Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Foreign investors have been selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> for over a year now. That has taken foreign room from near zero to close to 15% now.</li>
<li>That could mean index inclusion for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> with timing dependent on when the 15% foreign room threshold is crossed.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> has performed in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> but trades at higher valuations on most parameters.</li>
</ul>


Foreign investors have been selling SK Telecom (017670 KS) for over a year now. That has taken foreign room from near zero to close to 15% now.
That could mean index inclusion for SK Telecom (017670 KS) with timing dependent on when the 15% foreign room threshold is crossed.

SK Telecom (017670 KS) has performed in line with KT Corp (030200 KS) but trades at higher valuations on most parameters.


SK Telecom (017670 KS): Foreign Room Increase Has Implications

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> is the second-largest Dynamic Random-Access Memory (DRAM) semiconductor Integrated Device Manufacturer (IDM) in the world and is set to become a major player in the global NAND industry following the acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>’s NAND business. Based on the compelling demand outlook for the industry, the significant increase in spot memory prices this year, and the expected revenue uplift in 2022 from the closure of the Intel NAND acquisition there looks to be room for an upside surprise to current earnings expectations which could sustain the earnings upgrade cycle, for a stock that is trading on valuation multiples that are below historical average levels as well as that of global peers. This insight is also a natural follow up from an idea generated through our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/screening-for-gems-july-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53931" rel="noopener">Screening for GEMs: July 2021</a>.

SK Hynix (000660 KS) is the second-largest Dynamic Random-Access Memory (DRAM) semiconductor Integrated Device Manufacturer (IDM) in the world and is set to become a major player in the global NAND industry following the acquisition of Intel Corp (INTC US)’s NAND business. Based on the compelling demand outlook for the industry, the significant increase in spot memory prices this year, and the expected revenue uplift in 2022 from the closure of the Intel NAND acquisition there looks to be room for an upside surprise to current earnings expectations which could sustain the earnings upgrade cycle, for a stock that is trading on valuation multiples that are below historical average levels as well as that of global peers. This insight is also a natural follow up from an idea generated through our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index: Screening for GEMs: July 2021.

SK Hynix: Leading DRAM IDM, Trading at Discount Multiples, in a Strong Demand Environment

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.</li>
<li>We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.</li>
</ul>


This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.
We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.
HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.


Active GEM Funds:  Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SK Square is looking to raise around US$198m via selling 2.1% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener">Krafton (259960 KS).</a>
</li>
<li>The stock has been doing well over the past few months and its earnings and price momentum remain strong.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


SK Square is looking to raise around US$198m via selling 2.1% of Krafton (259960 KS).

The stock has been doing well over the past few months and its earnings and price momentum remain strong.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Krafton Placement - Stock Has Been Doing Well, Momentum Remains Strong

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KT's foreign ownership declined since January, below 7.5% by last month. If it remains, the adjustment factor halves to 0.25, impacting KT's Global Index weight.</li>
<li>With the May review screening date estimated for April 17th, swift reversal of foreign inflows seems improbable. Thus, KT's adjustment factor dropping to 0.25 is likely.</li>
<li>This could lead to an outflow of 1.6M shares, approximately 3x ADTV. Given the prolonged price impact on telcos, exploring a long-short setup with SKT might be prudent.</li>
</ul>


KT's foreign ownership declined since January, below 7.5% by last month. If it remains, the adjustment factor halves to 0.25, impacting KT's Global Index weight.
With the May review screening date estimated for April 17th, swift reversal of foreign inflows seems improbable. Thus, KT's adjustment factor dropping to 0.25 is likely.
This could lead to an outflow of 1.6M shares, approximately 3x ADTV. Given the prolonged price impact on telcos, exploring a long-short setup with SKT might be prudent.


KT's Foreign Room Below 7.5%, Weight Down-Adjustment Expected in May, Resulting in 3x ADTV Outflow

South Korea

SK Telecom Co., Ltd. is a Korean mobile and telecommunications operator. The Company provides cellular voice, wireless data, and wireless internet services. SK Telecom also offers fixed line services and platform services.

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SK Telecom (SKM US)

SK Telecom (017670 KS): Foreign Room Increase Has Implications

Foreign investors have sold SK Tel for over a year leading to foreign room moving from 0% to nearly 15%. Crossing the 15% threshold could lead to...

Brian Freitas

SK Hynix: Leading DRAM IDM, Trading at Discount Multiples, in a Strong Demand Environment

In this insight, we take a closer look at SK Hynix, the 2nd largest DRAM IDM in the world and its potential for re-rating driven by a continuation...

Wium Malan, CFA

Active GEM Funds: Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

GEM Extreme Stocks. HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.

Steven Holden

Krafton Placement - Stock Has Been Doing Well, Momentum Remains Strong

SK Square is looking to raise around US$198m via selling 2.1% of Krafton (259960 KS). In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics and run it...

Sumeet Singh

KT's Foreign Room Below 7.5%, Weight Down-Adjustment Expected in May, Resulting in 3x ADTV Outflow

Screening base date is likely on April 17th. KT's FIF cut to 25% is certain. 3 additions might join the Global Index despite stricter extreme price...

Sanghyun Park

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