Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The ARM sale to Nvidia has been cancelled but Softbank is charging full speed ahead on an IPO</li>
<li>That is unlikely to surface the value of a straight sale whilst the monetization rate at 15-20% would also be much lower</li>
<li>We remain cautious even with a 50% discount as NAV depends on volatile tech valuations but today's report provides some reassurance on ARM at least</li>
</ul>


The ARM sale to Nvidia has been cancelled but Softbank is charging full speed ahead on an IPO
That is unlikely to surface the value of a straight sale whilst the monetization rate at 15-20% would also be much lower
We remain cautious even with a 50% discount as NAV depends on volatile tech valuations but today's report provides some reassurance on ARM at least


Softbank Group - Q3 21 Results Reaction: ARM IPO Pivot Is the Big Reveal

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>It’s hard to believe but Softbank’s earnings briefing had even less of substance this time than usual, essentially amounting to an “innovative” unofficial roadshow for an Arm IPO. </li>
<li>The termination of the Arm-Nvidia deal was made official and there was the usual TED talk for retail investors on LTV, NAV and the brand-new concept of computer chips. </li>
<li>With portfolio performance since the start of this year as grim as expected there was little to cheer.</li>
</ul>


It’s hard to believe but Softbank’s earnings briefing had even less of substance this time than usual, essentially amounting to an “innovative” unofficial roadshow for an Arm IPO. 
The termination of the Arm-Nvidia deal was made official and there was the usual TED talk for retail investors on LTV, NAV and the brand-new concept of computer chips. 
With portfolio performance since the start of this year as grim as expected there was little to cheer.


Softbank – Masayoshi Son’s Got Nothin’

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.
In this Insight:
<ol>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Geely Auto</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaisa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kaisa Group Holdings</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co</a></li>
</ol>
and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.
In this Insight:

China Jinmao Holdings
Lifestyle International Holdings
Geely Auto
Kaisa Group Holdings
First Pacific Co

and more...

This month, we undertake a study of the ratings evolution of all the issuers that have been included in the Lucror Asia HY index (commenced in 2013). The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  This month, we undertake a study of the ratings evolution of all the issuers that have been included in the Lucror Asia HY index (commenced in 2013).   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Ratings Transition Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-18387'>CIFI Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-10675'>Honghua Group</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-315'>Softbank Group</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.CIFI HoldingsHonghua GroupSoftbank Group

Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Honghua Group, Softbank Group

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp provides telecommunication services.  The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (ADR) (SFTBY US)

Softbank Group - Q3 21 Results Reaction: ARM IPO Pivot Is the Big Reveal

SBG will pivot to an ARM IPO after confirmation the NVDA sale was off. It continues to invest aggressively at VF2 with little to spare for...

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Asia HY Monthly - Ratings Transition Report - Lucror Analytics

This month, we undertake a study of the ratings evolution of all the issuers that have been included in the Lucror Asia HY index (commenced in...

Lucror Analytics

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Lucror Analytics

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