Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>'s weight in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> has broken through 10% and staying there will lead to capping at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Nearly half of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group</a>'s float is held by passive trackers, and the real float is much lower. Capping will increase the real float by a few percentage points.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> significantly over the last 6 months and cumulative excess volume has started to increase sharply. Watch out for pullbacks.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP)'s weight in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has broken through 10% and staying there will lead to capping at the March rebalance.
Nearly half of Softbank Group's float is held by passive trackers, and the real float is much lower. Capping will increase the real float by a few percentage points.

Softbank Group has outperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) significantly over the last 6 months and cumulative excess volume has started to increase sharply. Watch out for pullbacks.


Softbank Group (9984 JP): Breaks Through the 10% Nikkei225 Cap

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alphabet revealed plans to spend aggressively on AI computing capacity, a positive for semi-caps and Japan’s SPE firms.</li>
<li>A mild negative for Harmonic Drive after Musk flagged that scaling Optimus production will be tough to scale.</li>
<li>News that SK Hynix is being considered as a partner to run Intel's Ohio campus is a positive for SPE names in Intel's supply chain and memory-related names.</li>
</ul>


Alphabet revealed plans to spend aggressively on AI computing capacity, a positive for semi-caps and Japan’s SPE firms.
A mild negative for Harmonic Drive after Musk flagged that scaling Optimus production will be tough to scale.
News that SK Hynix is being considered as a partner to run Intel's Ohio campus is a positive for SPE names in Intel's supply chain and memory-related names.


Japan Morning Connection: Intel Supply Chain in Focus as SK Hynix Eyed for Ohio Campus Role

<ul>
<li>MTD laggards may draw continued dip buying. Kioxia remains -32% since the start of the quarter despite yesterday's rebound.</li>
<li>Optical/Photonics caught a bid overnight, so expect interest in the likes of QD Laser, Santec, Samco and Seiko Giken.</li>
<li>Expect moves up for JP Space names after Sidus +17.1%, AST +10.3%, though SpaceX's August 6 lock-up expiry could weigh on sentiment into next month.</li>
</ul>


MTD laggards may draw continued dip buying. Kioxia remains -32% since the start of the quarter despite yesterday's rebound.
Optical/Photonics caught a bid overnight, so expect interest in the likes of QD Laser, Santec, Samco and Seiko Giken.
Expect moves up for JP Space names after Sidus +17.1%, AST +10.3%, though SpaceX's August 6 lock-up expiry could weigh on sentiment into next month.


Japan Morning Connection: SPE and Memory Rebound Set to Build After Strong US Follow Through

<ul>
<li>SEI and other optical/cable makers set to recover from recent underperformance on Meta news.</li>
<li>Memory plays and SPE laggards should get a lift on the news that Micron is planning to increase its US capex to $250bn (from $200bn).</li>
<li>SUMCO Corp and Shin Etsu Chemical likely to get a boost after Siltronic upgraded to outperform by BNP.</li>
</ul>


SEI and other optical/cable makers set to recover from recent underperformance on Meta news.
Memory plays and SPE laggards should get a lift on the news that Micron is planning to increase its US capex to $250bn (from $200bn).
SUMCO Corp and Shin Etsu Chemical likely to get a boost after Siltronic upgraded to outperform by BNP.


Japan Morning Connection: SEI Well Placed as META Names It a Direct Supplier for Iris AI Chips

<ul>
<li>The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.</li>
<li>Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.</li>
<li>Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. </li>
</ul>


The market should like the news that Tokyo Electron can now deliver chip gear manufacturing equipment to customers in half the time.
Ibiden as well as SPE majors should get a lift from NVDA's +3.7% move.
Kioxia may catch a bid now that Bain Capital has fully exited their stake. 


Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Softbank Group (ADR) (SFTBY US)

Softbank Group (9984 JP): Breaks Through the 10% Nikkei225 Cap

The stock price surge has taken Softbank Group's weight in the NKY to 10.26%. Staying there will mean capping in March, and selling from passive...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Intel Supply Chain in Focus as SK Hynix Eyed for Ohio Campus Role

News that SK Hynix is being considered as a partner to run Intel's Ohio campus is a positive for SPE names in Intel's supply chain and memory...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPE and Memory Rebound Set to Build After Strong US Follow Through

SPE and memory rebound set to kick up a notch in Japan after the strong US follow through overnight, with MTD laggards like Kioxia still down 32%...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SEI Well Placed as META Names It a Direct Supplier for Iris AI Chips

Optical/cable makers set to recover on Meta news, Micron's increased capex to benefit memory plays, Sumco and Shin Etsu set to follow European...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

Softbank Group may see interest today ahead of the news that OpenAI is set to release its latest version of GPT-5.6 tomorrow while news of faster...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Softbank Group (9984 JP): Breaks Through the 10% Nikkei225 Cap

The stock price surge has taken Softbank Group's weight in the NKY to 10.26%. Staying there will mean capping in March, and selling from passive...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Intel Supply Chain in Focus as SK Hynix Eyed for Ohio Campus Role

News that SK Hynix is being considered as a partner to run Intel's Ohio campus is a positive for SPE names in Intel's supply chain and memory...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPE and Memory Rebound Set to Build After Strong US Follow Through

SPE and memory rebound set to kick up a notch in Japan after the strong US follow through overnight, with MTD laggards like Kioxia still down 32%...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SEI Well Placed as META Names It a Direct Supplier for Iris AI Chips

​Optical/cable makers set to recover on Meta news, Micron's increased capex to benefit memory plays, Sumco and Shin Etsu set to follow European...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Softbank in Focus Ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Release Tomorrow

Softbank Group may see interest today ahead of the news that OpenAI is set to release its latest version of GPT-5.6 tomorrow while news of faster...

Andrew Jackson

Optical/cable makers set to recover on Meta news, Micron's increased capex to benefit memory plays, Sumco and Shin Etsu set to follow European...