ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 1H2024 results despite a seasonally slower quarter with margins holding up well and market share improving versus competition.</li>
<li>Outlet expansion for Alfamart is running ahead of guidance, with Alfamidi growing in line and a more measured expansion for Lawson, as it beds down last year's aggressive rollout. </li>
<li>Outside Java is seeing the strongest growth in sales and the focus on expansion of DCs and stores plus Alfamart is increasing the number of chillers. Valuations reflecting growth prospects.</li>
</ul>



Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) booked a solid set of 1H2024 results despite a seasonally slower quarter with margins holding up well and market share improving versus competition.
Outlet expansion for Alfamart is running ahead of guidance, with Alfamidi growing in line and a more measured expansion for Lawson, as it beds down last year's aggressive rollout. 
Outside Java is seeing the strongest growth in sales and the focus on expansion of DCs and stores plus Alfamart is increasing the number of chillers. Valuations reflecting growth prospects.


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Alfamart Led Rollout

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20015'>SM Investments</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-24409'>Xiaomi Corp</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.SM InvestmentsXiaomi Corp

Morning Views Asia: SM Investments, Xiaomi Corp

<ul>
<li>A follow-up call with Alfamart management confirmed the positive growth outlook for the coming year despite a slower store build-out and a sanguine view of the competitive environment. </li>
<li>Alfamart will slow its store build-out for Lawson as it optimises its existing stores but will still open 250 new Lawson outlets out of a total of 1,500 new outlets.</li>
<li>The company will expand more aggressively in the outer islands and build five new DCs to support expansion, with Alfamidi seeing a pick-up in new store openings.  Valuations are reasonable.</li>
</ul>


A follow-up call with Alfamart management confirmed the positive growth outlook for the coming year despite a slower store build-out and a sanguine view of the competitive environment. 
Alfamart will slow its store build-out for Lawson as it optimises its existing stores but will still open 250 new Lawson outlets out of a total of 1,500 new outlets.
The company will expand more aggressively in the outer islands and build five new DCs to support expansion, with Alfamidi seeing a pick-up in new store openings.  Valuations are reasonable.


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - About Competition and Initiatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya</a> through its Alfamart and Alfamidi formats is one of the largest mini-market operators in Indonesia but is now expanding aggressively into the convenience store space through Lawson.</li>
<li>The company should have a strong finish to the year with an additional 1,200-1,300 new stores being added over the period plus margins improving as Alfamart adds new services.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya</a> is a core proxy to the winning mini-market format in Indonesia plus it is looking to replicate its success in the Philippines in Collaboration with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sm-investments-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20015:1" rel="noopener">SM Investments</a>.</li>
</ul>



Sumber Alfaria Trijaya through its Alfamart and Alfamidi formats is one of the largest mini-market operators in Indonesia but is now expanding aggressively into the convenience store space through Lawson.
The company should have a strong finish to the year with an additional 1,200-1,300 new stores being added over the period plus margins improving as Alfamart adds new services.

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya is a core proxy to the winning mini-market format in Indonesia plus it is looking to replicate its success in the Philippines in Collaboration with SM Investments.


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Lawson Taking Up the Reins of Convenience

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sm-investments-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20015:1" rel="noopener">SM Investments (SM PM)</a></strong>, the leading Filipino conglomerate, recently announced strong 9M22 earnings, buoyed by increased economic activity and strong consumer sentiment.</li>
<li>The standout was the unlisted SM Retail segment which recorded net income of PHP 11.5bn, exceeding 2019 pre-pandemic levels. </li>
<li>The implied stub/share - net of all listcos - of PHP 208/share compares to the five-year average of PHP 273/share, and the two-year average of PHP 252 preceding Covid. </li>
</ul>



SM Investments (SM PM), the leading Filipino conglomerate, recently announced strong 9M22 earnings, buoyed by increased economic activity and strong consumer sentiment.
The standout was the unlisted SM Retail segment which recorded net income of PHP 11.5bn, exceeding 2019 pre-pandemic levels. 
The implied stub/share - net of all listcos - of PHP 208/share compares to the five-year average of PHP 273/share, and the two-year average of PHP 252 preceding Covid. 


SM Investments (SM PM): Retail Income Now Exceeds Pre-Covid Levels

Philippines

SM Investments Corporation is a Filipino conglomerate with diverse interests across retail, banking, property development, and portfolio investments. It is a dominant player in shopping mall development and management, retail, and real estate, and also provides a full range of banking services through its subsidiaries. The company is headquartered in Pasay City, Philippines, and was founded in 1958.

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SM Investments (SM PM)

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Alfamart Led Rollout

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) booked a solid set of 1H2024 results despite a seasonally slower quarter with margins holding up well and market...

Angus Mackintosh

Morning Views Asia: SM Investments, Xiaomi Corp

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - About Competition and Initiatives

A follow-up call with Alfamart managment after results confirmed the positive growth outlook for the coming year despite a slower store build-out...

Angus Mackintosh

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Lawson Taking Up the Reins of Convenience

Sumber Alfaria through its Alfamart and Alfamidi formats is one of the largest mini-market operators in Indonesia but is now expanding aggressively...

Angus Mackintosh

SM Investments (SM PM): Retail Income Now Exceeds Pre-Covid Levels

SMIC is benefitting from increased economic activity and buoyant consumer sentiment. Go outright long or hedge out SM Prime and BDO, in which the...

David Blennerhassett

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