of treasury shares, higher ROE target, and achieve 1x PBR ratio (nearly double the current ratio).
Our NAV analysis of SK Square suggests NAV of 15.2 trillion won or 112,822 won per share, representing 29% higher than current share price.


SK Square: A Solid Corporate Value Up Plan Likely to Lead to Continued Outperformance

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>While the short-selling ban for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.</li>
<li>Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.</li>
<li>Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.</li>
</ul>


While the short-selling ban for the KOSPI 200 INDEX will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.
Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.
Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.


<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Construction and semiconductors are key targets due to their low value-up representation. For shareholder returns, keep an eye on Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square.</li>
<li>Expect announcements before the mid-September value-up index, with early September releases mirroring LG Electronics' prior notices and detailed plans arriving by Q4.</li>
<li>Even with prior notices, details will leak. Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square are likely to prioritize short-term shareholder returns over long-term growth, potentially leading to a bigger price impact.</li>
</ul>


Construction and semiconductors are key targets due to their low value-up representation. For shareholder returns, keep an eye on Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square.
Expect announcements before the mid-September value-up index, with early September releases mirroring LG Electronics' prior notices and detailed plans arriving by Q4.
Even with prior notices, details will leak. Samsung C&amp;T and SK Square are likely to prioritize short-term shareholder returns over long-term growth, potentially leading to a bigger price impact.


Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

<ul>
<li>Hynix's potential 15% stake in Kioxia doesn't violate the 20% rule because KFTC's mandatory stake rule doesn't apply to foreign investments.</li>
<li>SK Group may transfer Hynix's 15% Kioxia stake to SK Square by splitting Hynix and merging its investment arm with SK Square for future AI investments.</li>
<li>SK Square may attract more attention than Hynix short-term, as Kioxia's stake via Hynix could boost market expectations for value transfer to SK Square.</li>
</ul>


Hynix's potential 15% stake in Kioxia doesn't violate the 20% rule because KFTC's mandatory stake rule doesn't apply to foreign investments.
SK Group may transfer Hynix's 15% Kioxia stake to SK Square by splitting Hynix and merging its investment arm with SK Square for future AI investments.
SK Square may attract more attention than Hynix short-term, as Kioxia's stake via Hynix could boost market expectations for value transfer to SK Square.


Understanding Potential Issues Within SK Group from Hynix's Kioxia CB Conversion

South Korea

SK Square Co., Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company invests in semiconductors, information and communications technologies, and other industries. SK Square conducts businesses in South Korea.

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SK Square (402340 KS)

SK Square: A Solid Corporate Value Up Plan Likely to Lead to Continued Outperformance

SK Square announced a solid corporate value up plan including a cancellation of 200 billion won of treasury shares, higher ROE target, and higher...

Douglas Kim

EQD | KOSPI 200 May Pullback Soon...

Pullbacks on the KOSPI 200 INDEX are currently a buy opportunity, given the short-selling ban still in place. We predict a short-term WEEKLY...

Nico Rosti

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Keep an Eye on Samsung C&T & SK Square as the Next Hot Picks for Value-Up Announcements

This post dives into the potential for Samsung C&T and SK Square to be the next big players in value-up announcements and explores the likely price...

Sanghyun Park

Understanding Potential Issues Within SK Group from Hynix's Kioxia CB Conversion

This post dives into the potential issues about how Kioxia's IPO could affect Hynix and the whole SK Group that the market needs to clear up.

Sanghyun Park

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