Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Elliott ups its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> and considers the proposed Offer to be significantly undervalues the company. </li>
<li>No matter how you slice it, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)</a>is trading rich. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> is trading even richer. </li>
<li>Is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting  (GENT MK)</a>'s low-balled Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> all about securing statutory control; or is there scope for a bump now that the transaction has turned unconditional? </li>
</ul>


Elliott ups its stake in Toyota Industries (6201 JP) and considers the proposed Offer to be significantly undervalues the company. 
No matter how you slice it, Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)is trading rich. Zijin Gold (2259 HK) is trading even richer. 
Is Genting  (GENT MK)'s low-balled Offer for Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) all about securing statutory control; or is there scope for a bump now that the transaction has turned unconditional? 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining, Genting Malaysia, Jardine Matheson

<ul>
<li>I tally 39 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below</li>
<li>Five new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Milk (1432 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/forum-engineering-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28896:1" rel="noopener">Forum Engineering (7088 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-micronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9567:1" rel="noopener">Star Micronics (7718 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paris-miki-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15251:1" rel="noopener">Paris Miki (7455 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruwn-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18411:1" rel="noopener">Maruwn (9067 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-west-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:804:1" rel="noopener">Seven West Media (SWM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 39 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below
Five new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: China Shengmu Milk (1432 HK), Forum Engineering (7088 JP), Star Micronics (7718 JP), Paris Miki (7455 JP), and Maruwn (9067 JP). 
Key updates/news also took place on: AUB Group Limited (AUB AU), Mayne Pharma (MYX AU), Seven West Media (SWM AU), and Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK).



Asia-Pac M&A: AUB Group, China Shengmu Milk, Forum Engineering, Star Micronics, Paris Miki, Maruwn

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6261:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Industrial (7250 JP)</a> "MBO" was egregiously mis-priced. I was surprised the family did it but on 23 October, they increased their bid by 42.4%, from ¥2,050 to ¥2,919/share.</li>
<li>The stock was at ¥2,735 after activist Effissimo had built a 13% stake at ¥2365. The day after the announcement, the stock opened up through terms and continues to climb.</li>
<li>Effissimo responded 4 days later, buying 2% of voting rights as the stock climbed past ¥3,000, another 1% later. Now the stock is 8+% through new terms. They're not playing.</li>
</ul>


The Pacific Industrial (7250 JP) "MBO" was egregiously mis-priced. I was surprised the family did it but on 23 October, they increased their bid by 42.4%, from ¥2,050 to ¥2,919/share.
The stock was at ¥2,735 after activist Effissimo had built a 13% stake at ¥2365. The day after the announcement, the stock opened up through terms and continues to climb.
Effissimo responded 4 days later, buying 2% of voting rights as the stock climbed past ¥3,000, another 1% later. Now the stock is 8+% through new terms. They're not playing.


[Japan M&A/Activism] - Effissimo Keeps Buying Pacific Industrial (7250) Above New Terms

<ul>
<li>I tally 37 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, no new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week. </li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hainan-meilan-international-airport-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12545:1" rel="noopener">Hainan Meilan International Airport (357 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/restaurant-brands-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11891:1" rel="noopener">Restaurant Brands (RBD NZ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 37 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Surprisingly, no new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week. 
Key updates/news also took place on: Mayne Pharma (MYX AU), Hainan Meilan International Airport (357 HK), ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), Mandom Corp (4917 JP), and Restaurant Brands (RBD NZ).


Mostly Asia-Pac M&A: Mayne Pharma, Meilan Airport, ReNew Energy Global, Mandom, Restaurant Brands

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8353:1" rel="noopener">Mandom Corp (4917 JP)</a> yesterday decided to launch a question-response effort for the Murakami-san Group ownership of Mandom shares up to and above 20%. This is a Poison Pill precursor.</li>
<li>There's a drawn out set of questions, answers, etc, at the end of which, the Independent Committee will decide that Murakami is a Bad Person and the Poison Pill proceeds.</li>
<li>Murakami Group is apparently now over 20%. That's a little tricky. But this looks like a Good Poison Pill. </li>
</ul>



Mandom Corp (4917 JP) yesterday decided to launch a question-response effort for the Murakami-san Group ownership of Mandom shares up to and above 20%. This is a Poison Pill precursor.
There's a drawn out set of questions, answers, etc, at the end of which, the Independent Committee will decide that Murakami is a Bad Person and the Poison Pill proceeds.
Murakami Group is apparently now over 20%. That's a little tricky. But this looks like a Good Poison Pill. 


[Japan Activism] Mandom (4917 JP) - Murakami at 20% and Mandom Offers A Sweet Poison Pill

Japan

SOFT99 Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets automobile care products. The Company's products include car wash and wax products, chemical products for car maintenance and scratch repair, and house care products.

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Soft99 Corp (4464 JP)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, Zijin Mining, Genting Malaysia, Jardine Matheson

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A: AUB Group, China Shengmu Milk, Forum Engineering, Star Micronics, Paris Miki, Maruwn

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan M&A/Activism] - Effissimo Keeps Buying Pacific Industrial (7250) Above New Terms

MBO Bidco extended for a committed tenderer on the last day, but if that had meant success, they didn't need to extend/announce. So they're not...

Travis Lundy

Mostly Asia-Pac M&A: Mayne Pharma, Meilan Airport, ReNew Energy Global, Mandom, Restaurant Brands

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan Activism] Mandom (4917 JP) - Murakami at 20% and Mandom Offers A Sweet Poison Pill

Mandom has launched a "Response Policy" - a standstill which leads to a poison pill for anyone/group over 20%, like Murakami-san. But this one is...

Travis Lundy

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