Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Independent Research Analyst

Mamta Verma

DC India Research

DC India Research LLP (DCIR) is based out of Mumbai, India.

We specialize in providing customized, independent research across listed and unlisted companies in India across equities and credit including sectoral research. Our customers include India focussed PE funds, special situation funds, domestic AMCs, Wealth Advisory& PMS firms, Rating Agencies & Investment Advisors. 

The DCIR board consists of prominent names from the industry as well as CIO’s of Hedge funds.

Equity Bottom-Up

In this note we provide a quick-wrap of the q3-FY18 and 9m-FY18 performance of the listed companies in the Indian Bearings sector. We cover the following 4 listed players - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6434" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19719" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19719:1">Nrb Bearings Ltd (NRBBR IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4984" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4984:1">Skf India Ltd (SKF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5540" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5540:1">Timken India Ltd (TMKN IN)</a>Note - Schaeffler India announced q1-CY18 results yesterday and have an earnings call schedule for today morning. We will be providing a result update shortly.This sector capsule will also be updated for q4-FY18…

In this note we provide a quick-wrap of the q3-FY18 and 9m-FY18 performance of the listed companies in the Indian Bearings sector. We cover the following 4 listed players - Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN), Nrb Bearings Ltd (NRBBR IN), Skf India Ltd (SKF IN), Timken India Ltd (TMKN IN)Note - Schaeffler India announced q1-CY18 results yesterday and have an earnings call schedule for today morning. We will be providing a result update shortly.This sector capsule will also be updated for q4-FY18…

Sector Capsule - Indian Bearings Industry

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September 2016, the government was 7 million short of its goal with the odds of achieving it in less than a year seeming very low. Increasing PNG and CNG (compressed natural gas) connections are part of the government’s wider plan to more than double the share of natural gas in India’s energy mix to 20% by 2025. To achieve this goal, the government needs to ramp up transmission infrastructure and increase capacity of import infrastructure to cater to the expected surge in natural gas imports, apart from introducing key policies with regards to pricing, taxation and regulation. Based on past evidence and the information provided within this report, we think the government will fall short of its energy mix targets, just like it did in the PNG segment.

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September 2016, the government was 7 million short of its goal with the odds of achieving it in less than a year seeming very low. Increasing PNG and CNG (compressed natural gas) connections are part of the government’s wider plan to more than double the share of natural gas in India’s energy mix to 20% by 2025. To achieve this goal, the government needs to ramp up transmission infrastructure and increase capacity of import infrastructure to cater to the expected surge in natural gas imports, apart from introducing key policies with regards to pricing, taxation and regulation. Based on past evidence and the information provided within this report, we think the government will fall short of its energy mix targets, just like it did in the PNG segment.

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The segment remains in a sorry state with the logistics sector largely inundated by unorganised players. Nevertheless, we think the introduction of GST, multimodal logistics parks and the dedicated freight corridors could prove to be a game changer. Also the container manufacturing sector in India is almost negligent and new players could easily gain market share over the current market which is dominated by Chinese containers being imported into the country at a premium.

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The segment remains in a sorry state with the logistics sector largely inundated by unorganised players. Nevertheless, we think the introduction of GST, multimodal logistics parks and the dedicated freight corridors could prove to be a game changer. Also the container manufacturing sector in India is almost negligent and new players could easily gain market share over the current market which is dominated by Chinese containers being imported into the country at a premium.

Containerisation: Prerequisite to Efficient Inter-Modal and Multi-Modal Transportation in India

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high time the Indian Railways did a re-evaluation of its strategy to keep rail freight a going concern. In this report we will look into reasons for the slump in freight traffic and how it can be rejuvenated to continue as the highest revenue grossing segment of the Indian Railways.

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high time the Indian Railways did a re-evaluation of its strategy to keep rail freight a going concern. In this report we will look into reasons for the slump in freight traffic and how it can be rejuvenated to continue as the highest revenue grossing segment of the Indian Railways.

"Freight" or Flight: A Look into the Indian Railways' Largest Revenue Segment

India

SKF India Ltd. manufactures a wide range of ball and roller bearings, such as deep groove, taper roller and other types.  Bearings are used by a number of industries, including the automotive, electrical, power generation, cement, steel, petrochemical and textile industries.

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SKF India Ltd (SKF IN)

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Sector Capsule - Indian Bearings Industry

In this note we provide a quick-wrap of the q3-FY18 and 9m-FY18 performance of the listed companies in the Indian Bearings sector. We cover the...

DC India Research

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September...

Speeda Research

"Freight" or Flight: A Look into the Indian Railways' Largest Revenue Segment

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high...

Speeda Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Sector Capsule - Indian Bearings Industry

In this note we provide a quick-wrap of the q3-FY18 and 9m-FY18 performance of the listed companies in the Indian Bearings sector. We cover the...

DC India Research

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September...

Speeda Research

Containerisation: Prerequisite to Efficient Inter-Modal and Multi-Modal Transportation in India

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The...

Speeda Research

"Freight" or Flight: A Look into the Indian Railways' Largest Revenue Segment

Since Independence, rail freight has played an important role in carrying the nation forward. But with freight traffic growth slowing, it is high...

Speeda Research