Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">SoftBank's (9984 JP)</a> Q1 results on 7 August delivered a return to profitability and earnings beat, fueling one of the stock’s biggest post-results rallies in 15 years.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Shares jumped 10.4% on 8 August and nearly 20% week-on-week, with implied volatility staying elevated above 40% despite the surge.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Review price action and options market response, showing how SoftBank’s post-earnings volatility pattern echoes past announcements. Serves as a documented reference for the next earnings event.</li>
</ul>



Context:SoftBank's (9984 JP) Q1 results on 7 August delivered a return to profitability and earnings beat, fueling one of the stock’s biggest post-results rallies in 15 years.

Highlight: Shares jumped 10.4% on 8 August and nearly 20% week-on-week, with implied volatility staying elevated above 40% despite the surge.

Why Read: Review price action and options market response, showing how SoftBank’s post-earnings volatility pattern echoes past announcements. Serves as a documented reference for the next earnings event.


SoftBank (9984 JP): Earnings Beat and the Missing Volatility Crush

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">SoftBank Group (9984 JP)</a> reports Q1 FY2025 earnings on 7 August at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST.</li>
<li>
Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings.</li>
</ul>



SoftBank Group (9984 JP) reports Q1 FY2025 earnings on 7 August at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST.

Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch.

Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings.


Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Telecom companies are traditionally "easy" to value. They have assets, debt, depreciation, earnings, cashflow. Lots of people like to use EV/EBITDA to measure.</li>
<li>In comparing Japan's telcos, I believe when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27445:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Corp (9434 JP)</a> is in the mix, one has to use forward PERs. EV/EBITDA is too fraught with complications.</li>
<li>Softbank is currently at its most expensive multiple since listing on a Price to Forward Earnings basis, and relative to its major Peers. And KDDI has a big buyback now.</li>
</ul>


Telecom companies are traditionally "easy" to value. They have assets, debt, depreciation, earnings, cashflow. Lots of people like to use EV/EBITDA to measure.
In comparing Japan's telcos, I believe when Softbank Corp (9434 JP) is in the mix, one has to use forward PERs. EV/EBITDA is too fraught with complications.
Softbank is currently at its most expensive multiple since listing on a Price to Forward Earnings basis, and relative to its major Peers. And KDDI has a big buyback now.


Softbank Corp (9434) - Accounting for the Accounting Is Complicated Redux - So Be Bearish

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Webtoon Entertainment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO.
Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Korea Revenue Declined, JP Acquisition to the Rescue

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO.
Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content. 
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Positives - Just Turned Profitable

Japan

Softbank Technology Corp. provides electronic commerce (EC) related services. The Company mainly provides Internet systems integration, web site management, marketing consulting, and technical support services.

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Softbank Technology (4726 JP)

SoftBank (9984 JP): Earnings Beat and the Missing Volatility Crush

SoftBank jumps 10% in a day, 20% in a week. Implied volatility holds firm after 7 Aug results, defying the usual post-earnings crush so far.

Gaudenz Schneider

Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights

SoftBank's earnings have historically triggered sharp post-earnings moves - a pattern mirrored in a dramatic implied volatility term structure.

Gaudenz Schneider

Softbank Corp (9434) - Accounting for the Accounting Is Complicated Redux - So Be Bearish

Accounting for all the adjustments needed in EV (and EBITDA) in constructing a fair value for Softbank Corp means one should use forward PER. In...

Travis Lundy

Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Korea Revenue Declined, JP Acquisition to the Rescue

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Positives - Just Turned Profitable

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SoftBank (9984 JP): Earnings Beat and the Missing Volatility Crush

SoftBank jumps 10% in a day, 20% in a week. Implied volatility holds firm after 7 Aug results, defying the usual post-earnings crush so far.

Gaudenz Schneider

Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights

​SoftBank's earnings have historically triggered sharp post-earnings moves - a pattern mirrored in a dramatic implied volatility term structure.

Gaudenz Schneider

Softbank Corp (9434) - Accounting for the Accounting Is Complicated Redux - So Be Bearish

Accounting for all the adjustments needed in EV (and EBITDA) in constructing a fair value for Softbank Corp means one should use forward PER. In...

Travis Lundy

Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Korea Revenue Declined, JP Acquisition to the Rescue

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

Webtoon Entertainment Pre-IPO - The Positives - Just Turned Profitable

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

SoftBank's earnings have historically triggered sharp post-earnings moves - a pattern mirrored in a dramatic implied volatility term structure.