Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is <strong>swinging wildly</strong>. On Nov 11, the stock sank -13% after it said it had sold its entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA US)</a>  for $5.83 billion.</li>
<li>The stock also posted record Q2 earnings on Nov 12, but closed the day down -3.46% (after a strong rally from the 21k bottom). Most gains come from OpenAI investment.</li>
<li>For sure it's not easy to hold this stock at the moment, this insight will analyze the next 2-3 weeks' outlook, support and resistance, according to our quantitative model.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) is swinging wildly. On Nov 11, the stock sank -13% after it said it had sold its entire stake in NVIDIA (NVDA US)  for $5.83 billion.
The stock also posted record Q2 earnings on Nov 12, but closed the day down -3.46% (after a strong rally from the 21k bottom). Most gains come from OpenAI investment.
For sure it's not easy to hold this stock at the moment, this insight will analyze the next 2-3 weeks' outlook, support and resistance, according to our quantitative model.


SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What's Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>The US Senate passed a temporary funding measure after a 60-40 vote yesterday, backed by eight centrist Democrats.</li>
<li>The Bill will still require approval from the House and the signature of President Donald Trump. Mr Trump said yesterday that the US was "getting close" to a trade deal with India.</li>
<li>US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed concerns over high costs for consumers under the Trump administration, saying that it had inherited elevated price levels from the Biden administration, which he described as the worst in the past 40-50 years. </li>
</ul>


The US Senate passed a temporary funding measure after a 60-40 vote yesterday, backed by eight centrist Democrats.
The Bill will still require approval from the House and the signature of President Donald Trump. Mr Trump said yesterday that the US was "getting close" to a trade deal with India.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed concerns over high costs for consumers under the Trump administration, saying that it had inherited elevated price levels from the Biden administration, which he described as the worst in the past 40-50 years. 


Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>  reported a record H1 net income of ¥2.9 trillion, driven principally by a USD 14.6 billion fair-value gain from its OpenAI investment and Rights to invest.</li>
<li>The Group fully exited its USD 2.9 billion <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> stake in October, realizing gross gains of USD 2.9 billion on sale proceeds of USD 5.8 billion.</li>
<li>It also sold partial stakes in T-Mobile for USD 9.2 billion and Deutsche Telekom for USD 2.4 billion even as it raised its investment target in OpenAI to USD34.7 Bn.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP)  reported a record H1 net income of ¥2.9 trillion, driven principally by a USD 14.6 billion fair-value gain from its OpenAI investment and Rights to invest.
The Group fully exited its USD 2.9 billion NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) stake in October, realizing gross gains of USD 2.9 billion on sale proceeds of USD 5.8 billion.
It also sold partial stakes in T-Mobile for USD 9.2 billion and Deutsche Telekom for USD 2.4 billion even as it raised its investment target in OpenAI to USD34.7 Bn.


Softbank Group: Performance Powered by OpenAI. Exits NVIDIA, Bets Big on AI

Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

<ul>
<li>AI’s evolving every second of every day, and so are the boom’s best investing plays. Early this year, I called out SoftBank Group as a prime AI opportunity.</li>
<li>A wide discount to NAV offered a cheap way to invest in Arm and tech, but that's narrowed after Softbank's 150% share price rally - and more limited NAV growth.</li>
<li>So I’ve taken a fresh look at SoftBank, reviewed my original trade ideas, and found a new undervalued power play that could help you reap a tidy reward.</li>
</ul>


AI’s evolving every second of every day, and so are the boom’s best investing plays. Early this year, I called out SoftBank Group as a prime AI opportunity.
A wide discount to NAV offered a cheap way to invest in Arm and tech, but that's narrowed after Softbank's 150% share price rally - and more limited NAV growth.
So I’ve taken a fresh look at SoftBank, reviewed my original trade ideas, and found a new undervalued power play that could help you reap a tidy reward.


SoftBank Soared. And This Hidden AI Power Play Could Be Next

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Furukawa and Fujikura could see support after reports the US is weighing a ban on Chinese optical transceivers.</li>
<li>Softbank looks well placed for gains on strong earnings and ARM's rally.</li>
<li>Softbank Corp, NTT and KDDI may face pressure after Musk signaled plans to take "quite a few" mobile customers from major carriers via Starlink's direct-to-mobile service.</li>
</ul>


Furukawa and Fujikura could see support after reports the US is weighing a ban on Chinese optical transceivers.
Softbank looks well placed for gains on strong earnings and ARM's rally.
Softbank Corp, NTT and KDDI may face pressure after Musk signaled plans to take "quite a few" mobile customers from major carriers via Starlink's direct-to-mobile service.


Japan Morning Connection: Furukawa, Fujikura May Find Support as US Weighs Ban on Chinese Optics

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What's Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

Softbank is experiencing extreme volatility as of lately, plus it shocked investors with news of NVDA exit one day and record Q2 earnings the next...

Nico Rosti

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

The Bill will still require approval from the House and the signature of President Donald Trump. Mr Trump said yesterday that the US was "getting...

Lucror Analytics

Softbank Group: Performance Powered by OpenAI. Exits NVIDIA, Bets Big on AI

SoftBank’s gains soar with OpenAI’s valuation boost, lifting both actual investment returns and investment rights. Exits NVIDIA but plans to double...

Devi Subhakesan

SoftBank Soared. And This Hidden AI Power Play Could Be Next

In February, I called out SoftBank Group as a prime AI opportunity. So I've taken a fresh look, included OpenAI's potential contribution, and found...

Finimize Research

Japan Morning Connection: Furukawa, Fujikura May Find Support as US Weighs Ban on Chinese Optics

US considering ban on Chinese optical transceivers could benefit Furukawa and Fujikura. Pressure for telcos as Musk plans to take mobile customers...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What's Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

​Softbank is experiencing extreme volatility as of lately, plus it shocked investors with news of NVDA exit one day and record Q2 earnings the next...

Nico Rosti

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

The Bill will still require approval from the House and the signature of President Donald Trump. Mr Trump said yesterday that the US was "getting...

Lucror Analytics

Softbank Group: Performance Powered by OpenAI. Exits NVIDIA, Bets Big on AI

SoftBank’s gains soar with OpenAI’s valuation boost, lifting both actual investment returns and investment rights. Exits NVIDIA but plans to double...

Devi Subhakesan

SoftBank Soared. And This Hidden AI Power Play Could Be Next

In February, I called out SoftBank Group as a prime AI opportunity. So I've taken a fresh look, included OpenAI's potential contribution, and found...

Finimize Research

Japan Morning Connection: Furukawa, Fujikura May Find Support as US Weighs Ban on Chinese Optics

​US considering ban on Chinese optical transceivers could benefit Furukawa and Fujikura. Pressure for telcos as Musk plans to take mobile customers...

Andrew Jackson

Softbank is experiencing extreme volatility as of lately, plus it shocked investors with news of NVDA exit one day and record Q2 earnings the next...

US considering ban on Chinese optical transceivers could benefit Furukawa and Fujikura. Pressure for telcos as Musk plans to take mobile customers...