Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.</li>
<li>Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn.
Prior to the deal launch, we’ve had a quick look at the A/H premium, subscription and past performance of some of the earlier A/H listings.
Overall, most of the recent A/H listings haven’t done much over the first month.


Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-12705'>Greenland Holdings Corp</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-13359'>Lenovo</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8149'>Longfor Properties</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-315'>Softbank Group</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8085'>Times China</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Greenland Holdings CorpLenovoLongfor PropertiesSoftbank GroupTimes China

Morning Views Asia: Greenland Holdings Corp, Lenovo, Longfor Properties, Softbank Group, Times China

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Softbank will settle all of its forward derivative contracts on Alibaba by the end of September, representing 242mn ADRs. Some had years to run so this is truly surprising</li>
<li>We estimate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> raised $35b selling BABA-linked derivatives since mid-2020, which would imply average proceeds per ADR of $145 versus the $91 it trades at now</li>
<li>But early settlement also has us wondering when the other show will drop and if that is related to global tech, China or Alibaba specifically </li>
</ul>


Softbank will settle all of its forward derivative contracts on Alibaba by the end of September, representing 242mn ADRs. Some had years to run so this is truly surprising
We estimate Softbank Group (9984 JP) raised $35b selling BABA-linked derivatives since mid-2020, which would imply average proceeds per ADR of $145 versus the $91 it trades at now
But early settlement also has us wondering when the other show will drop and if that is related to global tech, China or Alibaba specifically 


Softbank Group Shock Settlement of Forward Alibaba Contracts Is Worrisome

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Softbank today <a href="https://group.softbank/en/news/press/20220810" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed</a> that the stories circulating about Softbank having hedged a decent portion - 200+mm shares - of its BABA position were true. </li>
<li>The market expectation had been that these pre-paid forwards would be held for another two years. The announcement today is that they will be physically settled early. </li>
<li>This means the entire accounting effect - worth ¥4.6trln - will hit the income statement (and balance sheet) in the current quarter. There are investment and index implications</li>
</ul>


Softbank today confirmed that the stories circulating about Softbank having hedged a decent portion - 200+mm shares - of its BABA position were true. 
The market expectation had been that these pre-paid forwards would be held for another two years. The announcement today is that they will be physically settled early. 
This means the entire accounting effect - worth ¥4.6trln - will hit the income statement (and balance sheet) in the current quarter. There are investment and index implications


Softbank Confirms BABA Selldown - Big Changes on Softie's Balance Sheet and BABA Index Implications

Trung Nguyen

In our view, Softbank Group's (SBG) Q1/22-23 results were dismal, with the company reporting a record loss. This was the second consecutive quarterly loss, after SBG registered a big loss just three months ago. One positive factor is liquidity, with the company holding a large amount of cash after heavily monetising its liquid assets (mostly Alibaba shares) during the quarter. The improvement in LTV despite the steep drop in NAV signals that the ratio, as defined and reported by SBG, is open to the company’s control and manipulation. SBG still has a lot of room to monetise its asset base (JPY 4.5 tn in Alibaba shares and JPY 1.2 tn in T-Mobile/Deutsche Telekom shares). Thus, LTV is no longer meaningful, as the company appears to be able to manipulate the ratio as it wishes, as long as it has liquid assets.

  In our view, Softbank Group's (SBG) Q1/22-23 results were dismal, with the company reporting a record loss. This was the second consecutive quarterly loss, after SBG registered a big loss just three months ago. One positive factor is liquidity, with the company holding a large amount of cash after heavily monetising its liquid assets (mostly Alibaba shares) during the quarter.   The improvement in LTV despite the steep drop in NAV signals that the ratio, as defined and reported by SBG, is open to the company’s control and manipulation. SBG still has a lot of room to monetise its asset base (JPY 4.5 tn in Alibaba shares and JPY 1.2 tn in T-Mobile/Deutsche Telekom shares). Thus, LTV is no longer meaningful, as the company appears to be able to manipulate the ratio as it wishes, as long as it has liquid assets. 

Softbank Group - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (ADR) (SFTBY US)

Past A/H Listings Performance - Most of the Deals Haven’t Done Much

China Tourism is gearing up to launch Hong Kong’s largest listing so far this year, with a reported deal size of around US$2-3bn. Ahead of its...

Sumeet Singh

Morning Views Asia: Greenland Holdings Corp, Lenovo, Longfor Properties, Softbank Group, Times China

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Softbank Group Shock Settlement of Forward Alibaba Contracts Is Worrisome

Softbank has sung Alibaba’s praise for years so an early settlement of derivative contracts and sudden reduction in exposure begs the question of...

Kirk Boodry

Softbank Confirms BABA Selldown - Big Changes on Softie's Balance Sheet and BABA Index Implications

Softbank today announced it would early-terminate pre-paid forwards (hedges against 242mm BABA ADRs). This has accounting effects. And index...

Travis Lundy

Softbank Group - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

In our view, Softbank Group's (SBG) Q1/22-23 results were dismal, with the company reporting a record loss. This was the second consecutive...

Lucror Analytics

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